Sifan Hassan enters the meet as the biggest center of mystery: she says she’ll run the 5000, but hasn’t decided whether to pair it with the 1500 or 10,000. No Tokyo-like triple this time around. (GLADYS CHAI/ASVOM AGENCY)
OUR INTERNATIONAL PANEL has crunched all the data for Eugene, and the overall results say that the U.S. women will enjoy a medal haul superior to the one they had in Tokyo last year (which was 14 medals: 5 gold, 6 silver, 3 bronze). This year’s projected 17 total podium spots split as 7 gold, 4 silver, 6 bronze.
We have listed our Top 10 in each event. Any Team USA members who don’t make the top 10 are listed in alphabetical order at the end. The right-hand column is the athlete’s placing in last year’s T&FN World Rankings (nr = not ranked).
The chart is based on the best information available as of July 13 (meaning that final entry lists were known, but not actual start lists), so the presence of an athlete’s name doesn’t guarantee they’ll contest the event.
Our picks will not be updated as the meet progresses.
100 METERS
1.
Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce
(Jamaica)
2
2.
Elaine Thompson-Herah
(Jamaica)
1
3.
Shericka Jackson
(Jamaica)
3
4.
Mujinga Kambundji
(Switzerland)
7
5.
Aleia Hobbs
(USA)
nr
6.
Marie-Josée Ta Lou
(Côte d’Ivoire)
4
7.
Dina Asher-Smith
(Great Britain)
5
8.
Julien Alfred
(St. Lucia)
nr
9.
Melissa Jefferson
(USA)
nr
10.
Daryll Neita
(Great Britain)
9
(Other American: TeeTee Terry nr)
200 METERS
1.
Shericka Jackson
(Jamaica)
5
2.
Elaine Thompson-Herah
(Jamaica)
1
3.
Abby Steiner
(USA)
nr
4.
Favour Ofili
(Nigeria)
nr
5.
Shelly-Ann Fraser-Pryce
(Jamaica)
4
6.
Dina Asher-Smith
(Great Britain)
8
7.
Mujinga Kambundji
(Switzerland)
9
8.
Jenna Prandini
(USA)
nr
9.
Tamara Clark
(USA)
nr
10.
Aminatou Seyni
(Niger)
nr
400 METERS
1.
Shaunae Miller-Uibo
(Bahamas)
1
2.
Marileidy Paulino
(Dominican Republic)
2
3.
Talitha Diggs
(USA)
nr
4.
Natalia Kaczmarek
(Poland)
nr
5.
Candice McLeod
(Jamaica)
7
6.
Anna Kiełbasińska
(Poland)
nr
7.
Stephenie Ann McPherson
(Jamaica)
5
8.
Kendall Ellis
(USA)
10
9.
Charokee Young
(Jamaica)
nr
10.
Fiordaliza Cofil
(Dominican Republic)
nr
(Other American: Lynna Irby nr)
800 METERS
1.
Athing Mu
(USA)
1
2.
Keely Hodgkinson
(Great Britain)
2
3.
Mary Moraa
(Kenya)
nr
4.
Ajee’ Wilson
(USA)
nr
5.
Raevyn Rogers
(USA)
6
6.
Renelle Lamote
(France)
nr
7.
Natoya Goule
(Jamaica)
3
8.
Halimah Nakaayi
(Uganda)
nr
9.
Diribe Welteji
(Ethiopia)
nr
10.
Catriona Bissett
(Australia)
nr
1500 METERS
1.
Faith Kipyegon
(Kenya)
1
2.
Gudaf Tsegay
(Ethiopia)
nr
3.
Sifan Hassan
(Netherlands)
2
4.
Laura Muir
(Great Britain)
3
5.
Hirut Meshesha
(Ethiopia)
nr
6.
Freweyni Hailu
(Ethiopia)
4
7.
Sinclaire Johnson
(USA)
nr
8.
Elle St. Pierre
(USA)
nr
9.
Jessica Hull
(Australia)
nr
10.
Winnie Nanyondo
(Uganda)
9
(Other American: Cory McGee nr)
STEEPLE
1.
Norah Tanui
(Kazakhstan)
1
2.
Winfred Yavi
(Bahrain)
5
3.
Peruth Chemutai
(Uganda)
6
4.
Mekides Abebe
(Ethiopia)
4
5.
Celliphine Chespol
(Kenya)
9
6.
Werkuha Getachew
(Ethiopia)
nr
7.
Emma Coburn
(USA)
10
8.
Jackline Chepkoech
(Kenya)
nr
9.
Beatrice Chepkoech
(Kenya)
8
10.
Simbo Alemayehu
(Ethiopia)
nr
(Other Americans: Courtney Frerichs 2, Courtney Wayment nr)
5000 METERS
1.
Sifan Hassan
(Netherlands)
1
2.
Letesenbet Gidey
(Ethiopia)
3/10
3.
Ejgayehu Taye
(Ethiopia)
5
4.
Dawit Seyaum
(Ethiopia)
nr
5.
Margaret Kipkemboi
(Kenya)
nr
6.
Beatrice Chebet
(Kenya)
nr
7.
Karissa Schweizer
(USA)
nr
8.
Elise Cranny
(USA)
nr
9.
Karoline Grøvdal
(Norway)
nr
10.
Rahel Daniel
(Eritrea)
nr
(Other American: Emily Infeld nr)
10,000 METERS
1.
Sifan Hassan
(Netherlands)
1
2.
Letesenbet Gidey
(Ethiopia)
3
3.
Hellen Obiri
(Kenya)
5
4.
Eilish McColgan
(Great Britain)
nr
5.
Ejgayehu Taye
(Ethiopia)
nr
6.
Karissa Schweizer
(USA)
nr
7.
Alicia Monson
(USA)
nr
8.
Margaret Kipkemboi
(Kenya)
nr
9.
Sheila Kiprotich
(Kenya)
nr
10.
Bosena Mulate
(Ethiopia)
nr
(Other American: Natosha Rogers nr)
100 HURDLES
1.
Jasmine Camacho-Quinn
(Puerto Rico)
1
2.
Keni Harrison
(USA)
2
3.
Alaysha Johnson
(USA)
nr
4.
Tobi Amusan
(Nigeria)
3
5.
Britany Anderson
(Jamaica)
6
6.
Nia Ali
(USA)
nr
7.
Cindy Sember
(Great Britain)
7
8.
Megan Tapper
(Jamaica)
5
9.
Alia Armstrong
(USA)
nr
10.
Devynne Charlton
(Bahamas)
nr
400 HURDLES
1.
Sydney McLaughlin
(USA)
1
2.
Femke Bol
(Netherlands)
3
3.
Dalilah Muhammad
(USA)
2
4.
Anna Ryzhykova
(Ukraine)
5
5.
Janieve Russell
(Jamaica)
6
6.
Shamier Little
(USA)
4
7.
Britton Wilson
(USA)
nr
8.
Shiann Salmon
(Jamaica)
nr
9.
Rushell Clayton
(Jamaica)
nr
10.
Viktoriya Tkachuk
(Ukraine)
7
MARATHON
1.
Ruth Chepngetich
(Kenya)
nr
2.
Ababel Yeshaneh
(Ethiopia)
nr
3.
Ashete Bekere
(Ethiopia)
nr
4.
Angela Tanui
(Kenya)
3
5.
Gotytom Gebreslase
(Ethiopia)
8
6.
Lonah Chemtai Salpeter
(Israel)
10
7.
Mizuki Matsuda
(Japan)
nr
8.
Eunice Chumba
(Bahrain)
nr
9.
Keira D’Amato
(USA)
nr
10.
Judith Korir
(Kenya)
nr
(Other Americans: Emma Bates nr, Sara Hall nr)
20K WALK
1.
Hong Liu
(China)
3
2.
Shenjie Qieyang
(China)
6
3.
Mária Pérez
(Spain)
4
4.
Zhenxia Ma
(China)
nr
5.
Kimberley García
(Peru)
nr
6.
Alegna González
(Mexico)
7
7.
Jemima Montag
(Australia)
8
8.
Valeria Ortuño
(Mexico)
nr
9.
Nanako Fuji
(Japan)
nr
10.
Kumiko Okada
(Japan)
nr
(The Americans: Miranda Melville nr, Robyn Stevens nr)
35K WALK
1.
Shenjie Qieyang
(China)
6/20
2.
Kimberley García
(Peru)
nr
3.
Maocuo Li
(China)
nr
4.
Glenda Morejón
(Ecuador)
nr
5.
Serena Sonoda
(Japan)
nr
6.
Laura García-Caro
(Spain)
nr
7.
Antigóni Drisbióti
(Greece)
nr
8.
Paola Pérez
(Ecuador)
nr
9.
Katarzyna Zdziebło
(Poland)
nr
10.
Viviane Lyra
(Brazil)
nr
(The Americans: Stephanie Casey nr, Miranda Melville nr, Maria Michta-Coffey nr)
Thanks from the T&FN staff to those correspondents who aided us in crafting these prognostications: Jonathan Berenbom, Sean Hartnett, Richard Hymans, Dave Johnson, Kevin Saylors & Jesse Squire.