2021 NCAA Women’s Formchart #4 — A Down-To-The-Wire 3-Way?

Texas A&M scoring machine Tyra Gittens is predicted to tally 24 points, more than all but 9 whole teams. (ERROL ANDERSON/THE SPORTING IMAGE)

AFTER THE REGIONALS WEEKEND we find that the NCAA women’s formchart has once again changed significantly since the previous iterations. In charts 1 (April 05) and 2 (April 27) top-rated USC had a 2-point lead — over LSU in the first, over Texas A&M in the second. Then in the third (May 20) Pat Henry’s Aggies continued their climb, holding down the leadership by 6 points over LSU, with the Trojans another 3 points back.

But our post-Regionals analysis finds A&M treading water, while USC (+8) and LSU (+4) made gains, with the result that the crystal ball now sees it as A&M by a single point over the Trojans, with another digit back to the Bengals. Obviously lots of leeway for chart-busting to come!

As is so often the case, the team battle may well come down to the climactic 4×4. Based on our current charting, as the teams toe the line LSU would be leading with its 60 points (but with a 4×4 charted not to be in the final), with USC at 53 and A&M at 52. Be sure to have your calculators handy!

Versatile Tyra Gittens remains the key to the A&M hopes, predicted to win the heptathlon, take 2nd in the HJ and 3rd in the LJ.

The 10-deep predictions for each event (’ = athlete not eligible for U.S. international teams):

TOP 10 TEAMS
Team Points Previous Chart
1. Texas A&M 62 (0) 1
2. USC 61 (+8) 3
3. LSU 60 (+4) 2
4. Alabama 52 (+2) 4
5. Arkansas 43 (+4) 7
6. Georgia 33 (-12) =5
7. Texas 32 (-13) =5
8. Oregon 31 (+5) =10
9. Florida 25 (+2) 12
10. BYU 24 (-3) =8
(complete team scores below event charts)
100 METERS
1. TeeTee Terry USC Jr
2. Kemba Nelson’ Oregon Jr
3. Cambrea Sturgis North Carolina A&T So
4. Tamara Clark Alabama Sr
5. Symone Mason LSU Jr
6. Tiana Wilson Arkansas So
7. Cassondra Hall UNLV Sr
8. Jada Baylark Arkansas Jr
9. Brianne Bethel’ Houston Sr
10. Ackera Nugent’ Baylor Fr
200 METERS
1. Tamara Clark Alabama Sr
2. Favour Ofili’ LSU Fr
3. Anavia Battle Ohio State Sr
4. TeeTee Terry USC Jr
5. Kynnedy Flannel Texas Jr
6. Cambrea Sturgis North Carolina A&T So
7. Brianne Bethel’ Houston Sr
8. Angie Annelus USC Sr
9. Symone Mason LSU Jr
10. Jada Baylark Arkansas Jr
400 METERS
1. Athing Mu Texas A&M Fr
2. Stacey Ann Williams’ Texas Jr
3. Nastassha McDonald’ Alabama Sr
4. Kaelin Roberts USC Sr
5. Charokee Young’ Texas A&M So
6. Bailey Lear USC Jr
7. Talitha Diggs Florida Fr
8. Meleni Rodney’ UCLA Sr
9. Kyra Constantine’ USC Sr
10. Stephanie Davis South Carolina Jr
800 METERS
1. Michaela Meyer Virginia Sr
2. Aaliyah Miller Baylor Sr
3. Laurie Barton Clemson Sr
4. Sarah Hendrick Kennesaw State So
5. Shafiqua Maloney’ Arkansas Sr
6. McKenna Keegan Villanova Sr
7. Gabrielle Wilkinson Florida So
8. Lindsey Butler Virginia Tech So
9. Aurora Rynda’ Michigan So
10. Kayla Johnson Miami Jr
1500 METERS
1. Sage Hurta Colorado Sr
2. Krissy Gear Arkansas Jr
3. Julia Heymach Stanford Jr
4. Amaris Tyynismaa Alabama Fr
5. Whitni Orton BYU Sr
6. Danae Rivers Penn State Sr
7. Ella Donaghu Stanford Jr
8. Maudie Skyring’ Florida State Jr
9. Presley Weems Auburn Jr
10. Kelsey Harris Indiana Sr
STEEPLE
1. Courtney Wayment BYU Jr
2. Katie Rainsberger Washington Sr
3. Charlotte Prouse’ New Mexico Sr
4. Aneta Konieczek’ Oregon Jr
5. Hannah Steelman NC State Sr
6. Joyce Kimeli’ Auburn Jr
7. Gabrielle Jennings Furman Sr
8. Olivia Markezich Notre Dame Fr
9. Abby Kohut-Jackson Minnesota Sr
10. Summer Allen Weber State Sr
5000 METERS
1. Whittni Orton BYU Sr
2. Katie Wasserman Notre Dame Sr
3. Mercy Chelangat’ Alabama So
4. Julia Heymach Stanford Jr
5. Elly Henes NC State Sr
6. Ella Donaghu Stanford Jr
7. Lauren Gregory Arkansas So
8. Beth Hasz Minnesota Sr
9. Jenna Magness Michigan State Sr
10. Haley Herberg Washington Sr
10,000 METERS
1. Mercy Chelangat’ Alabama So
2. Carmela Cardama Baez’ Oregon Sr
3. Grace Forbes Rice Fr
4. Katie Izzo Arkansas Sr
5. Abbey Wheeler Providence Sr
6. Poppy Tank’ Utah Sr
7. Amanda Vestri Syracuse Jr
8. Abby Nichols Colorado Sr
9. Clare O’Brien’ Boise Sr
10. Haley Herberg Washington Sr
100 HURDLES
1. Tonea Marshall LSU Sr
2. Ackera Nugent’ Baylor Fr
3. Anna Cockrell USC Sr
4. Daszay Freeman’ Arkansas So
5. Grace Stark Florida So
6. Rayniah Jones UCF Fr
7. TeJyrica Robinson North Carolina A&T Sr
8. Jasmine Jones USC Fr
9. Paula Salmon North Carolina A&T Jr
10. Mecca McGlaston USC Sr
400 HURDLES
1. Anna Cockrell USC Sr
2. Andrenette Knight’ Virginia Sr
3. Milan Young LSU Jr
4. Vanessa Watson Tennessee Fr
5. Brittley Humphrey LSU Sr
6. Shannon Meisberger Arizona Jr
7. Jurnee Woodward LSU Jr
8. Masai Russell Kentucky So
9. Brooke Overholt’ Cornell So
10. Madison Langley-Walker Oklahoma So
4 x 100
1. LSU LSU
2. USC USC
3. Alabama Alabama
4. North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T
5. Oregon Oregon
6. Texas Texas
7. Houston Houston
8. Arkansas Arkansas
9. Florida State Florida State
10. Oklahoma Oklahoma
4 x 400
1. Texas A&M Texas A&M
2. USC USC
3. Arkansas Arkansas
4. Florida Florida
5. Alabama Alabama
6. South Carolina South Carolina
7. Duke Duke
8. Texas Texas
9. UCLA UCLA
10. LSU LSU
HIGH JUMP
1. Rachel Glenn South Carolina Fr
2. Tyra Gittens’ Texas A&M Jr
3. Lamara Distin’ Texas A&M So
4. Abigail O’Donoghue LSU Sr
5. Morgan Smalls USC Fr
6. Esther Isa’ Middle Tennessee Jr
7. Quintella Johnson Eastern Michigan Sr
8. Annika Williams Kentucky Fr
9. Lucy Corbett Montana State So
10. Madison Langley-Walker Oklahoma So
POLE VAULT
1. Lisa Gunnarsson’ LSU Sr
2. Lauren Martinez Arkansas Sr
3. Kayla Smith Georgia Sr
4. Sydney Horn High Point Fr
5. Tuesdi Tidwell Baylor Jr
6. Gennifer Hirata South Dakota Fr
7. Helen Falda’ South Dakota Sr
8. Sophia Franklin Michigan State Sr
9. Rachel Baxter Virginia Tech Sr
10. Hayley Horvath Towson So
LONG JUMP
1. Tara Davis Texas Jr
2. Claire Bryant Florida Fr
3. Tyra Gittens’ Texas A&M Jr
4. Jasmine Moore Georgia So
5. Alysah Hickey Oregon Fr
6. Taishia Pryce’ Kansas State Sr
7. Deborah Acquah’ Texas A&M Sr
8. Ruth Usoro’ Texas Tech Jr
9. Aliyah Whisby LSU Sr
10. Monae’ Nichols Texas Tech Sr
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Jasmine Moore Georgia So
2. Rūta Lasmane’ Florida State Fr
3. Deborah Acquah’ Texas A&M Sr
4. Ruth Usoro’ Texas Tech Jr
5. Natricia Hooper’ Florida Sr
6. Charisma Taylor’ Washington State Sr
7. Bria Matthews Georgia Tech Sr
8. Mikeisha Welcome Oklahoma So
9. Titiana Marsh Georgia Jr
10. Michelle Fokam Rice Sr
SHOT
1. Adelaide Aquilla Ohio State Jr
2. Khayla Dawson Indiana Sr
3. Samantha Noennig Arizona Jr
4. Lagi Tausaga Iowa Sr
5. Latavia Maines Tennessee Sr
6. Akealy Moton North Dakota State So
7. Jorinde Van Klinken’ Arizona State Jr
8. Madison Pollard Indiana Sr
9. Josie Schaefer Wisconsin So
10. Sade Olatoye Ohio State Sr
DISCUS
1. Jorinde van Klinken’ Arizona State Jr
2. Lagi Tausaga Iowa Sr
3. Shanice Love’ Florida State Sr
4. Alexandra Emilianov’ Kansas So
5. Serena Brown’ Iowa Jr
6. Seasons Usual Texas Tech Jr
7. Caisa Marie-Lindfors’ Florida State Fr
8. Adelaide Aquilla Ohio State Jr
9. Gabrielle Bailey’ Kent State So
10. Alyssa Wilson UCLA Jr
HAMMER
1. Camryn Rogers’ Cal Jr
2. Alyssa Wilson UCLA Jr
3. Autavia Fluker South Alabama Sr
4. Sade Olatoye’ Ohio State Sr
5. Maddy Nilles North Dakota State Sr
6. Beatrice Llano’ Arizona State Jr
7. Tara Simpson-Sullivan’ Rice Fr
8. Emma Robbins LSU Fr
9. Jillian Shippee North Carolina Jr
10. Shey Taiwo Mississippi Jr
JAVELIN
1. Marie-Therese Obst’ Georgia Sr
2. Kylee Carter Auburn Sr
3. Madison Wiltrout North Carolina Jr
4. Maura Fiamoncini Bucknell Sr
5. Kelechi Nwanaga’ Florida State Jr
6. Akealy Moton North Dakota State So
7. Lauri Paredes’ Oregon Sr
8. Kari Wolfe North Dakota State So
9. Skylar Ciccolini Missouri Fr
10. Alizee Minard’ Arizona State Sr
HEPTATHLON
1. Tyra Gittens’ Texas A&M Jr
2. Michelle Atherley Miami Sr
3. Kristīne Blaževiča’ Texas Fr
4. Erin Marsh Duke Sr
5. Jadin O’Brien Notre Dame Fr
6. Lauren Taubert Kansas State Sr
7. Asya Reynolds Georgia Sr
8. Madeline Nickal Penn State Sr
9. Kaylee Hinton Texas Tech Sr
10. Lyndsey Lopes Washington Sr
COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1. Texas A&M 62
2. USC 61
3. LSU 60
4. Alabama 52
5. Arkansas 43
6. Georgia 33
7. Texas 32
8. Oregon 31
9. Florida 25
10. BYU 24
11. Ohio State 22
12. Florida State 21
13. Baylor 20
14. Virginia 18
15. Iowa 17
=16. North Carolina A&T 16
=16. Stanford 16
18. Arizona State 15
=19. Notre Dame 13
=19. South Carolina 13
=21. Auburn 11
=21. Colorado 11
=21. North Dakota State 11
24. Cal 10
=25. Arizona 9
=25. Indiana 9
=25. Tennessee 9
=25. Texas Tech 9
=25. UCLA 9
=30. Miami 8
=30. NC State 8
=30. Rice 8
=30. Washington 8
34. Duke 7
=35. Clemson 6
=35. Kansas State 6
=35. North Carolina 6
=35. New Mexico 6
=35. South Alabama 6
=40. Bucknell 5
=40. High Point 5
=40. Kennesaw State 5
=40. Kansas 5
=40. South Dakota 5
=45. Houston 4
=45. Penn State 4
=45. Providence 4
=48. Middle Tennessee 3
=48. UCF 3
=48. Utah 3
=48. Villanova 3
=48. Washington State 3
=53. Eastern Michigan 2
=53. Furman 2
=53. Georgia Tech 2
=53. Kentucky 2
=53. Syracuse 2
=53. UNLV 2
=59. Michigan State 1
=59. Minnesota 1
=59. Oklahoma 1
=59. Virginia Tech 1