Olympic Trials Men’s Formchart No. 2

Matthew Centrowitz is the only ’16 OT track-event winner favored to win again this year. (MIKE SCOTT)

FEARLESS FORECASTING by Dave Johnson — as of June 16.

The USATF Championships in Eugene (June 18–21 & 24–27) will also be the selection meet for the Olympic Games. With declarations now in, here are our Top 10 picks in each men’s event.

The numbers in the right-hand column? With no U.S. Rankings having been possible for the pandemic year of ’20, those figures reflect the athlete’s position in T&FN’s ’19 U.S. Rankings. If he wasn’t ranked in ’19, then the ’18 rating is given in parentheses. An “nr” means he didn’t rank in either ’17 or ’18, but may have in an earlier year.

100 METERS
1. Trayvon Bromell (New Balance) nr
2. Fred Kerley (Nike) nr
3. Justin Gatlin (Nike) 3
4. Noah Lyles (adidas) 2
5. Kenny Bednarek (Nike) nr
6. Ronnie Baker (Nike) nr
7. Marvin Bracy (Nike) nr
8. Isiah Young (Nike) 7
9. Micah Williams (Oregon) nr
10. Cravon Gillespie (Nike) 5
200 METERS
1. Noah Lyles (adidas) 1
2. Kenny Bednarek (Nike) 5
3. Terrance Laird (LSU) nr
4. Fred Kerley (Nike) (10)
5. Michael Norman (Nike) 2
6. Micaiah Harris (Texas) 7
7. Isiah Young (Nike) nr
8. Erriyon Knighton (adidas) nr
9. Matthew Boling (Georgia) 9
10. Ameer Webb (Nike) 6
400 METERS
1. Michael Norman (Nike) 2
2. Randolph Ross (North Carolina A&T) nr
3. Michael Cherry (Nike) 6
4. Bryce Deadmon (Texas A&M) nr
5. Vernon Norwood (New Balance) nr
6. Trevor Stewart (North Carolina A&T) 4
7. Justin Robinson (Gateway City United AC) nr
8. Noah Williams (LSU) nr
9. Wil London (unattached) 8
10. Kahmari Montgomery (Nike) 3
800 METERS
1. Donavan Brazier (Nike) 1
2. Bryce Hoppel (adidas) 3
3. Clayton Murphy (Nike) 2
4. Isaiah Harris (Nike) 5
5. Erik Sowinski (unattached) 9
6. Michael Rhoads (US Air Force) nr
7. Isaiah Jewett (USC) 8
8. Brandon Miller (Texas A&M) nr
9. Abraham Alvarado (Atlanta TC) nr
10. Vincent Crisp (Under Armour) nr
1500 METERS
1. Matthew Centrowitz (Nike Bowerman TC) 2
2. Craig Engels (Nike) 1
3. Josh Thompson (Nike Bowerman TC) 3
4. Johnny Gregorek (Asics) 7
5. Henry Wynne (Brooks Beasts) 10
6. Cole Hocker (Oregon) nr
7. Yared Nuguse (Notre Dame) nr
8. Ben Blankenship (Nike Oregon TC Elite) 4
9. Hobbs Kessler (Michigan HS) nr
10. Sam Prakel (adidas) 5
STEEPLE
1. Hillary Bor (Hoka One One) 1
2. Isaac Updike (Empire Elite TC) (10)
3. Mason Ferlic (unattached) 5
4. Benard Keter (US Army) 4
5. Sean McGorty (Nike Bowerman TC) nr
6. Daniel Michalski (unattached) nr
7. Obsa Ali (Asics) 6
8. Brian Barraza (adidas/Tinman Elite) nr
9. Anthony Rotich (Nike/US Army) nr
10. Franklin Tonui (Nike/US Army) 9
5000 METERS
1. Paul Chelimo (Nike) 1
2. Grant Fisher (Nike Bowerman TC) nr
3. Emmanuel Bor (US Army) 10
4. Lopez Lomong (Nike Bowerman TC) 2
5. Woody Kincaid (Nike Bowerman TC) 4
6. Hassan Mead (Nike Oregon TC Elite) 3
7. Ben True (unattached) 5
8. Eric Jenkins (Nike) nr
9. Cooper Teare (Oregon) nr
10. Sean McGorty (Nike Bowerman TC) nr
10,000 METERS
1. Lopez Lomong (Nike Bowerman TC) 1
2. Woody Kincaid (Nike Bowerman TC) nr
3. Grant Fisher (Nike Bowerman TC) nr
4. Eric Jenkins (Nike) nr
5. Emmanuel Bor (US Army) nr
6. Ben True (unattached) 6
7. Joe Klecker (On AC) nr
8. Samuel Chelanga (unattached) nr
9. Leonard Korir (US Army) 3
10. Frank Lara (Tracksmith/Roots Running Project) nr
110 HURDLES
1. Grant Holloway (adidas) 1
2. Daniel Roberts (Nike) 2
3. Devon Allen (Nike) 4
4. Robert Dunning (Alabama) nr
5. Jaylan McConico (Iowa) nr
6. Michael Dickson (unattached) 7
7. Trey Cunningham (Florida State) nr
8. Aaron Mallett (Tracksmith) 9
9. Jamal Britt (Iowa) nr
10. Jarret Eaton (Phoenix TC) 8
400 HURDLES
1. Rai Benjamin (Nike) 1
2. Sean Burrell (LSU) nr
3. Trevor Bassitt (Ashland) nr
4. Isaiah Levingston (Oklahoma) nr
5. Amere Lattin (adidas) 4
6. Kenny Selmon (unattached) nr
7. Quincy Hall (adidas) 5
8. Cameron Samuel (USC) 10
9. CJ Allen (unattached) nr
10. Khallifah Rosser (unattached) 8
20K WALK (from Steve Vaitones)
1. Nick Christie (unattached) 1
2. Dan Nehnevaj (Raleigh Walkers) nr
3. Emmanuel Corvera (New York AC) 3
4. John Cody Risch (Q Elite) 2
5. Anthony Peters (Raleigh Walkers) 4
6. Stephen Smith (unattached) nr
7. A.J. Gruttadauro (Shore AC) (7)
8. Jordan Crawford (Legacy Athletics) nr
9. Bricyn Healey (unattached) nr
10. Allen James (So Cal TC) 7
HIGH JUMP
1. JuVaughn Harrison (LSU) 3
2. Erik Kynard (unattached) nr
3. Shelby McEwen (unattached) 2
4. Jeron Robinson (unattached) 1
5. Darryl Sullivan (Tennessee) nr
6. Trey Culver (adidas) nr
7. Tyler Arroyo (unattached) nr
8. Earnie Sears (USC) 8
9. Mayson Conner (Nebraska) nr
10. Vernon Turner (Oklahoma) nr
POLE VAULT
1. Sam Kendricks (Nike) 1
2. Chris Nilsen (Nike) 2
3. KC Lightfoot (Baylor) 4
4. Matt Ludwig (unattached) 8
5. Branson Ellis (Stephen F. Austin) nr
6. Nate Richartz (Tracksmith) nr
7. Scott Houston (Shore AC) 7
8. Zach Bradford (Kansas) 5
9. Zach McWhorter (BYU) nr
10. Audie Wyatt (unattached) nr
LONG JUMP
1. Jeff Henderson (adidas) 1
2. Jarrion Lawson (unattached) (2)
3. JuVaughn Harrison (LSU) 5
4. Marquis Dendy (unattached) nr
5. Corey Crawford (unattached) nr
6. Isaac Grimes (Florida State) nr
7. Will Claye (Puma/New York AC) 3
8. Damarcus Simpson (unattached) 8
9. Marquise Goodwin (unattached) nr
10. Jarvis Gotch (unattached) 9
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Will Claye (Puma/New York AC) 2
2. Donald Scott (adidas) 4
3. Chris Benard (Nike/Chula Vista Elite) 5
4. Chris Carter (air Houston) 7
5. Alphonso Jordan (unattached) nr
6. Sean Dixon-Bodie (LSU) nr
7. Isaiah Griffith (Oregon) nr
8. Timothy White (unattached) nr
9. Christian Edwards (Alabama) nr
10. Anthony Applequist (unattached) nr
SHOT
1. Ryan Crouser (Nike) 1
2. Joe Kovacs (Velaasa/New York AC) 2
3. Darrell Hill (Nike) 3
4. Payton Otterdahl (Nike) 4
5. Josh Awotunde (Shore AC) 6
6. Tripp Piperi (Texas) 9
7. Jordan Geist (Arizona) 10
8. Andrew Liskowitz (Michigan) nr
9. T’Mond Johnson (Garage Strength) nr
10. Roger Steen (Velaasa) nr
DISCUS
1. Mason Finley (unattached) 3
2. Reggie Jagers (Iron Wood TC) 2
3. Sam Mattis (New York AC) 1
4. Turner Washington (Arizona State) nr
5. Brian Williams (unattached) 4
6. Kord Ferguson (Thrown One Deep) 6
7. Josh Syrotchen (Garage Strength) nr
8. Legend Boyesen (Garage Strength) nr
9. Duke Kicinski (unattached) 5
10. Jason Harrell (Arete Throws Nation) (7)
HAMMER
1. Rudy Winkler (Tracksmith/New York AC) 2
2. Sean Donnelly (adidas) 1
3. Daniel Haugh (Throw One Deep) 4
4. Alex Young (unattached) 5
5. Morgan Shigo (Velaasa) 7
6. Brock Eager (unattached) nr
7. Conor McCullough (New York AC) 3
8. Michael Shanahan (Chula Vista Elite) 6
9. Johnnie Jackson (unattached) nr
10. Vlad Pavlenko (Iowa State) nr
JAVELIN
1. Michael Shuey (Velaasa/New York AC) 1
2. Riley Dolezal (Velaasa) 2
3. Curtis Thompson (unattached) 3
4. Marc Minichello (unattached) nr
5. Ethan Shalaway (unattached) nr
6. Tzuriel Pedigo (LSU) 5
7. Capers Williamson (unattached) (2)
8. Denham Patricelli (unattached) nr
9. Brett Thompson (Pittsburg State) nr
10. Cade Antonucci (Auburn) nr
DECATHLON
1. Garrett Scantling (Nike) nr
2. Harrison Williams (unattached) 2
3. Zach Ziemek (unattached) 3
4. Solomon Simmons (MultiStars Inc) 1
5. Devon Williams (New York AC) 4
6. Kyle Garland (Georgia) nr
7. Tim Ehrhardt (Santa Barbara TC) 8
8. Jack Flood (unattached) 10
9. Scott Filip (unattached) 5
10. Hunter Price (unattached) nr