2019 World Championships Women’s Top 10 Predictions
September 2019by T&FN
OUR INTERNATIONAL PANEL has crunched all the data, and the overall results say that the U.S. women will experience a meet not as good as the one they had in London 2 years ago. The number of overall medals drops slightly, from 17 to 15, and the number of golds takes a bigger hit, going from 7 to 4.
If a nation is listed with 4 entries that means it has a Wild Card in that event. Any Americans who don’t make the top 10 are listed in alphabetical order at the end of the event. The right-hand column is the athlete’s PR and the year in which it was made (except in the relays, where the mark is the best from this year or last).
Chart updated as of September 26 (this is the final update).
100 METERS
•Look for a 1-2 by the Jamaican pair of Thompson and Fraser-Pryce. They’ve got matching PRs and matching ’19 yearly leaders at 10.73. They’ve only met 4 times in their careers, reigning Olympic gold medalist Thompson having been victorious in all of them… Defending champ Bowie is in on that Wild Card, but has been a shadow of her former self all year, with a seasonal best of just 11.09. Will a month of solid training be enough to bring her around?… Schippers is dealing with a back injury and may skip this one.
1.
Elaine Thompson
Jamaica
10.70 (’16)
2.
Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce
Jamaica
10.70 (’12)
3.
Dina Asher-Smith
Great Britain
10.85 (’18)
4.
Marie-Josée Ta Lou
Côte d’Ivoire
10.85 (’18)
5.
Blessing Okagbare
Nigeria
10.79 (’13)
6.
Tori Bowie
USA
10.78 (’16)
7.
Dafne Schippers
Netherlands
10.81 (’15)
8.
Teahna Daniels
USA
10.99 (’19)
9.
Tatjana Pinto
Germany
11.00 (’16)
10.
Jonielle Smith
Jamaica
11.04 (’19)
Other Americans:
Morolake Akinosun 10.95 (’16)
English Gardner 10.74 (’16)
200 METERS
•This is projecting as the fourth straight Worlds with no Americans on the podium… We don’t see a medal for defending champ Schippers either, as 2-time European champ Asher-Smith and 100 faves Thompson & SAFP stand in her way… Conspicuous in her absence is yearly leader Shaunae Miller-Uibo, who with a double not possible has put all her eggs in the 400 basket.
1.
Dina Asher-Smith
Great Britain
21.89 (’18)
2.
Elaine Thompson
Jamaica
21.66 (’15)
3.
Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce
Jamaica
22.09 (’12)
4.
Dafne Schippers
Netherlands
21.63 (’15)
5.
Blessing Okagbare
Nigeria
22.04 (’18)
6.
Mujinga Kambundji
Switzerland
22.26 (’19)
7.
Dezerea Bryant
USA
22.18 (’15)
8.
Crystal Emmanuel
Canada
22.50 (’17)
9.
Brittany Brown
USA
22.42 (’18)
10.
Vitoria Cristina Rosa
Brazil
22.62 (’19)
Other American:
Angie Annelus 22.16 (’19)
400 METERS
•Miller-Uibo had a solid homestretch lead in ’17, but stumbled in the final stages of the race and ended up 4th. That was the only time she has lost to Naser. Both will be thinking sub-49, but Naser will come in with only a single sub-50 on the year… Defending champ Francis has a seasonal best of only 50.76 and hasn’t been under 51 since June.
1.
Shaunae Miller-Uibo
Bahamas
48.97 (’18)
2.
Salwa Eid Naser
Bahrain
49.08 (’18)
3.
Shericka Jackson
Jamaica
49.78 (‘19)
4.
Shakima Wimbley
USA
49.52 (’18)
5.
Stephenie Ann McPherson
Jamaica
49.92 (’13)
6.
Phyllis Francis
USA
49.92 (‘17)
7.
Christine Botlogetswe
Botswana
50.48 (’19)
8.
Laviai Nielsen
Great Britain
50.83 (’19)
9.
Justyna Święty-Ersetic
Poland
50.41 (’18)
10.
Kendall Ellis
USA
49.99 (’18)
Other American:
Wadeline Jonathas 50.44 (’19)
800 METERS
•With the 3 Rio Olympic medalists—Caster Semenya, Francine Niyonsaba & Margaret Wambui—out of the 2-lapper because of the IAAFs testosterone restrictions, it’s a brave new world here. Semenya & Niyonsaba also went 1–2 in the ’17 WC… Ignoring the ineligibles, Wilson is undefeated on the year and won a half-dozen DL races, making her a clear favorite to move up from last time’s bronze position… Rogers leads Sharp 3–2 in this year’s meetings and has 4 sub-2:00s to the Briton’s 2… The U.S. has never had a medal better than bronze before and now might get both.
1.
Ajee’ Wilson
USA
1:55.61 (’17)
2.
Raevyn Rogers
USA
1:57.69 (’18)
3.
Lynsey Sharp
Great Britain
1:57.69 (’16)
4.
Hanna Green
USA
1:58.19 (’19)
5.
Natoya Goule
Jamaica
1:56.15 (’18)
6.
Winnie Nanyondo
Uganda
1:58.63 (’14)
7.
Olha Lyakhova
Ukraine
1:58.64 (’15)
8.
Rabab Arrafi
Morocco
1:57.47 (’18)
9.
Halimah Nakaayi
Uganda
1:58.39 (’18)
10.
Catriona Bissett
Australia
1:58.78 (’19)
Other American:
Ce’Aira Brown 1:58.01 (’18)
1500 METERS
•A 1500/5000 double is impossible, so both Hassan and Klosterhalfen could end up not in this event at all. If Hassan runs here, she will likely be doubling back from the 10,000, where she is also favored. Quite the range for the former Ethiopian, who claimed the mile WR earlier this summer… We know Houlihan can kick with the best of them, but she hasn’t raced since winning a 1500/5000 double at USATF (she is skipping the longer race here)… Kipyegon is the defending champ… Early-season co-favorite Muir had a torn calf this summer and has not raced since July.
1.
Sifan Hassan
Netherlands
3:55.30 (’19)
2.
Shelby Houlihan
USA
3:57.34 (’18)
3.
Faith Kipyegon
Kenya
3:56.41 (’16)
4.
Konstanze Klosterhalfen
Germany
3:58.92 (’17)
5.
Laura Muir
Great Britain
3:55.22 (’16)
6.
Gudaf Tsegay
Ethiopia
3:57.40 (’19)
7.
Jenny Simpson
USA
3:57.22 (’14)
8.
Rabab Arrafi
Morocco
3:58.84 (’19)
9.
Gabriela DeBues-Stafford
Canada
3:59.59 (’19)
10.
Winny Chebet
Kenya
3:59.16 (’17)
Other American:
Nikki Hiltz 4:03.55 (’19)
STEEPLECHASE
•Chepkoech has been on a roll the last couple of years, winning 7 of 8 races (and setting the amazing WR of 8:44.32) in ’18 and 7 of 8 so far this year. And the fellow Kenyan who beat her in Oslo in June didn’t even make the team, all of which adds up to overwhelming favorite… Jepkemoi, the ’15 gold medalist and ’17 bronze medalist, hasn’t won a race all year but broke 9:10 in each of her 4 low-altitude appearances… We wouldn’t expect a repeat of the Coburn-Frerichs 1–2 of 2 years ago, but then, we didn’t expect it then either… Unconfirmed reports have third American Quigley as questionable.
1.
Beatrice Chepkoech
Kenya
8:44.32 (’18)
2.
Hyvin Jepkemoi
Kenya
9:00.01 (’16)
3.
Emma Coburn
USA
9:02.58 (’17)
4.
Celliphine Chespol
Kenya
8:58.71 (’17)
5.
Courtney Frerichs
USA
9:00.85 (’18)
6.
Daisy Jepkemei
Kenya
9:06.66 (’19)
7.
Winfred Mutile Yavi
Bahrain
9:07.23 (’19)
8.
Colleen Quigley
USA
9:10.27 (’17)
9.
Peruth Chemutai
Uganda
9:07.94 (’18)
10.
Gesa-Felicitas Krause
Germany
9:07.51 (’19)
Other American:
Allie Ostrander 9:31.44 (’19)
5000 METERS
•As in the 1500, doubling problems confuse the picture here, since the 1500 and 5000 finals are on the same night. Hassan will run the 10,000 a week prior and while we were originally led to believe she wouldn’t go for the 5, she has apparently left the door open. What does she want to run in this weather: 3 times in the 1500 or twice in the 5000?… Gidey will also be coming back from the 10, so we’ll give the edge to a fresh Klosterhalfen (who could confuse the picture by choosing the 1500 instead). All of which could open the door for defending champ Obiri. Oh, wait! She’s potentially coming back from the 10 also… Confusing enough for you?
1.
Sifan Hassan
Netherlands
14:22.12 (’19)
2.
Konstanze Klosterhalfen
Germany
14:26.76 (’19)
3.
Letesenbet Gidey
Ethiopia
14:23.14 (’15)
4.
Hellen Obiri
Kenya
14:18.37 (’17)
5.
Lilian Rengeruk
Kenya
14:36.80 (’17)
6.
Hawi Feysa
Ethiopia
14:38.76 (’19)
7.
Sheila Chelangat
Kenya
14:54.66 (’17)
8.
Margaret Chelimo
Kenya
14:31.69 (’19)
9.
Taye Fantu
Ethiopia
14:45.59 (’19)
10.
Eilish McColgan
Great Britain
14:47.49 (’19)
The Americans:
Elinor Purrier 15:08.61 (’19)
Rachel Schneider 15:06.71 (’19)
Karissa Schweizer 15:01.63 (’19)
10,000 METERS
•Hassan has only run a single track 10,000 in her life and she didn’t break 30:00 (let alone 29:00) in that race, but such are her short-track credentials and overall skills that she rates as No. 1. This will be the start of her double, but will she follow it with the 1500 or 5000?… Gidey stamped herself as the top Ethiopian with her list-leading PR in Hengelo… The Kenyan pair of Tirop & Obiri each own a World XC gold… Reigning OG/WC champ Almaz Ayana, the WR holder, was a late withdrawal from the Ethiopian squad.
1.
Sifan Hassan
Netherlands
31:18.12 (’19)
2.
Letesenbet Gidey
Ethiopia
30:37.89 (’19)
3.
Agnes Tirop
Kenya
31:03.50 (’17)
4.
Hellen Obiri
Kenya
31:25.38 (’19)
5.
Sanbere Teferi
Ethiopia
30:40.59 (’16)
6.
Emily Sisson
USA
30:49.57 (’19)
7.
Netsanet Gudeta
Ethiopia
30:36.75 (’19)
8.
Rosemary Wanjiru
Kenya
31:11.79 (’19)
9.
Molly Huddle
USA
30:13.17 (’16)
10.
Minami Yamanouchi
Japan
31:16.48 (’19)
Other American:
Marielle Hall 31:37.45 (’16)
100 HURDLES
•Williams was the surprise winner back in ’15, but nobody will be surprised if she wins again this time. She has turned in the 4 fastest times of her career and climbed to No. 7 on the all-time list… WR holder Harrison doesn’t have a great history in this meet, finishing 4th last time out and false starting in her ’15 semi… Amusan has also reached her fastest time ever and slips in ahead of the American duo of 2-time World Indoor champ Ali and former AR holder McNeal… Reigning champ Sally Pearson of Australia retired over the summer with persistent Achilles problems.
1.
Danielle Williams
Jamaica
12.32 (’19)
2.
Keni Harrison
USA
12.20 (’16)
3.
Tobi Amusan
Nigeria
12.49 (’19)
4.
Nia Ali
USA
12.48 (’13)
5.
Brianna McNeal
USA
12.26 (’13)
6.
Janeek Brown
Jamaica
12.40 (’19)
7.
Megan Tapper
Jamaica
12.63 (’17)
8.
Elvira Herman
Belarus
12.64 (’18)
9.
Annimari Korte
Finland
12.72 (’19)
10.
Nadine Visser
Netherlands
12.71 (’18)
400 HURDLES
•Can we flip a coin? Good cases can be made for both Muhammad and McLaughlin. Muhammad has that big World Record credential of course, while McLaughlin hasn’t even PRed this year (yet?). McLaughlin is ahead 2–1 in their head-to-heads this year and has only lost to Muhammad, while Muhammad also has a loss to Shamier Little (who didn’t make the Doha team). In the final analysis, although Syd The Kid did make the Olympic team, she has never run in an OG or WC final, whereas Muhammad has the Oly gold and a pair of WC silvers… Defending champ Carter hasn’t shown that kind of form so far this year, but ’13 &’15 gold medalist Hejnová is looking more like her old self.
1.
Dalilah Muhammad
USA
52.20 (’19)
2.
Sydney McLaughlin
USA
52.75 (’18)
3.
Zuzana Hejnová
Czech Republic
52.83 (’13)
4.
Rushell Clayton
Jamaica
54.16 (’19)
5.
Léa Sprunger
Switzerland
54.29 (’17)
6.
Ashley Spencer
USA
53.11 (’17)
7.
Kori Carter
USA
52.95 (’17)
8.
Anna Ryzhykova
Ukraine
54.35 (’12)
9.
Janieve Russell
Jamaica
53.46 (’18)
10.
Sara Slott Petersen
Denmark
53.44 (’16)
MARATHON
•Former Kenyan Salpeter chopped almost 5:00 from her PR with her Prague win in May. Her good track credentials—including winning the Euro 10K title last year—give her the edge over yearly list leader Chepngetich, whose time came on the deceptively fast Dubai course… Kiplagat was the ’11 and ’13 winner (and ’17 silver medalist), but she’s on the cusp of turning 40… Defending champ Rose Chelimo of Bahrain hasn’t broken 2:30 this year.
1.
Lonah Chemtai Salpeter
Israel
2:19:46 (’19)
2.
Ruth Chepngetich
Kenya
2:17:08 (’19)
3.
Roza Dereje
Ethiopia
2:19:17 (’18)
4.
Ruti Aga
Ethiopia
2:18:34 (’18)
5.
Edna Kiplagat
Kenya
2:19:50 (’12)
6.
Shure Demise
Ethiopia
2:20:59 (’19)
7.
Visiline Jepkesho
Kenya
2:21:37 (’17)
8.
Helalia Johanes
Namibia
2:22:25 (’19)
9.
Mizuki Tanimoto
Japan
2:25:28 (’19)
10.
Sara Dossena
Italy
2:24:00 (’19)
The Americans:
Kelsey Bruce 2:31:53 (’19)
Carrie Dimoff 2:30:53 (’17)
Roberta Groner 2:29:09 (’19)
20K WALK
•WR holder Liu slipped to 3rd in the big La Coruña race, won by Morejón in World Junior Record time, but the Chinese vet’s big-race credentials—reigning Olympic gold medalist, WC golds in ’11 &’15—give her the edge. Particularly with the young Ecuadorian having only that single 20 under her belt… The Chinese could well sweep the medals, noting that Yang is the defending champ.
1.
Hong Liu
China
1:24:38 (’15)
2.
Glenda Estefanía Morejón
Ecuador
1:25:29 (’19)
3.
Jiayu Yang
China
1:25:34 (’19)
4.
Shenjie Qieyang
China
1:25:37 (’19)
4.
Hong Liu
China
1:25:56 (’16)
5.
Mária Pérez
Spain
1:26:36 (’18)
6.
Anežka Drahotová
Czech Republic
1:27:03 (’18)
7.
Antonella Palmisano
Italy
1:26:36 (’17)
8.
Erica de Sena
Brazil
1:26:59 (’17)
9.
Kumiko Okada
Japan
1:27:41 (’19)
10.
Eleonora Giorgi
Italy
1:27:46 (’19)
The American:
Maria Michta-Coffey 1:30:49 (’14)
50K WALK
•With the 20K being contested just the day before, World Record holder Hong Liu isn’t entered in this one, choosing the Olympic distance instead. China will be well represented in her stead, with Nos. 2 & 3 on the all-time list, Li and Liang, favored to go 1–2 as the 50 makes its second appearance as a WC discipline… Defending champ Henriques is tabbed for 5th.
1.
Maocuo Li
China
4:03:51 (’19)
2.
Rui Liang
China
4:04:36 (’18)
3.
Eleonora Giorgi
Italy
4:04:50 (’19)
4.
Julia Takács
Spain
4:05:46 (’19)
5.
Inês Henriques
Portugal
4:09:21 (’18)
6.
Paola Pérez
Ecuador
4:12:56 (’18)
7.
Faying Ma
China
4:07:30 (’19)
8.
Valentyna Myronchuk
Ukraine
4:15:50 (’19)
9.
Mária Czaková
Slovakia
4:14:25 (’18)
10.
Nastassia Yatsevich
Belarus
4:16:39 (’19)
The American:
Katie Burnett 4:21:51 (’17)
4 x 100 RELAY
•Germany may seem a strange pick, lacking as it is in individual-event superstars, but the yearly world leaders bring something crucial to the mix: smooth passing… No hints so far as to will be Team USA, but the 4 entries in the 100 (Teahna Daniels, English Gardner, Morolake Akinson & Tori Bowie) are backed up by pool members Dezerea Bryant, Caitland Smith & Kiara Parker. And what about old standby Allyson Felix?… It would be foolish to overlook Jamaica, with its 1–2 punch of Elaine Thompson and Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce.
1.
Germany
41.67 (’19)
2.
USA
42.05 (’18)
3.
Jamaica
42.29 (’19)
4.
Great Britain
41.88 (’18)
5.
Netherlands
42.15 (’18)
6.
China
42.50 (’19)
7.
Switzerland
42.29 (‘18)
8.
Brazil
43.04 (’19)
9.
France
42.93 (’19)
10.
Trinidad
43.50 (’18)
4 x 400 RELAY
•The U.S. vs. Jamaica battle figures to be tight, but with the U.S. having better depth. The U.S. has plenty of bodies to choose from, starting with the open 400 foursome of Shakima Wimbley, Kendall Ellis, Wadeline Jonathas & Phyllis Francis. The pool adds Courtney Okolo, Jessica Beard and old standby Allyson Felix. And let’s not forget the flat speed of hurdlers Dalilah Muhammad and Sydney McLaughlin.
1.
USA
3:24.04(A) (’19)
2.
Jamaica
3:24.00 (’18)
3.
Poland
3:24.81 (’19)
4.
Great Britain
3:26.48 (’18)
5.
Canada
3:27.01 (’19)
6.
Nigeria
3:25.29 (’18)
7.
India
3:28.72 (’18)
8.
France
3:25.91 (’18)
9.
Australia
3:27.43 (’18)
10.
Italy
3:27.32 (’19)
HIGH JUMP
•Sure, Lasitskene loses once in a while, but it tends to be a long time between whiles. The 2-time defending champion, for example, has won 20 of 22 so far in a very busy ’19. Last year was 25 of 26, and, well, you get the picture… Levchenko, who gave the Russian her closest competition in London 2 years ago, finished her pre-Doha season with a PR win… The battle for bronze looks like a 3-way among a collection of performers who have set 2-meter PRs this year… Cunningham hasn’t competed since USATF.
1.
Mariya Lasitskene
Russia
2.06 | 6-9 (’17)
2.
Yuliya Levchenko
Ukraine
2.02 | 6-7½ (’19)
3.
Vashti Cunningham
USA
2.00 | 6-6¾ (’19)
4.
Yaroslava Mahuchikh
Ukraine
2.00 | 6-6¾ (’19)
5.
Karyna Demidik
Belarus
2.00 | 6-6¾ (’19)
6.
Erika Kinsey
Sweden
1.97 | 6-5½ (’15)
7.
Iryna Herashchenko
Ukraine
1.99 | 6-6¼ (’19)
8.
Mirela Demireva
Bulgaria
2.00 | 6-6¾ (’18)
9.
Nicola McDermott
Australia
1.96 | 6-5 (’19)
10.
Ella Junnila
Finland
1.95 | 6-4¾ (’19)
Other Americans:
Ty Butts 1.92 | 6-3½ (’19)
Inika McPherson 1.96 | 6-5 (’17)
POLE VAULT
•Sidorova and defending champ Stefanídi have already met no fewer than 11 times this year. The Russian has a solid 7–3-1 edge, plus a PR, so she earns the top spot… Newman, with the 6 highest vaults of her career since June, edges Nageotte for the No. 3 spot… ’17 silver medalist Morris is downgraded because of her self-admitted technique problems of late. Should she rectify those in the free month before the WC she could be back challenging for the top spot… Silva was the ’15 winner and also won a bronze last time out.
1.
Anzhelika Sidorova
Russia
4.91 | 16-1¼ (’19)
2.
Katerína Stefanídi
Greece
4.91 | 16-1¼ (’17)
3.
Alysha Newman
Canada
4.87 | 15-11¾ (’19)
4.
Katie Nageotte
USA
4.91 | 16-1¼(A) (’18)
5.
Sandi Morris
USA
5.00 | 16-4¾ (’16)
6.
Yarisley Silva
Cuba
4.91 | 16-1¼ (’15)
7.
Robeilys Peinado
Venezuela
4.70 | 15-5 (’19)
8.
Jenn Suhr
USA
5.03 | 16-6 (’16)
9.
Holly Bradshaw
Great Britain
4.87 | 15-11¾ (’12)
10.
Angelica Bengtsson
Sweden
4.81 | 15-9¼ (’19)
LONG JUMP
•Reese has an unparalleled collection of big-meet LJ metal, her OG/WC/WIC haul totaling 10: 8 golds and 2 silvers. She looks like she’ll add to it in Doha, but of what color will it be? Mihambo, last year’s No. 1 World Ranker and this year’s list leader, looks poised to take over from the defending champion. They’ve met 4 times in ’19 and the German won them all. Convincingly… Reigning World Indoor champ Ivana Španović is out with an injury… The same-night staging of the long jump Q and the triple jump final make it unlikely Ibargüen would double, particularly suffering from plantar fasciitis.
1.
Malaika Mihambo
Germany
7.16 | 23-6 (’19)
2.
Brittney Reese
USA
7.31 | 23-11¾ (’16)
3.
Maryna Bekh-Romanchuk
Ukraine
6.93 | 22-9 (’16)
4
Ese Brume
Nigeria
7.05 | 23-1¾ (’19)
5.
Darya Klishina
Russia
7.05 | 23-1¾ (’11)
6.
Sha’Keela Saunders
USA
6.90 | 22-7¾ (’17)
7.
Shara Proctor
Great Britain
7.07 | 23-2½ (’15)
8.
Abigail Irozuru
Great Britain
6.86 | 22-6¼ (’19)
9.
Yelena Sokolova
Russia
7.07 | 23-2½ (’12)
10.
Caterine Ibargüen
Colombia
6.93 | 22-9 (’18)
Other Americans:
Tori Bowie 6.95 | 22-9¾ (’14)
Jasmine Todd 6.84 | 22-5¼ (’15)
TRIPLE JUMP
•The big question at this point seems to be not if Rojas will successfully defend her title, but if she can claim the World Record in so doing, now that she has ascended to No. 2 on the all-time list, only 3½ inches (9cm) off Inessa Kravets’s ancient mark from the ’95 Worlds… Ibarguën has been bothered by plantar fasciitis and hasn’t tripled since early July… Don’t count out Rickets, who PRed to beat Rojas for the Diamond League crown… Orji has a decent shot at becoming the first U.S. medalist ever here, but it might take an AR to do it.
1.
Yulimar Rojas
Venezuela
15.41 | 50-6¾ (’19)
2.
Caterine Ibargüen
Colombia
15.31 | 50-2¾ (’14)
3.
Shanieka Ricketts
Jamaica
14.77 | 48-5½ (’19)
4.
Liadagmis Povea
Cuba
14.77 | 48-5½ (’19)
5.
Keturah Orji
USA
14.72 | 48-3½ (’19)
6.
Kim Williams
Jamaica
14.64 | 48-½ (’18)
7.
Ana Peleteiro
Spain
14.73 | 48-4 (’19)
8.
Olha Saladukha
Ukraine
14.99 | 49-2¼ (’12)
9.
Tori Franklin
USA
14.84 | 48-8¼ (’18)
10.
Patricia Mamona
Portugal
14.65 | 48-¾ (’16)
No third American
SHOT
•A breakout year has found Ealey improving her PR by almost a meter and also beating reigning world champ Gong—in Shanghai, no less—in her first-ever DL meet. Gong subsequently bounced back with 4 straight wins to solidify the favorite’s role going in… ’15 gold medalist Schwanitz is recovering from knee problems.
1.
Lijiao Gong
China
20.43 | 67-½ (’16)
2.
Chase Ealey
USA
19.68 | 64-6¾ (’19)
3.
Christina Schwanitz
Germany
20.77 | 68-1¾ (’15)
4.
Brittany Crew
Canada
19.28 | 63-3¼ (’19)
5.
Danniel Thomas-Dodd
Jamaica
19.55 | 64-1¾ (’19)
6.
Maggie Ewen
USA
19.46 | 63-10¼ (’18)
7.
Anita Márton
Hungary
19.87 | 65-2¾ (’16)
8.
Fanny Roos
Sweden
19.06 | 62-6½ (’19)
9.
Aliona Dubitskaya
Belarus
19.21 | 63-¼ (’19)
10.
Paulina Guba
Poland
19.38 | 63-7 (’18)
Other American:
Michelle Carter 20.63 | 67-8¼ (’16)
DISCUS
•You wanna talk longtime associations? The Cuban pair have met no fewer than 114 (!) times, dating back to ’08. Caballero can claim a 60–53–1 edge total, but Pérez is up 9–5 this year and has a list-leading PR to bolster her claim to the top spot over the ’15 winner… It’s strange to see Perković, twice a gold medalist at both the OG and WC, in the No. 3 slot, but she seems to be fouling a lot this year and hasn’t crossed the 70m benchmark for the first time since ’13. She’s a combined 2–8 against the two Cubans.
1.
Yaimé Pérez
Cuba
69.39 | 227-8 (’19)
2.
Denia Caballero
Cuba
70.65 | 231-9 (’15)
3.
Sandra Perković
Croatia
71.41 | 234-3 (’17)
4.
Feng Bin
China
65.45 | 214-8 (’19)
5.
Kristin Pudenz
Germany
64.37 | 211-2 (’19)
6.
Valarie Allman
USA
67.15 | 220-3 (’19)
7.
Nadine Müller
Germany
68.89 | 226-0 (’12)
8.
Chen Yang
China
67.03 | 219-11 (’18)
9.
Claudine Vita
Germany
66.64 | 218-8 (’19)
10.
Shadae Lawrence
Jamaica
65.05 | 213-5 (’19)
Other Americans:
Kelsey Card 63.52 | 208-5 (’16)
Laulauga Tausaga-Collins 63.71 | 209-0 (’19)
HAMMER
•The first thing one notices here is the absence of 3-time winner Anita Włodarczyk, sidelined by summer knee surgery… The Americans are nonetheless on a bit of a roll here, but 2 podium places in an event in which they’ve never previously medaled? That would be historic… Wang beat Price twice early in the year, but her marks then tailed off while the American’s went on the rise… Price, Berry & Wang are Nos. 4-5-6 on the event’s all-time list.
1.
DeAnna Price
USA
78.24 | 256-8 (’19)
2.
Zheng Wang
China
77.68 | 254-10 (’14)
3.
Gwen Berry
USA
77.78 | 255-2 (’18)
4.
Brooke Andersen
USA
76.75 | 251-9 (’19)
5.
Alexandra Tavernier
France
74.84 | 245-6 (’19)
6.
Joanna Fiodorow
Poland
75.63 | 241-8 (’18)
7.
Na Luo
China
75.02 | 246-1 (’18)
8.
Zalina Petrivskaya
Moldova
74.70 | 245-1 (’19)
9.
Malwina Kopron
Poland
76.85 | 252-1 (’17)
10.
Hanna Malyshik
Belarus
76.26 | 250-2 (’18)
JAVELIN
•Having won silver in ’15 and bronze in ’17, Lu looks to complete a full set of medals. Last year’s No. 1 World Ranker comes in riding a 12-meet winning streak. Most of those were at home, but her PR claimed the yearly lead and she won the DL Final by more than 2m over Barber. The Aussie is on a roll of her own, having produced the 5 farthest meets of her life… As always, look for upsets in this inconsistent event… Winger could become the highest-placed American ever, supplanting Karin Smith’s 10th way back in ’83.
1.
Huihui Lu
China
67.98 | 223-0 (’19)
3.
Kelsey Barber
Australia
67.70 | 222-1 (’19)
3.
Tatsiana Khaladovich
Belarus
67.47 | 221-4 (’18)
4.
Sara Kolak
Croatia
68.43 | 224-6 (’17)
5.
Christin Hussong
Germany
67.90 | 222-9 (’18)
6.
Shiying Liu
China
67.12 | 220-2 (’18)
7.
Kara Winger
USA
66.67 | 219-0 (’10)
8.
Nikola Ogrodníková
Czech Republic
67.40 | 221-1 (’19)
9.
Barbora Špotáková
Czech Republic
72.28 | 237-2 (’08)
10.
Eda Tuğsuz
Turkey
67.21 | 220-6 (’17)
Other American:
Ariana Ince 63.54 | 208-5
HEPTATHLON
•The top two are solid, like the men. Multis maven Frank Zarnowski says, “Bronze should go to Bougard, who is one tough cookie.” Kriszán came into the year as a 6390 performer, but improved at both Götzis (6469) and Talence (6619) to firmly put herself in the 3rd-place conversation… Fourth American Kunz got in as the leader of the IAAF Multis Challenge.
1.
Nafi Thiam
Belgium
7013 (’13)
2.
Katarina Johnson-Thompson
Great Britain
6813 (’19)
3.
Erica Bougard
USA
6725 (’18)
4.
Xénia Krizsán
Hungary
6619 (’19)
5.
Verena Preiner
Austria
6591 (’19)
6.
Ivona Dadic
Austria
6552 (’18)
7.
Kendell Williams
USA
6610 (’19)
8.
Nadine Broersen
Netherlands
6539 (’14)
9.
Maria Huntington
Finland
6339 (’19)
10.
Géraldine Ruckstuhl
Switzerland
6391 (’18)
Other Americans:
Chari Hawkins 6230 (’19)
Annie Kunz 6153 (’19)
THANKS FROM the T&FN staff to those correspondents who aided us in crafting these prognostications: Bob Bowman, Jonathan Berenbom, Sean Hartnett, Richard Hymans, Dave Johnson, Nejat Kök, Kevin Saylors, Jesse Squire & Frank Zarnowski.
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