2022 World Champs Men’s Top 10 Formcharts

The potential for recipient of the loudest roar of the meet may well belong to Oregon native Ryan Crouser. (KIRBY LEE/IMAGE OF SPORT)

OUR INTERNATIONAL PANEL has crunched all the data for Eugene, and the overall results say that the U.S. men will enjoy a medal haul better than the one they had in Tokyo last year (11 total: 2 gold, 6 silver, 3 bronze). This year’s projected 16 total podium spots split as 7 gold, 6 silver, 3 bronze. In other words, the entire gain comes from places on the center step.

We have listed our Top 10 in each event. Any Team USA members who don’t make the top 10 are listed in alphabetical order at the end. The right-hand column is the athlete’s placing in last year’s T&FN World Rankings (nr = not ranked).

The chart is based on the best information available as of July 13 (meaning that final entry lists were known, but not actual start lists), so the presence of an athlete’s name doesn’t guarantee they’ll contest the event.

Our picks will not be updated as the meet progresses.

100 METERS
1. Fred Kerley (USA) 2
2. Trayvon Bromell (USA) 5
3. Lamont Marcell Jacobs (Italy) 1
4. Christian Coleman (USA) nr
5. Marvin Bracy (USA) 7
6. Andre De Grasse (Canada) 3
7. Yohan Blake (Jamaica) nr
8. Oblique Seville (Jamaica) nr
9. Ferdinand Omanyala (Kenya) nr
10. Akani Simbine (South Africa) 6
200 METERS
1. Noah Lyles (USA) 3
2. Erriyon Knighton (USA) 4
3. Fred Kerley (USA) 5
4. Jereem Richards (Trinidad) 7
5. Kenny Bednarek (USA) 2
6. Joe Fahnbulleh (Liberia) 6
7. Luxolo Adams (South Africa) nr
8. Aaron Brown (Canada) 8
9. Nethaneel Mitchell-Blake (Great Britain) nr
10. Andre De Grasse (Canada) 1
400 METERS
1. Michael Norman (USA) 4
2. Kirani James (Grenada) 2
3. Champion Allison (USA) nr
4. Randolph Ross (USA) 9
5. Wayde van Niekerk (South Africa) nr
6. Michael Cherry (USA) 5
7. Matthew Hudson-Smith (Great Britain) nr
8. Jonathan Jones (Barbados) nr
9. Lidio Feliz (Dominican Republic) nr
10. Jevaughn Powell (Jamaica) nr
800 METERS
1. Marco Arop (Canada) 3
2. Wycliffe Kinyamal (Kenya) 4
3. Emmanuel Wanyonyi (Kenya) nr
4. Slimane Moula (Algeria) nr
5. Benjamin Robert (France) nr
6. Max Burgin (Great Britain) nr
7. Peter Bol (Australia) 5
8. Emmanuel Korir (Kenya) 1
9. Bryce Hoppel (USA) nr
10. Mouad Zahafi (Morocco) nr
(Other Americans: Donovan Brazier nr, Jonah Koech nr, Brandon Miller nr)
1500 METERS
1. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway) 1
2. Timothy Cheruiyot (Kenya) 2
3. Abel Kipsang (Kenya) 5
4. Olli Hoare (Australia) 4
5. Josh Kerr (Great Britain) 7
6. Mohamed Katir (Spain) 6
7. Charles Simotwo (Kenya) 8
8. Stewart McSweyn (Australia) 3
9. Michael Rozmys (Poland) nr
10. Jake Wightman (Great Britain) nr
(The Americans: Johnny Gregorek nr, Cooper Teare nr, Josh Thompson nr)
STEEPLE
1. Soufiane El Bakkali (Morocco) 1
2. Lamecha Girma (Ethiopia) 3
3. Hailemariyam Amare (Ethiopia) nr
4. Abraham Kibiwot (Kenya) 6
5. Benjamin Kigen (Kenya) 2
6. Getnet Wale (Ethiopia) 4
7. Conseslus Kipruto (Kenya) nr
8. Hillary Bor (USA) nr
9. Leonard Bett (Kenya) 5
10. Avinash Sable (India) nr
(Other Americans: Evan Jager nr, Benard Keter nr)
5000 METERS
1. Joshua Cheptegei (Uganda) 1
2. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway) 4
3. Nicholas Kipkorir (Kenya) 6
4. Berihu Aregawi (Ethiopia) 10
5. Yomif Kejelcha (Ethiopia) nr
6. Selemon Barega (Ethiopia) 1/10
7. Jacob Krop (Kenya) nr
9. Moh Ahmed (Canada) 2
9. Grant Fisher (USA) 5/10
10. Muktar Edris (Ethiopia) nr
(Other Americans: Woody Kincaid nr, Abdihamid Nur nr)
10,000 METERS
1. Selemon Barega (Ethiopia) 1
2. Joshua Cheptegei (Uganda) 2
3. Jacob Kiplimo (Uganda) 3
4. Berihu Aregawi (Ethiopia) 4
5. Grant Fisher (USA) 5
6. Moh Ahmed (Canada) 6
7. Rodgers Kwemoi (Kenya) 7
8. Tadese Worku (Ethiopia) nr
9. Daniel Mateiko (Kenya) nr
10. Jack Rayner (Australia) nr
(Other Americans: Joe Klecker nr, Sean McGorty nr)
110 HURDLES
1. Grant Holloway (USA) 1
2. Devon Allen (USA) 3
3. Hansle Parchment (Jamaica) 2
4. Trey Cunningham (USA) nr
5. Daniel Roberts (USA) 7
6. Sasha Zhoya (France) nr
7. Rafael Pereira (Brazil) nr
8. Rasheed Broadbell (Jamaica) nr
9. Joshua Zeller (Great Britain) nr
10. Shunsuke Izumiya Japan) nr
400 HURDLES
1. Alison dos Santos (Brazil) 3
2. Rai Benjamin (USA) 2
3. Karsten Warholm (Norway) 1
4. Kyron McMaster (British Virgin Islands) 4
5. Trevor Bassitt (USA) nr
6. Khallifah Rosser (USA) nr
7. Yasmani Copello (Turkey) 6
8. Rasmus Mägi (Estonia) 7
9. Jaheel Hyde (Jamaica) 10
10. Ezekiel Nathaniel (Nigeria) nr
MARATHON
1. Abdi Nageeye (Netherlands) 5
2. Lawrence Cherono (Kenya) 4
3. Tamirat Tola (Ethiopia) 7
4. Geoffrey Kamworor (Kenya) nr
5. Mosinet Geremew (Ethiopia) nr
6. Kengo Suzuki (Japan) nr
7. Seifu Tura (Ethiopia) 8
8. Galen Rupp (USA) nr
9. Bashir Abdi (Belgium) 3
10. Barnaba Kiptum (Kenya) nr
(Other Americans: Elkanah Kibet nr, Colin Mickow nr)
20K WALK
1. Koki Ikeda (Japan) 2
2. Toshikazu Yamanishi (Japan) 3
3. Álvaro Martín (Spain) 6
4. Diego García (Spain) 5
5. Caio Bonfim (Brazil) nr
6. Perseus Karlström (Sweden) 4
7. Eiki Takahashi (Japan) 9
8. Brian Pintado (Ecuador) nr
9. Kaihua Wang (China) 7
10. Jun Zhang (China) 8
(The Americans: Nick Christie nr, Dan Nehnevaj nr)
35K WALK
1. Massimo Stano (Italy) 1/20
2. Perseus Karlström (Sweden) 4/20
3. Masatora Kawano (Japan) 6/50
4. Miguel Ángel López (Spain) nr
5. Dawid Tomala (Poland) 1/50
6. Evan Dunfee (Canada) 3/50
7. Daisuke Matsunaga (Japan) nr
8. Tomohiro Noda (Japan) nr
9. Marc Tur (Spain) 4/50
10. José Luis Doctor (Mexico) nr
(The American: Nick Christie nr)
4 x 100 RELAY
1. United States nr
2. Jamaica nr
3. Italy nr
4. Great Britain nr
5. Japan nr
6. Canada nr
7. China nr
8. Germany nr
9. Ghana nr
10. Nigeria nr
4 x 400 RELAY
1. United States nr
2. Jamaica nr
3. Belgium nr
4. Netherlands nr
5. Botswana nr
6. South Africa nr
7. Dominican Republic nr
8. Poland nr
9. Italy nr
10. Trinidad & Tobago nr
HIGH JUMP
1. Sang-hyeok Woo (South Korea) 8
2. Gianmarco Tamberi (Italy) 1
3. Mutaz Barshim (Qatar) 2
4. Andrii Protsenko (Ukraine) 7
5. Brandon Starc (Australia) 6
6. Loïc Gasch (Switzerland) nr
7. JuVaughn Harrison (USA) 9
8. Hamish Kerr (New Zealand) nr
9. Django Lovett (Canada) 10
10. Tomohiro Shinno (Japan) nr
(Other Americans: Darius Carbin nr, Shelby McEwen nr)
POLE VAULT
1. Mondo Duplantis (Sweden) 1
2. Chris Nilsen (USA) 2
3. Thiago Braz (Brazil) 8
4. EJ Obiena (Philippines) 7
5. Pål Haugen Lillefosse (Norway) nr
6. Ben Broeders (Belgium) nr
7. Sondre Guttormsen (Norway) nr
8. Menno Vloon (Netherlands) 10
9. Renaud Lavillenie (France) 5
10. Bo Kanda Lita Baehre (Germany) nr
(Other Americans: Andrew Irwin nr, Luke Winder nr)
LONG JUMP
1. Miltíadis Tentóglou (Greece) 1
2. Thobias Montler (Sweden) 6
3. Simon Ehammer (Switzerland) nr
4. Murali Sreeshankar (India) nr
5. Maykel Massó (Cuba) 5
6. Marquis Dendy (USA) 10
7. Eusebio Cáceres (Spain) nr
8. Yuki Hashioka (Japan) 7
9. Emiliano Lasa (Uruguay) nr
10. Tajay Gayle (Jamaica) 4
(Other Americans: Steffin McCarter nr, Will Williams nr)
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Lázaro Martínez (Cuba) nr
2. Pedro Pablo Pichardo (Portugal) 1
3. Hugues Fabrice Zango (Burkina Faso) 2
4. Donald Scott (USA) 6
5. Yaming Zhu (China) 3
6. Will Claye (USA) 5
7. Andrea Dallavalle (Italy) nr
8. Yasser Triki (Algeria) 4
9. Du Mapaya (Zimbabwe) nr
10. Emmanuel Ihemeje (Italy) nr
(Other Americans: Chris Benard nr, Christian Taylor nr)
SHOT
1. Ryan Crouser (USA) 1
2. Joe Kovacs (USA) 2
3. Tom Walsh (New Zealand) 3
4. Darlan Romani (Brazil) 6
5. Josh Awotunde (USA) 8
6. Filip Mihaljević (Croatia) 5
7. Konrad Bukowiecki (Poland) nr
8. Armin Sinančević (Serbia) 4
9. Jacko Gill (New Zealand) 10
10. Nick Ponzio (Italy) nr
(Other American: Tripp Piperi nr)
DISCUS
1. Kristjan Čeh (Slovenia) 2
2. Daniel Ståhl (Sweden) 1
3. Mykolas Alekna (Lithuania) nr
4. Andrius Gudžius (Lithuania) 3
5. Lukas Weißhaidinger (Austria) 5
6. Sam Mattis (USA) nr
7. Matt Denny (Australia) 7
8. Simon Pettersson (Sweden) 4
9. Fedrick Dacres (Jamaica) 6
10. Lawrence Okoye (Great Britain) 9
(Other Americans: Andrew Evans nr, Brian Williams nr)
HAMMER
1. Wojciech Nowicki (Poland) 1
2. Paweł Fajdek (Poland) 2
3. Quentin Bigot (France) 5
4. Bence Halász (Hungary) 7
5. Mykhaylo Kokhan (Ukraine) 4
6. Eivind Henriksen (Norway) 3
7. Daniel Haugh (USA) 10
8. Rudy Winkler (USA) 6
9. Hrístos Frantzeskákis (Greece) nr
10. Diego Del Real (Mexico) nr
(Other American: Alex Young nr)
JAVELIN
1. Anderson Peters (Grenada) 7
2. Neeraj Chopra (India) 2
3. Julian Weber (Germany) 4
4. Jakub Vadlejch (Czech Republic) 3
5. Keshorn Walcott (Trinidad) 9
6. Vítězslav Veselý (Czech Republic) 8
7. Oliver Helander (Finland) nr
8. Andrian Mardare (Moldova) 5
9. Andreas Hofmann (Germany) nr
10. Genki Dean (Japan) nr
(The Americans: Ethan Dabbs nr, Tim Glover nr, Curtis Thompson nr)
DECATHLON
1. Damian Warner (Canada) 1
2. Kevin Mayer (France) 2
3. Kyle Garland (USA) nr
4. Pierce LePage (Canada) 5
5. Zach Ziemek (USA) 6
6. Ayden Owens-Delerme (Puerto Rico) nr
7. Ash Moloney (Australia) 3
8. Lindon Victor (Grenada) 8
9. Leo Neugebauer (Germany) nr
10. Cedric Dubler (Australia) nr
(Other American: Steven Bastien 9)

Thanks from the T&FN staff to those correspondents who aided us in crafting these prognostications: Jonathan Berenbom, Sean Hartnett, Richard Hymans, Dave Johnson, Kevin Saylors & Jesse Squire.