NCAA Women’s Formchart #3 — Arkansas Sneaks By USC

Lance Harter last had his Hogs on top at the ’16 NCAA Championships. (MIKE SCOTT)

IN OUR FIRST 2 crystal-ballings of the year for the NCAA Women’s Championships, USC looked like an unbeatable juggernaut. Our April 26 iteration projected the reigning champions to win by a hefty 32 points. But now that the Conferences are out of the way, things have changed. The Trojans have dropped 7 points and Arkansas has added 26, and that means that Lance Harter’s Hogs are now favored by 1. The emergence of soph Kethlin Campbell as a 400 factor is the big key to the Razorback rise.

The two powerhouses carry similar numbers: Arkansas is figured to have 11 scorers in 8 events, USC 10 scorers in 7 events. But the new chart says they’ll go head-to-head in only 4 events: 400, 100H, 4×1 & 4×4. Indeed, much drama would seem to be on the line in the meet’s final event, as they’re predicted to go 1-2 in the climactic 4×4.

The 10-deep predictions for each event (‘ = athlete not eligible for U.S. international teams):

(note: some unexpected Regionals scratches have already changed the nature of the chart; update coming on Monday, May 20)

TOP 10 TEAMS
Team Points Previous Chart
1. Arkansas 68 =2
2. USC 67 1
3. New Mexico 36 5
=4. Florida State 28 6
=4. LSU 28 4
6. North Carolina A&T 26 =11
=7. Kansas State 24 18
=7. Stanford 24 9
=9. BYU 23 =20
=9. Florida 23 7
=9. Texas A&M 23 8
(complete team scores after individual by-event top 10s)
100 METERS
1. Twanisha Terry USC So
2. Kayla White North Carolina A&T Sr
3. Sha’Carri Richardson LSU Fr
4. Teahna Daniels Texas Sr
5. Natalliah Whyte’ Florida Atlantic Jr
6. Ka’Tia Seymour Florida State So
7. Kianna Gray Kentucky Sr
8. Angie Annelus USC Jr
9. Kiara Parker Arkansas Sr
10. Kiara Grant Norfolk State So
200 METERS
1. Anavia Battle Ohio State So
2. Kayla White North Carolina A&T Sr
3. Kynnedy Flannel Texas Fr
4. Cambrea Sturgis North Carolina A&T Fr
5. Angie Annelus USC Jr
6. Abby Steiner Kentucky Fr
7. Ka’Tia Seymour Florida State So
8. Sha’Carri Richardson LSU Fr
9. Lanae-Tava Thomas USC Fr
10. Teahna Daniels Texas Sr
400 METERS
1. Kethlin Campbell Arkansas So
2. Kaelin Roberts USC So
3. Syaira Richardson Texas A&M So
4. Wadeline Jonathas South Carolina Jr
5. Kyra Constantine USC Jr
6. Alexis Holmes Penn State Fr
7. Chloe Abbott Kentucky Jr
8. Hannah Waller Oregon Jr
9. Aaliyah Birmingham Oklahoma State Jr
10. Sharrika Barnett Florida Sr
800 METERS
1. Danae Rivers Penn State Jr
2. Nia Akins Penn Jr
3. Lauren Ellsworth BYU So
4. Allie Wilson Monmouth Sr
5. Avi’Tal Wilson-Perteete UNLV So
6. Jazmine Fray’ Texas A&M Sr
7. Martha Bissah’ Norfolk State Jr
8. Susan Aneno’ Connecticut Sr
9. Susan Ejore’ Oregon Sr
10. Abike Egbenyi’ Middle Tennessee Sr
1500 METERS
1. Dani Jones Colorado Jr
2. Jessica Hull’ Oregon Jr
3. Rachel Pocratsky Virginia Tech Sr
4. Erica Birk BYU Jr
5. Sinclaire Johnson Oklahoma State Jr
6. Nicole Hutchinson’ Villanova Sr
7. Alexis Fuller Boise Sr
8. Jessica Harris Notre Dame Sr
9. Julia Rizk Ohio State Sr
10. Taryn Rawlings Portland Sr
STEEPLE
1. Allie Ostrander Boise Jr
2. Adva Cohen’ New Mexico So
3. Charlotte Prouse’ New Mexico Jr
4. Devin Clark Arkansas Jr
5. Val Constien Colorado Sr
6. Bri Ilarda’ Providence Sr
7. Cierra Simmons Utah State Sr
8. Alissa Niggemann Wisconsin So
9. Gabrielle Jennings Furman Jr
10. Hannah Steelman Wofford So
5000 METERS
1. Fiona O’Keeffe Stanford Jr
2. Weini Kelati’ New Mexico So
3. Paige Stoner Syracuse Sr
4. Allie Ostrander Boise Jr
5. Taylor Werner Arkansas So
6. Lauren Gregory Arkansas Fr
7. Jessica Drop Georgia Jr
8. Makena Morley Colorado Jr
9. Carmela Cardama Baez’ Oregon Jr
10. Jessica Lawson Stanford So
10,000 METERS
1. Weini Kelati’ New Mexico So
2. Paige Stoner Syracuse Sr
3. Taylor Werner Arkansas So
4. Cailie Logue Iowa State So
5. Ednah Kurgat’ New Mexico Sr
6. Isobel Batt-Doyle’ Washington Sr
7. Kaitlyn Benner Colorado Jr
8. Carmela Cardama Baez’ Oregon Jr
9. Anna Rohrer Notre Dame Jr
10. Amanda Vestri Iowa State So
100 HURDLES
1. Janeek Brown’ Arkansas So
2. Chanel Brissett USC So
3. Cortney Jones Florida State Jr
4. Payton Chadwick Arkansas Sr
5. Tonea Marshall LSU Jr
6. Jeanine Williams’ Georgia Tech Sr
7. Anna Cockrell USC Jr
8. Madeleine Akobundu North Carolina A&T Jr
9. Tiara McMinn Miami So
10. Alexis Duncan Tennessee Jr
400 HURDLES
1. Anna Cockrell USC Jr
2. Jurnee Woodward LSU So
3. Brenna Porter BYU Sr
4. Ranae McKenzie’ Kansas State Sr
5. Hope Bender UC Santa Barbara Sr
6. Gabby Scott’ Colorado Sr
7. Reanda Richards’ Rutgers Fr
8. Brittley Humphrey LSU Jr
9. Xahria Santiago’ Maryland So
10. Jasmine Berge Nebraska Sr
4 x 100
1. USC
2. LSU
3. Arkansas
4. Kentucky
5. North Carolina A&T
6. Florida State
7. Oregon
8. Miami
9. Alabama
10. Texas A&M
4 x 400
1. USC
2. Arkansas
3. Texas A&M
4. Oregon
5. South Carolina
6. Miami
7. Florida
8. Texas
9. Kentucky
10. Alabama
HIGH JUMP
1. Zarriea Willis Texas Tech Sr
2. Nicole Greene North Carolina Jr
3. Andrea Stapleton-Johnson BYU Sr
4. Karla Teran’ Arizona Jr
5. Erinn Beattie UC Davis Sr
6. Ellen Ekholm’ Kentucky Jr
7. Mady Fagan Georgia Sr
8. Logan Boss Mississippi State Sr
9. Clarissa Cutliff Florida International Sr
10. Tyra Gittens’ Texas A&M So
POLE VAULT
1. Bonnie Draxler San Diego State Sr
2. Lexi Jacobus Arkansas Sr
3. Rachel Baxter Virginia Tech So
4. Olivia Gruver Washington Sr
5. Kristen Denk Vanderbilt Jr
6. Tori Hoggard Arkansas Sr
7. Lucy Bryan’ Akron Jr
8. Bridget Guy Virginia Sr
9. Helen Falda’ South Dakota Jr
10. Elleyse Garrett UCLA Sr
LONG JUMP
1. Taishia Pryce’ Kansas State Jr
2. Sarea Alexander Incarnate Word Sr
3. Yanis David’ Florida Sr
4. Jasmyn Steels Northwestern Louisiana Jr
5. Nadia Williams Central Michigan Jr
6. Rougui Sow’ Florida State Sr
7. Jerayah Davis Wyoming Sr
8. Kiara Williams Alabama Sr
9. Kala Penn’ Florida Jr
10. Destiny Longmire TCU Jr
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Yanis David’ Florida Sr
2. Shardia Lawrence’ Kansas State Sr
3. Tiffany Flynn’ Mississippi State Sr
4. Marie-Josée Ebwea-Excel’ Kentucky Sr
5. Bria Matthews Georgia Tech Jr
6. Eszter Bajnok’ Virginia Tech Jr
7. Chaquinn Cook Oregon Sr
8. Alex Madlock Baylor So
9. Titiana Marsh Georgia Fr
10. Ciynamon Stevenson Texas A&M Jr
SHOT
1. Portious Warren’ Alabama Sr
2. Samantha Noennig Arizona State So
3. Alyssa Wilson UCLA So
4. Khayla Dawson Indiana Jr
5. Sade Olatoye Ohio State Sr
6. Laulauga Tausaga Iowa Jr
7. Akealy Moton North Dakota State Fr
8. Aliyah Gustafson Bowling Green Sr
9. Haley Teel Alabama Sr
10. Taylor Latimer Kansas State So
DISCUS
1. Shadae Lawrence’ Colorado State Sr
2. Shanice Love’ Florida State Jr
3. Laulauga Tausaga Iowa Jr
4. Gabi Jacobs Missouri Sr
5. Alexandra Emilianov’ Kansas So
6. Obi Amaechi Princeton So
7. Alyssa Wilson UCLA So
8. Venique Harris’ Albany Sr
9. Elena Bruckner Texas Jr
10. Sydney Laufenberg Illinois State Jr
HAMMER
1. Camryn Rogers’ Cal So
2. Alyssa Wilson UCLA So
3. Jillian Shippee North Carolina So
4. Stamatia Scarvelis’ Tennessee Sr
5. Beatrice Llano’ Arizona State So
6. Temi Ogunrinde’ Minnesota Sr
7. Veronika Kaňuchová’ Florida State Jr
8. Pavla Kuklová’ Virginia Tech Sr
9. Sade Olatoye Ohio State Sr
10. Molli Detloff North Dakota Sr
JAVELIN
1. Mackenzie Little’ Stanford Sr
2. Kylee Carter Auburn Jr
3. Madison Wiltrout North Carolina So
4. Seri Geisler Arizona State Jr
5. Jenna Gray Stanford Jr
6. Sophia Rivera’ Missouri So
7. Ashley Pryke’ Memphis Sr
8. Laura Paredes’ Florida State So
9. Stella Weinberg’ Cal State Northridge Fr
10. Kelechi Nwanaga’ UMBC So
HEPTATHLON
1. Ashtin Zamzow Texas Sr
2. Tyra Gittens’ Texas A&M So
3. Hope Bender UC Santa Barbara Sr
4. Amanda Frøynes’ Florida So
5. Michelle Atherley Miami Jr
6. Erin Marsh Duke So
7. Hannah Rusnak Washington So
8. Lauren Taubert Kansas State Jr
9. Emilie Berge’ South Alabama Jr
10. Erinn Beattie UC Davis Sr
COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1. Arkansas 68
2. USC 67
3. New Mexico 36
=4. Florida State 28
=4. LSU 28
6. North Carolina A&T 26
=7. Kansas State 24
=7. Stanford 24
=9. BYU 23
=9. Florida 23
=9. Texas A&M 23
12. Texas 22
=13. Colorado 20
=13. Kentucky 20
=13. North Carolina 20
16. Oregon 19
=17. Arizona State 17
=17. Boise 17
=19. UCLA 16
=19. Virginia Tech 16
=21. Ohio State 14
=21. Syracuse 14
23. Penn State 13
24. Alabama 11
=25. Cal 10
=25. Colorado State 10
=25. San Diego State 10
=25. Texas Tech 10
=25. UC Santa Barbara 10
=25. Washington 10
=31. Iowa 9
=31. South Carolina 9
=33. Auburn 8
=33. Incarnate Word 8
=33. Miami 8
=33. Missouri 8
=33. Penn 8
=38. Georgia Tech 7
=38. Mississippi State 7
=40. Arizona 5
=40. Iowa State 5
=40. Indiana 5
=40. Monmouth 5
=40. Northwestern Louisiana 5
=40. Tennessee 5
=46. Central Michigan 4
=46. Florida Atlantic 4
=46. Georgia 4
=46. Kansas 4
=46. Oklahoma State 4
=46. UC Davis 4
=46. UNLV 4
=46. Vanderbilt 4
=54. Duke 3
=54. Minnesota 3
=54. Princeton 3
=54. Providence 3
=54. Villanova 3
=59. Akron 2
=59. Memphis 2
=59. North Dakota State 2
=59. Norfolk State 2
=59. Rutgers 2
=59. Utah State 2
=59. Wyoming 2
=66. Albany 1
=66. Baylor 1
=66. Bowling Green 1
=66. Connecticut 1
=66. Notre Dame 1
=66. Virginia 1
=66. Wisconsin 1