2024 U.S. Olympic Trials Men’s Formchart #2

Three-time Olympic medalist Will Claye would look to stand the best chance of making a fourth team. (KIRBY LEE/IMAGE OF SPORT)

PEERLESS PROGNOSTICATIONS by Dave Johnson
as of May 17

Team USA for August’s Olympic Games in Paris will be chosen at the USATF Championships (Eugene, June 21–30).

With just 13 days from the end of the NCAA to the start of the selection meet, collegians will have an extra week for recovery compared to the ’21 OT.

From the tenuous vantage point of 5 weeks out, here’s our Top 10 charting for each men’s event. The listing of an athlete in a discipline doesn’t guarantee he’ll contest that event (or events).

Note that unlike the World Championships, there are no Wild Cards for the Olympics. Assuming that either the relevant standard is met or the athlete has a high enough position in WA’s world rankings, a nation can enter up to 3 athletes in an event. The U.S. should come close to earning a full quota.

Athletes with a chance to make a fourth team (individual events only): Matthew Centrowitz 1500, Will Claye TJ. Potential 3-timers: Trayvon Bromell 100, Clayton Murphy 800, Hillary Bor steeple, Paul Chelimo 5000, Devon Allen 110H, Sam Kendricks PV, Marquis Dendy LJ, Christian Taylor TJ, Ryan Crouser & Joe Kovacs SP, Rudy Winkler HT, Zach Ziemek decathlon.

Here’s our Top 10s. The number in the right-hand column represents the athlete’s placing in last year’s T&FN U.S. Rankings. Athletes who are asterisked have made the Olympic standard.

100 METERS
1. *Noah Lyles (adidas) 1
2. *Christian Coleman (Nike) 2
3. *Fred Kerley (Asics) 3
4. Kenny Bednarek (Nike) 9
5. Courtney Lindsey (Nike) 10
6. Trayvon Bromell (New Balance) 8
7. Kyree King (Nike) nr
8. *Kendal Williams (adidas) nr
9. *Cravont Charleston (Tracksmith) 4
10. *Marvin Bracy-Williams (Nike) 5
(also * — Brandon Hicklin, Christian Miller)
200 METERS
1. *Noah Lyles (adidas) 1
2. *Kenny Bednarek (Nike) 3
3. *Erriyon Knighton (adidas) 2
4. *Courtney Lindsey (Nike) 4
5. *Fred Kerley (Asics) 5
6. Michael Norman (Nike) nr
7. *Kyree King (Nike) 7
8. *Robert Gregory (Florida) 6
9. *Christian Coleman (Nike) 8
10. Terrance Laird (adidas) nr
(also * — Brandon Carnes, Cameron Miller)
400 METERS
1. *Michael Norman (Nike) nr
2. *Vernon Norwood (New Balance) 2
3. *Quincy Hall (adidas) 1
4. *Bryce Deadmon (Nike) 3
5. *Rai Benjamin (Nike) 4
6. *Matthew Boling (unattached) 9
7. *Ryan Willie (adidas) 5
8. *Judson Lincoln (Virginia Tech) nr
9. *Khaleb McRae (Alabama) nr
10. Chris Bailey (unattached) 8
(also * — James Benson, Johnnie Blockburger, Auhmad Robinson, Justin Robinson)
800 METERS
1. *Bryce Hoppel (adidas) 1
2. Clayton Murphy (Nike) 2
3. Isaiah Harris (Brooks Beasts) 3
4. Isaiah Jewett (Nike) 4
5. *Sam Whitmarsh (Texas A&M) nr
6. Will Sumner (adidas) 5
7. Josh Hoey (adidas) nr
8. Colin Sahlman (Northern Arizona) nr
9. Hobbs Kessler (adidas) 6
10. Wes Ferguson (Nebraska–Kearney) nr
1500 METERS
1. *Yared Nuguse (On AC) 1
2. *Cole Hocker (Nike) 2
3. *Hobbs Kessler (adidas) 7
4. Colin Sahlman (Northern Arizona) nr
5. Nathan Green (Washington) 8
6. Joe Waskom (Washington) 3
7. Henry Wynne (Brooks Beasts) 6
8. *Cooper Teare (Nike) 4
9. Eric Holt (Empire Elite) 10
10. Matthew Centrowitz (Nike) nr
STEEPLECHASE
1. Kenneth Rooks (Nike) 1
2. Hillary Bor (HOKA) 2
3. Isaac Updike (Under Armour/Dark Sky) 3
4. Mason Ferlic (adidas) 4
5. *Anthony Rotich (Nike/US Army) 5
6. Duncan Hamilton (Bowerman TC) 7
7. Brian Barraza (Roots Racing Program) nr
8. Benard Keter (US Army) 6
9. Matt Wilkinson (District TC) 8
10. Nate Mountain (Virginia) nr
5000 METERS
1. Woody Kincaid (Nike) 1
2. Paul Chelimo (Kiprun) 3
3. *Grant Fisher (Nike) 4
4. *Nico Young (Northern Arizona) nr
5. *Abdihamid Nur (Nike) 2
6. Joe Klecker (On AC) 6
7. *Sean McGorty (Nike Bowerman TC) 5
8. Cooper Teare (Nike) 7
9. Cole Hocker (Nike) 9
10. *Yared Nuguse (On AC) nr
(also * — Morgan Beadlescomb, Graham Blanks)
10,000 METERS
1. *Grant Fisher (Nike) 6
2. *Nico Young (Northern Arizona) nr
3. *Woody Kincaid (Nike) 1
4. Joe Klecker (On AC) 2
5. Sean McGorty (Nike Bowerman TC) 3
6. Anthony Rotich (US Army) 5
7. Abdihamid Nur (Nike) 2
8. Paul Chelimo (Kiprun) 4
9. Drew Hunter (adidas) nr
10. Casey Clinger (unattached) 7
110 HURDLES
1. *Grant Holloway (adidas) 1
2. *Daniel Roberts (Nike) 2
3. *Cordell Tinch (Nike) 4
4. Louis Rollins (unattached) nr
5. *Trey Cunningham (adidas) 8
6. *Eric Edwards (unattached) 7
7. *Freddie Crittenden (Tracksmith / Phoenix TC) 3
8. *Jamal Britt (Hurdle M) 5
9. *Darius Luff (Nebraska) nr
10. Ja’Kobe Tharp (Auburn) nr
400 HURDLES
1. *Rai Benjamin (Nike) 1
2. *CJ Allen (Asics) 2
3. *Trevor Bassitt (unattached) 3
4. *Chris Robinson (Alabama) 5
5. Aldrich Bailey (US Army) nr
6. David Kendziera (Bell Lap) 7
7. Khallifah Rosser (Nike) 4
8. *Caleb Dean (Texas Tech) nr
9. James Smith (Arizona F) 10
10. Taylor McLaughlin (unattached) 6
20K WALK (by Michael J. Roth)
1. Nick Christie (New York AC) 1
2. Emmanuel Corvera (New York AC) 2
3. Jordan Crawford (Raleigh Walkers) 4
4. Jason Cherng (New England Walkers) 5
5. John Cody Risch (Q Elite) nr
6. Sam Allen (Shore AC) 3
7. Bricyn Healey (Raleigh Walkers) 7
8. Dan Nehnevaj (Raleigh Walkers) 6
9. Juan Montanez (unattached) 8
10. AJ Gruttadauro (Shore AC) 9
HIGH JUMP
1. *JuVaughn Harrison (Puma) 1
2. *Shelby McEwen (Nike) 2
3. Vernon Turner (adidas) 3
4. Kyle Rollins (Garden State TC) nr
5. Tyus Wilson (Nebraska) nr
6. Caleb Snowden (Arkansas–Pine Bluff) nr
7. Devin Loudermilk (Kansas) nr
8. Jaivon Harrison (Grand Valley State) nr
9. Eli Kosiba (Grand Valley State) 5
10. Carter Bajoit (Texas A&M) nr
POLE VAULT
1. *Sam Kendricks (Nike) 2
2. *Chris Nilsen (Nike/New York AC) 1
3. *KC Lightfoot (Puma) 3
4. *Zach Bradford (Team Essex) 5
5. *Jacob Wooten (unattached) 6
6. *Austin Miller (Vaulthouse) 9
7. Matt Ludwig (unattached) 7
8. *Clayton Fritsch (unattached) nr
9. Cole Walsh (Risen Performance) nr
10. Keaton Daniel (Kentucky) nr
(also * — Hunter Garretson, Zach McWhorter, Tray Oates)
LONG JUMP
1. Marquis Dendy (Puma) 1
2. Jarrion Lawson (unattached) 3
3. JuVaughn Harrison (Puma) 5
4. Malcolm Clemons (Florida) 7
5. Jeremiah Davis (Florida State) 9
6. Steffin McCarter (Nike) 4
7. Solomon Washington (Texas) nr
8. Johnny Brackins (USC) nr
9. Trumaine Jefferson (unattached) nr
10. Cameron Crump (unattached) 8
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Will Claye (New York AC) 1
2. *Donald Scott (adidas) 2
3. Chris Benard (Chula Vista Elite) 3
4. Brandon Green (Oklahoma) nr
5. Omar Craddock (unattached) 4
6. Chris Carter (Air Houston) nr
7. Jeremiah Davis (Florida State) 9
8. Russell Robinson (Miami) 5
9. Salif Mane (Fairleigh Dickinson) 6
10. Christian Taylor (Nike) 8
SHOT
1. *Ryan Crouser (Nike) 1
2. *Joe Kovacs (Nike) 2
3. *Payton Otterdahl (Iron Wood TC) 3
4. *Josh Awotunde (Shore AC) 5
5. Jordan Geist (Iron Wood TC) 6
6. *Roger Steen (Velaasa) 7
7. *Tripp Piperi (unattached) 4
8. Darrell Hill (unattached) 8
9. Nik Curtiss (unattached) nr
10. Tarik Robinson-O’Hagan (Mississippi) nr
DISCUS
1. Sam Mattis (New York AC) 1
2. *Andrew Evans (unattached) 8
3. Joe Brown (unattached) 4
4. Turner Washington (unattached) 2
5. Jeff Williams (unattached) 10
6. *Reggie Jagers (Nike/US Army) nr
7. Brian Williams (unattached) 3
8. Dallin Shurts (BYU) 5
9. Jordan Roach (unattached) 9
10. Robbie Otal (unattached) nr
HAMMER
1. *Daniel Haugh (New York AC/Throw 1 Deep) 2
2. *Rudy Winkler (New York AC) 1
3. Trey Knight (Cal State Northridge) nr
4. Brock Eager (Iron Wood TC) 5
5. Jordan Geist (Iron Wood TC) 6
6. Tyler Williams (unattached) 8
7. Alex Young (unattached) 4
8. Israel Oloyede (Grand Canyon) nr
9. Johnnie Jackson (unattached) nr
10. Morgan Shigo (Velaasa) nr
JAVELIN
1. Curtis Thompson (Tracksmith/Track Barn) 1
2. Capers Williamson (unattached) 2
3. Marc Minichello (Georgia) 3
4. Donavon Banks (unattached) 8
5. Brett Thompson (USA Javelin) nr
6. Ethan Shalaway (unattached) 4
7. Ethan Dabbs (unattached) 7
8. Tim Glover (unattached) 5
9. Mike Stein (Iowa) nr
10. Jordan Davis (Southern Connecticut State) nr
DECATHLON
1. *Harrison Williams (unattached) 1
2. *Zach Ziemek (unattached) 2
3. *Kyle Garland (Nike) 3
4. *Heath Baldwin (Michigan State) 6
5. Devon Williams (unattached) 5
6. Austin West (Iowa) 4
7. Steven Bastien (Tracksmith) nr
8. Hakim McMorris (unattached) nr
9. Joe Delgado (Jacksonville AC) 7
10. Jack Flood (unattached) nr