2024 NCAA Men’s Formchart #1 — A Tie?!

IN OUR women’s predictions we noted that things don’t get much closer, as that team race will go down to the final event before the winner is known. The men’s competition looks to be even closer, with current crystal-balling seeing a tie. That would be the first knotting since ’13.

The way our first formchart of the year sees things, the meet will go into the ultimate race with Texas Tech holding a 45–44 lead over Texas A&M. LSU is another point back, but doesn’t appear to have a strong 4×4. A&M meanwhile, is projected to take 3rd, with Tech 4th, which will leave them tied for the crown, with another 6 back to LSU.

Successful individual defenses of ’23 wins look to be hard to come by as 10 of 19 champions return, but only 5 are picked to repeat their wins: 110H—Phillip Lemonious (Arkansas), 400H—Chris Robinson (Alabama), HJ—Romaine Beckford (Arkansas), HT—Kenneth Ikeji (Harvard), Dec—Leo Neugebauer (Texas).

The 10-deep predictions for each event (‘ = athlete not eligible for U.S. international teams):

TOP 10 TEAMS
=1. Texas A&M	50
=1. Texas Tech	50
3. LSU	44
4. Arkansas	41
5. Florida	39
6. Texas	32
7. Alabama	30
8. Georgia	28
9. Washington	26
10. Auburn	23
(complete team scores below event picks)

100 METERS
1. Terrence Jones’	Texas Tech	Sr
2. Godson Oghenebrume’	LSU	Jr
3. Shaun Maswanganyi’	Houston	Sr
4. Favour Ashe’	Auburn	Jr
5. Kalen Walker	Iowa	Jr
6. Da’Marcus Fleming	LSU	Sr
7. Robert Gregory	Florida	Sr
8. Javonte Harding	Tennessee	Sr
9. Davonte Burnett’	Houston	Sr
10. Ismael Kone’	Florida State	Sr

200 METERS
1. Terrence Jones’	Texas Tech	Sr
2. Robert Gregory	Florida	Sr
3. Cheickna Traore’	Penn State	Jr
4. Tarsis Orogot’	Alabama	Jr
5. Shaun Maswanganyi’	Houston	Sr
6. Cameron Miller	Purdue	So
7. Javonte Harding	Tennessee	Sr
8. Lance Lang	Arkansas	Sr
9. Kennedy Lightner	Kentucky	Sr
10. Jordan Ware	Mississippi State	Fr

400 METERS
1. Christopher Morales Williams’	Georgia	So
2. Auhmad Robinson	Texas A&M	Jr
3. Judson Lincoln	Virginia Tech	So
4. JeVaughn Powell’	Florida	Sr
5. Samuel Ogazi’	Alabama	Fr
6. Kennedy Lightner	Kentucky	Sr
7. William Jones	USC	So
8. Khaleb McRae	Alabama	Sr
9. Emmanuel Bynum	Tennessee	Sr
10. Justin Robinson	Arizona State	Jr

800 METERS
1. Sam Whitmarsh	Texas A&M	Jr
2. Yusuf Bizimana’	Texas	Sr
3. Finley McLear’	Iowa State	Sr
4. Tyrese Reid’	Mississippi State	Sr
5. Rivaldo Marshall’	Iowa	Jr
6. Sean Dolan	Villanova	Sr
7. Parvej Khan’	Florida	Fr
8. Kimar Farquharson’	Texas A&M	Jr
9. Handal Roban’	Penn State	So
10. Tarees Rhoden’	Clemson	Sr

1500 METERS
1. Joe Waskom	Washington	Sr
2. Nathan Green	Washington	Jr
3. Adam Spencer’	Wisconsin	Jr
4. Ezekiel Rop’	Iowa State	Sr
5. Luke Houser	Washington	Sr
6. Lucas Bons	BYU	Jr
7. Annas Essayi’	South Carolina	Jr
8. Liam Murphy	Villanova	Jr
9. Ethan Strand	North Carolina	So
10. Gary Martin	Virginia	So

STEEPLE
1. Victor Kibiego’	Texas A&M	So
2. Nate Mountain	Virginia	Jr
3. Abdelhakim Abouzouhir	Eastern Kentucky	Sr
4. Victor Shitsama’	Oklahoma State	Sr
5. Parker Stokes	Georgetown	Sr
6. Peter Herold	Georgetown	Sr
7. Rob McManus	Montana State	So
8. Carson Williams	Furman	Jr
9. Patrick Thygesen’	Providence	Jr
10. Levi Taylor	Montana State	Sr

5000 METERS
1. Nico Young	Northern Arizona	Sr
2. Parker Wolfe	North Carolina	Jr
3. Ky Robinson’	Stanford	Sr
4. Habtom Samuel’	New Mexico	Fr
5. Peter Maru’	Arkansas	Fr
6. Graham Blanks	Harvard	Jr
7. Alex Maier	Oklahoma State	Sr
8. Aaron Las Heras’	Northern Arizona	Sr
9. Jackson Sharp’	Wisconsin	Sr
10. Casey Clinger	BYU	Sr

10,000 METERS
1. Nico Young	Northern Arizona	Sr
2. Graham Blanks	Harvard	Jr
3. Ky Robinson’	Stanford	Sr
4. Habtom Samuel’	New Mexico	Fr
5. Casey Clinger	BYU	Sr
6. Evan Jenkins	Washington	Fr
7. Wil Smith	Gonzaga	Jr
8. Victor Kiprop’	Alabama	Jr
9. Alex Maier	Oklahoma State	Sr
10. Evans Kiplagat’	New Mexico	Fr

110 HURDLES
1. Phillip Lemonious’	Arkansas	Sr g
2. Caleb Dean	Texas Tech	Sr
3. Johnny Brackins	USC	Jr
4. Ja’Qualon Scott	Texas A&M	So
5. De’Vion Wison	Houston	Sr
6. Connor Schulman	Texas A&M	Sr
7. Samuel Bennett	Howard	Jr
8. Antoine Andrews’	Texas Tech	So
9. Jahiem Stern’	LSU	So
10. Jaheem Hayles’	Syracuse	Sr

400 HURDLES
1. Chris Robinson	Alabama	Sr
2. Sean Burrell	LSU	Sr
3. Caleb Dean	Texas Tech	Sr
4. Corde Long	Alabama	Sr
5. Nathaniel Ezekiel’	Baylor	Jr
6. Oskar Edlund’	Texas Tech	Jr
7. Rasheeme Griffith’	Tennessee	Sr
8. Caleb Cavanaugh	Texas	Sr
9. Bryce McCray	Texas A&M	Jr
10. Ja’Qualon Scott	Texas A&M	So

4 x 100
1. Auburn	Auburn
2. South Florida	South Florida
3. LSU	LSU
4. Texas	Texas
5. Texas Tech	Texas Tech
6. Baylor	Baylor
7. Campbell	Campbell
8. Cal State Fullerton	Cal State Fullerton
9. Cal State Northridge	Cal State Northridge
10. Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech

4 x 400
1. Arizona State	Arizona State
2. Florida	Florida
3. Texas A&M	Texas A&M
4. Texas Tech	Texas Tech
5. Alabama	Alabama
6. Tennessee	Tennessee
7. Virginia Tech	Virginia Tech
8. LSU	LSU
9. South Florida	South Florida
10. Mississippi State	Mississippi State

HIGH JUMP
1. Romaine Beckford’	Arkansas	Sr
2. Caleb Snowden	Arkansas–Pine Bluff	Sr
3. Devin Loudermilk	Kansas	Jr
4. Carter Bajoit	Texas A&M	Sr
5. Tyus Wilson	Nebraska	Jr
6. Trey Allen	Louisville	Sr
7. Brion Stephens	Louisville	So
8. Slavko Stević’	Southeastern Louisiana	Sr
9. Omamuyov Erhire	Texas Tech	Sr
10. Riyon Rankin	Georgia	Fr

POLE VAULT
1. Hunter Garretson	Akron	Jr
2. Keaton Daniel	Kentucky	Sr
3. Conner McClure	Virginia Tech	Jr
4. Cody Johnston	Illinois	Fr
5. Kyle Rademeyer’	South Alabama	Sr
6. Clayton Simms	Kansas	Jr
7. James Rhoads	Penn	Jr
8. Maddox Hamm	Virginia Tech	Fr
9. Scott Toney	Penn	Sr
10. Alex Slinkman	Rice	Sr

LONG JUMP
1. Wayne Pinnock’	Arkansas	Jr
2. Johnny Brackins	USC	Jr
3. Malcolm Clemons	Florida	Jr
4. Jeremiah Davis	Florida State	Sr
5. Solomon Washington	Texas	Jr
6. Sincere Robinson	Rutgers	Jr
7. Nikaoli Williams’	Oklahoma	Jr
8. Prestin Artis	Washington	Sr
9. Caleb Foster	Florida	Sr
10. Jordan Turner’	Florida State	So

TRIPLE JUMP
1. Russell Robinson	Miami	Sr
2. Sean Dixon-Bodie	Florida	Sr
3. Jeremiah Davis	Florida State	Sr
4. Luke Brown’	Kentucky	Fr
5. Salif Mane	Fairleigh Dickinson	Sr
6. Stacy Brown	Texas Tech	Jr
7. Brandon Green	Oklahoma	So
8. Micaylon Moore	Nebraska	Sr
9. Kelsey Daniel’	Texas	Jr
10. Praise Aniamaka	Purdue	Jr

SHOT
1. Tarik Robinson-O’Hagan	Mississippi	So
2. Alexander Kolesnikoff’	Georgia	Jr
3. John Meyer	LSU	Sr
4. Hayden Tobias	Ohio State	Sr
5. Fred Moudani’	Cincinnati	Sr
6. Jason Swarens	Wisconsin	Jr
7. Christopher Licata	South Carolina	JR
8. Dylan Targgart	South Carolina	Jr
9. Kevin Shubert	Nebraska	Sr
10. Michael Shoaf	Notre Dame	Sr

DISCUS
1. Mykolas Alekna’	Cal	Jr
2. Ralford Mullings’	Oklahoma	Jr
3. Claudio Romero’	LSU	Sr
4. Dallin Shurts	BYU	Sr
5. Racquil Broderick’	USC	Fr
6. Francois Prinsloo’	South Alabama	Sr
7. Brandon Lloyd’	Arizona State	Jr
8. Sam Welsh	Rice	Sr
9. Dimítrios Pavlídis’	Kansas	Jr
10. Milton Ingraham	Miami	Sr

HAMMER
1. Kenneth Ikeji’	Harvard	Jr
2. Trey Knight	Cal State Northridge	Jr
3. Rowan Hamilton’	Cal	Sr
4. Ángelos Mantzouránis’	Minnesota	Fr
5. Jeremiah Nubbe’	Texas	So
6. Tarik Robinson-O’Hagan	Mississippi	So
7. Anthony Barmes’	Drake	Jr
8. Nikolaos Polychroniou’	USC	Jr
9. Christian Johnson	Duke	Sr
10. Jayden White	Washington	Sr

JAVELIN
1. Marc Minichello	Georgia	Sr
2. Keyshawn Strachan’	Auburn	So
3. Tzuriel Pedigo	LSU	Sr
4. Chinecherem Nnamdi’	Baylor	Jr
5. Mike Stein	Iowa	So
6. Braden Presser	Navy	Sr
7. Sam Hankins	Texas A&M	Jr
8. Cameron Bates	BYU	Sr
9. Arthur Petersen’	Nebraska	Sr
10. Devoux Deysel’	Miami	Jr

DECATHLON
1. Leo Neugebauer’	Texas	Sr
2. Heath Baldwin	Michigan State	Sr
3. Till Steinforth’	Nebraska	Jr
4. Austin West	Iowa	Sr
5. Jack Turner’	Arkansas	Sr
6. Grant Levesque	Houston	Jr
7. Yariel Soto Torrado’	Arkansas	Sr
8. Ryan Talbot	Michigan State	Sr
9. Aiden Ouimet	Illinois	Sr
10. Marcus Weaver	Arkansas	Jr

COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
=1. Texas A&M	50
=1. Texas Tech	50
3. LSU	44
4. Arkansas	41
5. Florida	39
6. Texas	32
7. Alabama	30
8. Georgia	28
9. Washington	26
10. Auburn	23
=11. Harvard	21
=11. Northern Arizona	21
=11. USC	21
=14. Houston	17
=14. Iowa	17
=16. Cal	16
=16. Kentucky	16
18. Virginia Tech	15
=19. BYU	13
=19. Mississippi	13
=21. Arizona State	12
=21. Baylor	12
=21. Oklahoma	12
=21. Stanford	12
=25. Florida State	11
=25. Iowa State	11
=25. Nebraska	11
=28. Akron	10
=28. Miami	10
=28. New Mexico	10
=31. Kansas	9
=31. Michigan State	9
=31. Wisconsin	9
=34. Arkansas–Pine Bluff	8
=34. Cal State Northridge	8
=34. North Carolina	8
=34. South Florida	8
=34. Tennessee	8
=34. Virginia	8
=40. Georgetown	7
=40. Oklahoma State	7
=40. South Alabama	7
=43. Eastern Kentucky	6
=43. Penn State	6
=45. Illinois	5
=45. Louisville	5
=45. Minnesota	5
=45. Mississippi State	5
=45. Ohio State	5
=45. South Carolina	5
=51. Cincinnati	4
=51. Fairleigh Dickinson	4
=51. Villanova	4
=54. Navy	3
=54. Purdue	3
=54. Rutgers	3
=57. Campbell	2
=57. Drake	2
=57. Gonzaga	2
=57. Howard	2
=57. Montana State	2
=57. Penn	2
=63. Cal State Fullerton	1
=63. Furman	1
=63. Rice	1
=63. Southeastern Louisiana	1