Defending 100 world champion Fred Kerley has a Wild Card for Budapest but projects as a repeat winner if he runs. (JIRO MOCHIZUKI)
PEERLESS PROGNOSTICATIONS by Dave Johnson
as of May 23
Team USA for August’s World Championships will be chosen at the USATF Championships (Eugene, July 06–09).
With 3½ weeks from the end of the NCAA to the start of the selection meet, collegians will have roughly twice as much time for recovery as they had last year.
From the tenuous vantage point of 7 weeks out, here’s our Top 10 charting for each men’s event. The listing of an athlete in a discipline doesn’t guarantee he’ll contest that event (or events).
Note that athletes who won individual golds at the ’22 WC and those who won Diamond League titles in ’22 have earned the right to WA Wild Cards for this summer and need put in only a token appearance (event doesn’t matter) at the Nationals.
The 5 American Wild Card holders: 100 — Fred Kerley; 200 — Noah Lyles; 400 — Michael Norman; 110H — Grant Holloway; SP — Ryan Crouser. Should Kerley and/or Crouser become unavailable for some reason, their WC Wild Cards would pass on to DL champs Trayvon Bromell and Joe Kovacs.
The Top 10s (the number in the right-hand column represents the athlete’s placing in last year’s U.S. Rankings; athletes with asterisks have achieved the WC qualifying standard):
100 METERS
1.
Fred Kerley
(Asics)
1
2.
Marvin Bracy-Williams
(Asics)
2
3.
Trayvon Bromell
(New Balance)
3
4.
Christian Coleman
(Nike)
4
5.
Noah Lyles
(adidas)
8
6.
Kenny Bednarek
(Nike)
9
7.
Micah Williams
(Oregon)
5
8.
Cravont Charleston
(Tracksmith)
nr
9.
Michael Norman
(Nike)
nr
10.
Elijah Hall
(Nike/Red Bull)
6
200 METERS
1.
Noah Lyles
(adidas)
1
2.
Erriyon Knighton
(adidas)
2
3.
Fred Kerley
(Asics)
5
4.
Kenny Bednarek
(Nike)
3
5.
Christian Coleman
(Nike)
10
6.
Michael Norman
(Nike)
4
7.
Josephus Lyles
(adidas)
6
8.
Courtney Lindsey
(Texas Tech)
nr
9.
Robert Gregory
(Florida)
nr
10.
Terrance Laird
(adidas)
nr
400 METERS
1.
Michael Norman
(Nike)
1
2.
Vernon Norwood
(New Balance)
3
3.
Elija Godwin
(Georgia)
6
4.
Ryan Willie
(Florida)
nr
5.
Bryce Deadmon
(Nike)
4
6.
Michael Cherry
(Nike)
5
7.
Emmanuel Bynum
(Tennessee)
nr
8.
Noah Williams
(adidas)
nr
9.
Trevor Stewart
(Puma)
9
10.
Champion Allison
(unattached)
2
800 METERS
1.
Bryce Hoppel
(adidas)
1
2.
Clayton Murphy
(Nike)
4
3.
Isaiah Harris
(Brooks)
5
4.
Isaiah Jewett
(Nike)
7
5.
Jonah Koech
(US Army)
2
6.
Brandon Miller
(unattached)
3
7.
Erik Sowinski
(unattached)
8
8.
Will Sumner
(Georgia)
nr
9.
Baylor Franklin
(Mississippi)
6
10.
Brannon Kidder
(Brooks Beasts)
9
1500 METERS
1.
Cooper Teare
(Nike Bowerman TC)
3
2.
Josh Thompson
(Nike Bowerman TC)
1
3.
Yared Nuguse
(On AC)
2
4.
Cole Hocker
(Nike)
6
5.
Jon Davis
(unattached)
4
6.
Johnny Gregorek
(Asics)
7
7.
Drew Hunter
(adidas)
8
8.
Sam Prakel
(adidas)
9
9.
Joe Waskom
(Washington)
nr
10.
Matthew Centrowitz
(Nike)
nr
STEEPLE
1.
Hillary Bor
(Hoka)
1
2.
Evan Jager
(Nike Bowerman TC)
2
3.
Duncan Hamilton
(Montana State)
3
4.
Kenneth Rooks
(BYU)
10
5.
Anthony Rotich
(US Army)
6
6.
Isaac Updike
(Nike)
nr
7.
Alec Basten
(Under Armour Baltimore)
nr
8.
Craig Nowak
(unattached)
nr
9.
Benard Keter
(US Army)
4
10.
Mason Ferlic
(adidas)
5
5000 METERS
1.
Grant Fisher
(Nike Bowerman TC)
1
2.
Joe Klecker
(On AC)
2
3.
Woody Kincaid
(Nike)
3
4.
Abdihamid Nur
(Nike)
4
5.
Paul Chelimo
(Nike/American Distance Project)
nr
6.
Conner Mantz
(Nike)
5
7.
Emmanuel Bor
(unattached)
6
8.
Cooper Teare
(Nike Bowerman TC)
8
9.
Morgan Beadlescomb
(adidas/Very Nice TC)
nr
10.
Sean McGorty
(Nike Bowerman TC)
7
10,000 METERS
1.
Grant Fisher
(Nike Bowerman TC)
1
2.
Joe Klecker
(On AC)
2
3.
Woody Kincaid
(Nike)
nr
4.
Paul Chelimo
(Nike/American Distance Project)
nr
5.
Dillon Maggard
(unattached)
4
6.
Shadrack Kipchirchir
(American Distance Project)
5
7.
Conner Mantz
(Nike)
6
8.
Sean McGorty
(Nike Bowerman TC)
3
9.
Dylan Jacobs
(Tennessee)
9
10.
Samuel Chelanga
(US Army)
8
110 HURDLES
1.
Grant Holloway
(adidas)
1
2.
Trey Cunningham
(adidas)
2
3.
Devon Allen
(Nike)
3
4.
Daniel Roberts
(Nike)
4
5.
Robert Dunning
(adidas)
8
6.
Jamal Britt
(Elite Athlete Network)
6
7.
Freddie Crittenden
(Tracksmith)
5
8.
Darius Luff
(Nebraska)
nr
9.
Eric Edwards
(unattached)
7
10.
Cordell Tinch
(Pittsburg State)
nr
400 HURDLES
1.
Rai Benjamin
(Nike)
1
2.
Trevor Bassitt
(unattached)
2
3.
CJ Allen
(unattached)
4
4.
Khallifah Rosser
(Nike)
3
5.
Sean Burrell
(LSU)
9
6.
Caleb Dean
(Texas Tech)
nr
7.
Amere Lattin
(adidas)
6
8.
Chris Robinson
(Alabama)
nr
9.
Quincy Hall
(adidas)
5
10.
David Kendziera
(Bell Lap)
nr
20K WALK (by Michael J. Roth)
1.
Nick Christie
(New York AC)
1
2.
Dan Nehnevaj
(Raleigh Walkers)
2
3.
Sam Allen
(Shore AC)
3
4.
Jordan Crawford
(unattached)
4
5.
Emmanuel Corvera
(New York AC)
5
6.
Bricyn Healey
(Raleigh Walkers)
7
7.
Jason Cherng
(New England Walkers)
8
8.
John Cody Risch
(Q Elite)
6
9.
AJ Gruttadauro
(Shore AC)
10
10.
Dean Freitag
(Raleigh Walkers)
nr
HIGH JUMP
1.
JuVaughn Harrison
(Puma)
1
2.
Shelby McEwen
(Nike)
2
3.
Vernon Turner
(Oklahoma)
5
4.
Charles McBride
(Campbell)
nr
5.
Darius Carbin
(Nike)
3
6.
Trey Allen
(Louisville)
9
7.
Dontavious Hill
(Auburn)
4
8.
Darryl Sullivan
(unattached)
7
9.
Kyle Rollins
(Garden State TC)
6
10.
Eli Kosiba
(Grand Valley State)
nr
POLE VAULT
1.
Chris Nilsen
(Nike)
1
2.
Sam Kendricks
(Nike)
nr
3.
KC Lightfoot
(Puma)
2
4.
Zach Bradford
(Texas Tech)
8
5.
Matt Ludwig
(unattached)
4
6.
Jacob Wooten
(unattached)
3
7.
Austin Miller
(unattached)
nr
8.
Branson Ellis
(Stephen F. Austin)
nr
9.
Clayton Fritsch
(unattached)
7
10.
Luke Winder
(Rise)
5
LONG JUMP
1.
Marquis Dendy
(unattached)
1
2.
Steffin McCarter
(Nike)
2
3.
Jarrion Lawson
(unattached)
3
4.
Will Williams
(The Winners Circle)
6
5.
JuVaughn Harrison
(Puma)
9
6.
Johnny Brackins
(USC)
nr
7.
Rayvon Grey
(unattached)
4
8.
Cameron Crump
(Mississippi State)
nr
9.
Jeremiah Davis
(Florida State)
5
10.
Jeremiah Willis
(Louisville)
nr
TRIPLE JUMP
1.
Will Claye
(Red Bull)
2
2.
Donald Scott
(adidas)
1
3.
Christian Taylor
(Nike)
4
4.
Russell Robinson
(Miami)
6
5.
Chris Benard
(unattached)
3
6.
Omar Craddock
(Asics)
nr
7.
Chris Carter
(Air Houston)
5
8.
Jeremiah Davis
(Florida State)
nr
9.
Saif Mane
(Fairleigh Dickinson)
nr
10.
Christian Edwards
(Alabama)
nr
SHOT
1.
Ryan Crouser
(Nike)
1
2.
Joe Kovacs
(Nike/New York AC)
2
3.
Payton Otterdahl
(Iron Wood)
8
4.
Tripp Piperi
(unattached)
4
5.
Josh Awotunde
(Shore AC)
3
6.
Roger Steen
(Velaasa)
5
7.
Jordan Geist
(Arizona)
7
8.
Jonah Wilson
(Nebraska)
nr
9.
Darrell Hill
(Nike)
9
10.
Turner Washington
(Arizona State)
6
DISCUS
1.
Sam Mattis
(Garage Strength/New York AC)
1
2.
Andrew Evans
(unattached)
2
3.
Turner Washington
(Arizona State)
nr
4.
Brian Williams
(Tracksmith)
4
5.
Josh Syrotchen
(unattached)
6
6.
Dallin Shurts
(BYU)
3
7.
Jeff Williams
(Throws Lab)
nr
8.
Reggie Jagers
(unattached)
5
9.
Elijah Mason
(Washington)
nr
10.
Iffy Joyner
(Cal)
8
HAMMER
1.
Rudy Winkler
(Tracksmith/New York AC)
1
2.
Daniel Haugh
(Throw 1 Deep)
2
3.
Sean Donnelly
(adidas)
4
4.
Brock Eager
(Iron Wood)
7
5.
Morgan Shigo
(Velaasa)
5
6.
Erich Sullins
(unattached)
nr
7.
Tyler Merkley
(Penn State)
9
8.
Tyler Williams
(Garage Strength)
nr
9.
Jordan Geist
(Arizona)
nr
10.
Alex Young
(unattached)
3
JAVELIN
1.
Curtis Thompson
(Tracksmith)
1
2.
Marc Minichello
(Georgia)
3
3.
Ethan Dabbs
(Virginia)
2
4.
Capers Williamson
(unattached)
5
5.
Tzuriel Pedigo
(LSU)
6
6.
Donavon Banks
(unattached)
9
7.
Ethan Shalaway
(unattached)
nr
8.
Tim Glover
(Velaasa)
4
9.
Michael Shuey
(unattached)
7
10.
Zach Holland
(Umpqua CC)
8
DECATHLON
1.
Kyle Garland
(Georgia)
2
2.
Zach Ziemek
(unattached)
1
3.
Harrison Williams
(Chula Vista Elite)
nr
4.
Steven Bastien
(unattached)
3
5.
Devon Williams
(unattached)
nr
6.
Heath Baldwin
(Michigan State)
nr
7.
Austin West
(Iowa)
4
8.
Hunter Price
(unattached)
5
9.
Ryan Talbot
(Michigan State)
nr
10.
Jack Flood
(unattached)
7