NCAA Women’s Formchart #4 — Longhorns Pull Away

Texas will score a lot of points from non-winners, as 100 favorite Julien Alfred is the Austin crew’s only individual favorite. (ASHLEIGH YOUNG/TEXAS ATHLETICS)

TEXAS & FLORIDA have projected as Nos. 1 & 2 in each of our four charts this year, but the difference in this post-Regionals version is that Edrick Floréal’s Longhorns for the first time look to have a significant margin over the Gators. In Chart #1 it was 69-68; in #2, 68-63; in #3, 61-60. And now it’s a solid 16-point gap at 79-63. In theory, the team battle will already have been decided by the time the climactic 4×4 rolls around.

When it comes to the event winners, 6 new No. 1s are now in place: Julien Alfred (Texas) 100, Lauren Gregory (Arkansas) 10,000, Alia Armstrong (LSU) 100H, Lamara Distin (Texas A&M) HJ, Gabriella Leon (Louisville) PV & Monae’ Nichols (Texas Tech) LJ.

The 10-deep predictions for each event (‘ = athlete not eligible for U.S. international teams):

TOP 10 TEAMS
School Score Previous Place
1. Texas 79 (+18) 1
2. Florida 63 (+3) 2
3. LSU 55 (–1) 5
4. Texas A&M 49 (–3) 3
5. Arkansas 45 (+10) 7
6. Kentucky 43 (–3) 6
7. Texas Tech 41 (–14) 4
8. Ohio State 27 (+8) =13
9. BYU 22 (–6) 8
10. Arizona State 20 (≠0) 12
(complete team scores below event charts)
100 METERS
1. Julien Alfred’ Texas Jr
2. Favour Ofili’ LSU So
3. Rosemary Chukwuma’ Texas Tech So
4. Kemba Nelson’ Oregon Sr
5. Abby Steiner Kentucky Jr
6. Celera Barnes USC Sr
7. Grace Nwokocha’ North Carolina A&T Fr
8. Melissa Jefferson Coastal Carolina So
9. Kevona Davis’ Texas So
10. Jada Baylark Arkansas Sr
200 METERS
1. Favour Ofili’ LSU So
2. Abby Steiner Kentucky Jr
3. Anavia Battle Ohio State Sr
4. Kynnedy Flannel Texas Jr
5. Kevona Davis’ Texas So
6. Grace Nwokocha’ North Carolina A&T Fr
7. Yanique Dayle Ohio State Jr
8. Rhasidat Adeleke’ Texas Fr
9. Laila Owens Texas A&M So
10. Mariah Ayers Baylor So
400 METERS
1. Charokee Young’ Texas A&M So
2. Stacey Ann Williams’ Texas Jr
3. Kennedy Simon Texas Jr
4. Alexis Holmes Kentucky Jr
5. Tierra Robinson-Jones Texas A&M Jr
6. Talitha Diggs Florida So
7. Jan’Taijah Ford USC So
8. Rosey Effiong Arkansas Fr
9. Ziyah Holman Michigan So
10. Taiya Shelby Vanderbilt Sr
800 METERS
1. Katy-Ann McDonald’ LSU Jr
2. Sarah Hendrick Kennesaw State Jr
3. Gabrielle Wilkinson Florida Jr
4. Imogen Barrett’ Florida Jr
5. Kristie Schoffield Boise Sr
6. Valery Tobias Texas Jr
7. Claire Seymour BYU Jr
8. Aaliyah Miller Baylor Sr
9. McKenna Keegan Villanova Sr
10. Gabja Galvydytė’ Oklahoma State Fr
1500 METERS
1. Sintayehu Vissa’ Mississippi Jr
2. Micaela Degenero Colorado Sr
3. Julia Heymach Stanford Sr
4. Krissy Gear Arkansas Sr
5. Shannon Flockhart’ Providence Fr
6. Anna Gibson Washington Jr
7. Ellie Leather’ Cincinnati Sr
8. Eusila Chepkemei’ Middle Tennessee Sr
9. Emily Mackay Binghamton Sr
10. Olivia Howell Illinois So
STEEPLE
1. Courtney Wayment BYU Sr
2. Ceili McCabe’ West Virginia So
3. Joyce Kimeli’ Auburn Sr
4. Elise Thorner’ New Mexico So
5. Logan Jolly Arkansas Sr
6. Olivia Markezich Notre Dame So
7. Kayley Delay Yale Jr
8. Alissa Niggemann Wisconsin Sr
9. Adva Cohen’ New Mexico Sr
10. Mady Boreman Colorado Sr
5000 METERS
1. Abby Nichols Colorado Sr
2. Katelyn Tuohy NC State So
3. Taylor Roe Oklahoma State So
4. Lauren Gregory Arkansas Jr
5. Mercy Chelangat’ Alabama Jr
6. Parker Valby Florida Fr
7. Cara Woolnough Utah Jr
8. Gracelyn Larkin’ New Mexico So
9. Amaris Tyynismaa Alabama So
10. Isabel Van Camp Arkansas So
10,000 METERS
1. Lauren Gregory Arkansas Jr
2. Mercy Chelangat’ Alabama Jr
3. Grace Forbes Rice So
4. Jenna Magness Michigan State Sr
5. Emma Heckel’ New Mexico Fr
6. Michaela Reinhart Duke Sr
7. Haley Herberg Washington Jr
8. Maggie Donahue Georgetown So
9. Everlyn Kemboi’ Utah Valley Jr
10. Emily Covert Colorado So
100 HURDLES
1. Alia Armstrong LSU So
2. Demisha Roswell’ Texas Tech Jr
3. Paula Salmon North Carolina A&T Sr
4. Kaylah Robinson Texas A&M Sr
5. Masai Russell Kentucky Jr
6. Jasmine Jones USC So
7. Ackera Nugent’ Baylor So
8. Rayniah Jones UCF So
9. Yoveinny Mota’ Arkansas Jr
10. Naomi Taylor Houston Sr
400 HURDLES
1. Britton Wilson Arkansas So
2. Masai Russell Kentucky Jr
3. Anna Hall Florida So
4. Lauren Hoffman Duke Sr
5. Shannon Meisberger Arizona Sr
6. Deshae Wise Texas A&M Sr
7. Abigail Schaaffe’ Minnesota Fr
8. Milan Young Texas Sr
9. Asia Jinks Auburn Sr
10. Shan’ia Bellamy Coastal Carolina So
4 x 100
1. Texas Texas
2. Kentucky Kentucky
3. Ohio State Ohio State
4. Oregon Oregon
5. LSU LSU
6. Alabama Alabama
7. Florida State Florida State
8. USC USC
9. Iowa Iowa
10. Clemson Clemson
4 x 400
1. Texas Texas
2. Texas A&M Texas A&M
3. Kentucky Kentucky
4. Arkansas Arkansas
5. South Carolina South Carolina
6. Baylor Baylor
7. Howard Howard
8. Florida Florida
9. Ohio State Ohio State
10. USC USC
HIGH JUMP
1. Lamara Distin’ Texas A&M Jr
2. Rachel Glenn South Carolina So
3. Nyagoa Bayak LSU So
4. Abigail Kwarteng’ Middle Tennessee Sr
5. Sidney Sapp Texas Tech Jr
6. Jenna Rogers Nebraska Fr
7. Tyra Gittens’ Texas Sr
8. Lucy Corbett Montana State Jr
9. Rylee Anderson Kansas Jr
10. Emma Söderström’ Wake Forest Sr
POLE VAULT
1. Gabriela Leon Louisville Sr
2. Rachel Baxter Virginia Tech Sr
3. Olivia Lueking Oklahoma Fr
4. Amanda Fassold Arkansas So
5. Lisa Gunnarsson’ LSU Sr
6. Sydney Horn High Point So
7. Sommer Knight East Carolina Sr
8. Julia Fixsen Virginia Tech Jr
9. Chloe Timberg Rutgers Fr
10. Marleen Mulla’ South Dakota Fr
LONG JUMP
1. Monae’ Nichols Texas Tech Sr
2. Jasmine Moore Florida So
3. Deborah Acquah’ Texas A&M Sr
4. Ruth Usoro’ Texas Tech Sr
5. Tyra Gittens’ Texas Sr
6. Morgan Smalls LSU So
7. Claire Bryant Florida So
8. Ackelia Smith’ Texas Fr
9. Synclair Savage Louisville So
10. Paola Fernandez-Sola’ Indiana Jr
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Jasmine Moore Florida So
2. Natricia Hooper’ Florida Sr
3. Ackelia Smith’ Texas Fr
4. Rūta Lasmane’ Texas Tech So
5. Mikeisha Welcome’ Oklahoma So
6. Jaimie Robinson Ohio State Jr
7. Titiana Marsh Georgia Jr
8. Dominique Ruotolo Oregon So
9. Ruth Usoro’ Texas Tech Sr
10. Lexi Ellis Oregon Jr
SHOT
1. Adelaide Aquilla Ohio State Sr
2. Jorinde van Klinken’ Arizona State Sr
3. Axelina Johansson’ Nebraska Fr
4. Divine Oladipo’ Vanderbilt Sr
5. Ana da Silva’ Georgia Jr
6. Payden Montana Oklahoma Jr
7. Latavia Maines Tennessee Sr
8. Jaida Ross Oregon So
9. Marilyn Nwora Texas So
10. Josie Schaefer Wisconsin Jr
DISCUS
1. Jorinde van Klinken’ Arizona State Sr
2. Alexandra Emilianov’ Kansas Jr
3. Shelby Frank Minnesota So
4. Cierra Jackson Fresno State Fr
5. Alyssa Wilson Texas State Sr
6. Essence Henderson Virginia Tech Jr
7. Jayden Ulrich Indiana Fr
8. Ashley Anumba Virginia Jr
9. Lauren Jones Oklahoma Sr
10. Corinne Jemison Michigan Sr
HAMMER
1. Camryn Rogers’ Cal Sr
2. Alyssa Wilson Texas State Sr
3. Jillian Shippee North Carolina Sr
4. Anna Purchase’ Cal Jr
5. Madi Malone Auburn Jr
6. Tara Simpson-Sullivan’ Rice So
7. Beatrice Llano’ Arizona State Sr
8. Kaila Butler’ Bowling Green Sr
9. Amy Phillips North Dakota State Sr
10. Sara Killinen’ Virginia Tech So
JAVELIN
1. Ashton Riner BYU Sr
2. Madison Wiltrout North Carolina Sr
3. Maddie Harris Nebraska So
4. Virginia Miller Stanford Sr
5. Rhema Otabor’ Florida International So
6. Lianna Davidson Texas A&M Fr
7. Sara Zabarino’ Florida State Sr
8. Ashley Carter Auburn Sr
9. Kelechi Nwanaga’ Florida State Sr
10. Katelyn Fairchild Texas A&M Fr
HEPTATHLON
1. Anna Hall Florida So
2. Kristīne Blaževiča’ Texas So
3. Erin Marsh Duke Sr
4. Isabel Wakefield’ Duke Jr
5. Lexie Keller Colorado State Jr
6. Callie Jones Texas Tech Sr
7. Allie Jones Stanford Jr
8. Sterling Lester Florida Jr
9. Nicola Ader’ Nevada Sr
10. Bailey Golden Oklahoma State So
COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1. Texas 79
2. Florida 63
3. LSU 55
4. Texas A&M 49
5. Arkansas 45
6. Kentucky 43
7. Texas Tech 41
8. Ohio State 27
9. BYU 22
10. Arizona State 20
11. Duke 19
12. Colorado 18
=13. Alabama 15
=13. Cal 15
=13. Nebraska 15
16. North Carolina 14
=17. Oklahoma 13
=17. Stanford 13
=19. Oregon 12
=19. South Carolina 12
=19. Texas State 12
=19. Virginia Tech 12
=23. Auburn 11
=23. North Carolina A&T 11
=25. Louisville 10
=25. Mississippi 10
=25. New Mexico 10
=28. Rice 9
=28. USC 9
=30. Kennesaw State 8
=30. Kansas 8
=30. Minnesota 8
=30. NC State 8
=30. West Virginia 8
=35. Baylor 6
=35. Georgia 6
=35. Middle Tennessee 6
=35. Oklahoma State 6
=39. Fresno State 5
=39. Michigan State 5
=39. Vanderbilt 5
=39. Washington 5
=43. Arizona 4
=43. Boise 4
=43. Colorado State 4
=43. Florida International 4
=43. Florida State 4
=43. Providence 4
=49. High Point 3
=49. Notre Dame 3
=51. Cincinnati 2
=51. East Carolina 2
=51. Howard 2
=51. Indiana 2
=51. Tennessee 2
=51. Utah 2
=51. Yale 2
=58. Bowling Green 1
=58. Coastal Carolina 1
=58. Georgetown 1
=58. Montana State 1
=58. UCF 1
=58. Virginia 1
=58. Wisconsin 1