2022 NCAA Women’s Formchart #1 — Too Close To Call?

Texas is projected to win by a point, with 16 of them (HJ 1st, LJ 3rd) coming from versatile Tyra Gittens. (KIRBY LEE/IMAGE OF SPORT)

ON THE FIRST WEEKEND of April, Texas eked out a narrow 2-point dual meet win against Texas A&M. Edrick Floréal’s Longhorns are now favored to win the NCAA team title, but their projected winning margin is even tighter, at a single digit, 69–68. But it’s not A&M that’s hard on their heels, it’s Mike Holloway’s Florida Gators, the indoor winners, who are closest. The Aggies are by no means out of it, however, coming in at 56 and loaded with high-end talent too.

Texas is predicted to have 13 scorers in 9 events (100, 200, 400, 800, 4×1, 4×4, HJ, LJ, TJ), Florida 10 scorers in 8 events (400, 800, 100H, 400H, 4×4, LJ, TJ, Hept). The two powerhouses are currently slated to go head-to-head with scorers in 5 events: 400, 800, 4×4, LJ, TJ. So in theory the meet will come down to the climactic long relay. Projected as the event’s winner, Texas has nowhere to go but down; as No. 7, Florida has chances of moving up.

The 10-deep predictions for each event (‘ = athlete not eligible for U.S. international teams):

TOP 10 TEAMS
1. Texas 69
2. Florida 68
3. Texas A&M 56
4. Kentucky 43
=5. Arkansas 37
=5. LSU 37
7. Texas Tech 27
=8. Oregon 23
=8. Stanford 23
=8. Virginia Tech 23
(complete team scores below event charts)
100 METERS
1. Kemba Nelson’ Oregon Sr
2. Celera Barnes USC Sr
3. Julien Alfred’ Texas Jr
4. Jada Baylark Arkansas Sr
5. Abby Steiner Kentucky Jr
6. Melissa Jefferson Coastal Carolina So
7. Joella Lloyd’ Tennessee So
8. Favour Ofili’ LSU So
9. Jadyn Mays Oregon Fr
10. Rhasidat Adeleke’ Texas Fr
200 METERS
1. Abby Steiner Kentucky Jr
2. Anavia Battle Ohio State Sr
3. Favour Ofili’ LSU So
4. Rhasidat Adeleke’ Texas Fr
5. Laila Owens Texas A&M So
6. Kynnedy Flannel Texas Jr
7. Karimah Davis Kentucky Jr
8. Kevona Davis’ Texas So
9. Jonah Ross North Carolina A&T So
10. Melissa Jefferson Coastal Carolina So
400 METERS
1. Charokee Young’ Texas A&M So
2. Talitha Diggs Florida So
3. Alexis Holmes Kentucky Jr
4. Stacey Ann Williams’ Texas Jr
5. Bailey Lear USC Jr
6. Kennedy Simon Texas Jr
7. Makenzie Dunmore South Carolina Sr
8. Jan’Taijah Ford USC So
9. Tierra Robinson-Jones Texas A&M Jr
10. Kaelin Roberts USC Sr
800 METERS
1. Lindsey Butler Virginia Tech Jr
2. Claire Seymour BYU Jr
3. Imogen Barrett’ Florida Jr
4. McKenna Keegan Villanova Sr
5. Valery Tobias Texas Jr
6. Aurora Rynda’ Michigan Jr
7. Sarah Hendrick Kennesaw State Jr
8. Katy-Ann McDonald’ LSU Jr
9. Avi’Tal Wilson-Perteete Texas A&M Sr
10. Barbora Malíková’ Virginia Tech Fr
1500 METERS
1. Micaela Degenero Colorado Sr
2. Sintayehu Vissa’ Ole Miss Jr
3. Julia Heymach Stanford Sr
4. Ellie Leather’ Cincinnati Sr
5. Olivia Howell Illinois So
6. Rachel McArthur Colorado Sr
7. Christina Aragon Stanford Sr
8. Emily Mackay Binghamton Sr
9. Anna Gibson Washington Jr
10. Mia Barnett Virginia Fr
STEEPLE
1. Courtney Wayment BYU Sr
2. Joyce Kimeli’ Auburn Sr
3. Ceili McCabe’ West Virginia So
4. Kayley Delay Yale Jr
5. Krissy Gear Arkansas Sr
6. Aneta Konieczek’ Oregon Sr
7. Hannah Steelman NC State Sr
8. Grace Fetherstonhaugh’ Oregon State So
9. Abby Kohut-Jackson Minnesota Sr
10. Olivia Markezich Notre Dame So
5000 METERS
1. Mercy Chelangat’ Alabama Jr
2. Katelyn Tuohy NC State So
3. Julia Heymach Stanford Jr
4. Jenna Magness Michigan State Sr
5. Lauren Ryan’ Florida State Jr
6. Abby Nichols Colorado Sr
7. Kelsey Chmiel NC State So
8. Gracelyn Larkin’ New Mexico So
9. Maddy Denner Notre Dame Jr
10. Lauren Gregory Arkansas Sr
10,000 METERS
1. Lauren Gregory Arkansas Sr
2. Mercy Chelangat’ Alabama Jr
3. Kelsey Chmiel NC State So
4. Amelia Mazza-Downie’ New Mexico So
5. Nicole Fegans Georgia Tech Sr
6. Cailie Logue Iowa State Sr
7. Emily Covert Colorado So
8. Megan Hasz Minnesota Sr
9. Alexandra Hays NC State Jr
10. Ruby Smee’ USF Fr
100 HURDLES
1. Alia Armstrong LSU Sr
2. Grace Stark Florida So
3. Masai Russell Kentucky Jr
4. Rayniah Jones UCF So
5. Ackera Nugent’ Baylor So
6. Kaylah Robinson Texas A&M Sr
7. Jasmine Jones USC Fr
8. Demisha Roswell’ Texas Tech Jr
9. Paula Salmon North Carolina A&T Sr
10. Daszay Freeman’ Arkansas So
400 HURDLES
1. Britton Wilson Arkansas So
2. Masai Russell Kentucky Jr
3. Shannon Meisberger Arizona Sr
4. Anna Hall Florida So
5. Lauren Hoffman Duke Sr
6. Vanessa Watson Florida So
7. Shana Grebo’ Oregon Fr
8. Jessica Wright Howard Jr
9. Rachel Glenn South Carolina So
10. Brooke Jaworski Texas So
4 x 100
1. Texas Texas
2. Texas A&M Texas A&M
3. LSU LSU
4. North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T
5. Oregon Oregon
6. USC USC
7. Kentucky Kentucky
8. Arkansas Arkansas
9. Florida Florida
10. Texas Tech Texas Tech
4 x 400
1. Texas Texas
2. Texas A&M Texas A&M
3. Arkansas Arkansas
4. Kentucky Kentucky
5. USC USC
6. North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T
7. Florida Florida
8. Howard Howard
9. South Carolina South Carolina
10. LSU LSU
HIGH JUMP
1. Tyra Gittens’ Texas Sr
2. Lamara Distin’ Texas A&M Jr
3. Rachel Glenn South Carolina So
4. Abigail O’Donoghue LSU Sr
5. Lucy Corbett Montana State Jr
6. Jenna Rogers Nebraska Fr
7. Jamari Drake Georgia Sr
8. Rylee Anderson Kansas Jr
9. Nyagoa Bayak LSU So
10. Elena Kulichenko’ Georgia Fr
POLE VAULT
1. Rachel Baxter Virginia Tech Sr
2. Lisa Gunnarsson’ LSU Sr
2. Gabriela Leon Louisville Sr
4. Olivia Lueking Oklahoma Fr
5. Sydney Horn High Point So
6. Julia Fixsen Virginia Tech Jr
7. Tuesdi Tidwell Baylor Sr
8. Elien Vekemans’ Arkansas Fr
9. Nastassja Campbell’ Arkansas Jr
10. Lyndsey Reed Ole Miss So
LONG JUMP
1. Deborah Acquah’ Texas A&M Sr
2. Jasmine Moore Florida So
3. Tyra Gittens’ Texas Sr
4. Monae’ Nichols Texas Tech Sr
5. Alysah Hickey Oregon So
6. Ackelia Smith’ Texas Fr
7. Claire Bryant Florida So
8. Ruth Usoro’ Texas Tech Sr
9. Anna Keefer North Carolina Sr
10. Morgan Smalls LSU So
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Jasmine Moore Florida So
2. Rūta Lasmane’ Texas Tech So
3. Natricia Hooper’ Florida Sr
4. Deborah Acquah’ Texas A&M Sr
5. Ruth Usoro’ Texas Tech Sr
6. Ackelia Smith’ Texas Fr
7. Charisma Taylor’ Tennessee Sr
8. Titiana Marsh Georgia Jr
9. Temi Ojora’ USC So
10. Mikeisha Welcome Oklahoma So
SHOT
1. Adelaide Aquilla Ohio State Sr
2. Jorinde van Klinken’ Arizona State Sr
3. Latavia Maines Tennessee Sr
4. Josie Schaefer Wisconsin Jr
5. Samantha Noennig Arizona Sr
6. Payden Montana Oklahoma Jr
7. KeAyla Dove Sam Houston St So
8. Axelina Johansson’ Nebraska Fr
9. Divine Oladipo’ Vanderbilt Sr
10. Mine de Klerk’ Oregon Fr
DISCUS
1. Jorinde van Klinken’ Arizona State Sr
2. Seasons Usual Texas Tech Sr
3. Shelby Frank Minnesota So
4. Annina Brandeburg’ Abilene Christian Sr
5. Debbie Ajagbe Miami Sr
6. Alyssa Wilson Texas State Sr
7. Alexandra Emilianov’ Kansas Jr
8. Gabrielle Bailey’ Kent State Jr
9. Divine Oladipo’ Vanderbilt Sr
10. Essence Henderson Virginia Tech Jr
HAMMER
1. Camryn Rogers’ Cal Sr
2. Alyssa Wilson Texas State Sr
3. Shey Taiwo Ole Miss Sr
4. Jillian Shippee North Carolina Sr
5. Tara Simpson-Sullivan’ Rice So
6. Amy Phillips’ North Dakota State Sr
7. Beatrice Llano’ Arizona State Sr
8. Madi Malone Auburn Jr
9. Kaila Butler’ Bowling Green Sr
10. Anna Purchase’ Cal Jr
JAVELIN
1. Madison Wiltrout North Carolina Sr
2. Virginia Miller Stanford Sr
3. Kari Wolfe North Dakota State Sr
4. Ida Eikeng’ Washington Jr
5. Rhema Otabor’ Florida International So
6. Keira McCarrell’ Auburn Sr
7. Kelechi Nwanaga’ Florida State Sr
8. Seri Geisler SF Austin Sr
9. Skylar Ciccolini Missouri So
10. Sara Zabarino’ Florida State Sr
HEPTATHLON
1. Anna Hall Florida So
2. Ida Eikeng’ Washington Jr
3. Isabel Wakefield’ Duke Jr
4. Erin Marsh Duke Sr
5. Lexie Keller Colorado State Jr
6. Beatričė Juškevičiūtė’ Cornell Jr
7. Shayla Broughton Mississippi State Sr
8. Allie Jones Stanford Jr
9. Kristīne Blaževiča’ Texas So
10. Halley Folsom BYU Sr
COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1. Texas 69
2. Florida 68
3. Texas A&M 56
4. Kentucky 43
=5. Arkansas 37
=5. LSU 37
7. Texas Tech 27
=8. Oregon 23
=8. Stanford 23
=8. Virginia Tech 23
11. USC 22
12. Arizona State 20
=13. Alabama 18
=13. BYU 18
=13. Colorado 18
=13. NC State 18
=13. Ohio State 18
=18. Duke 15
=18. North Carolina 15
20. Ole Miss 14
21. Washington 13
22. Auburn 12
23. Texas State 11
=24. Arizona 10
=24. Cal 10
=24. Tennessee 10
27. North Dakota State 9
=28. Louisville 8
=28. North Carolina A&T 8
=28. Oklahoma 8
=28. South Carolina 8
32. Minnesota 7
=33. Baylor 6
=33. Florida State 6
=33. New Mexico 6
=33. West Virginia 6
=37. Abilene Christian 5
=37. Cincinnati 5
=37. Michigan State 5
=37. UCF 5
=37. Villanova 5
=37. Wisconsin 5
=37. Yale 5
=44. Colorado State 4
=44. Florida International 4
=44. Georgia Tech 4
=44. High Point 4
=44. Illinois 4
=44. Miami 4
=44. Montana State 4
=44. Nebraska 4
=44. Rice 4
=53. Coastal Carolina 3
=53. Cornell 3
=53. Georgia 3
=53. Iowa State 3
=53. Kansas 3
=53. Michigan 3
=59. Howard 2
=59. Kennesaw State 2
=59. Mississippi State 2
=59. Sam Houston St 2
=63. Binghamton 1
=63. Kent State 1
=63. Oregon State 1
=63. SF Austin 1