compiled by John Auka (as of June 9)
Oregon Heads In As Favorite
There were no last-minute changes in the week since the Regionals, so our final NCAA Men’s Formchart of the year tells us the same message as almost all year: Oregon favored over Florida, but by no means will it be a slam-dunk, with a margin of only 6 points for Robert Johnson’s Ducks.
There are only 3 events where both teams are currently predicted to score: 400 (Florida 2 & 8, Oregon 3), 110H (Florida 3, Oregon 4 & 7) & 4×4 (Florida 2, Oregon 7). Obviously it wouldn’t take too much variance from those picks to change the scoring around considerably.
Where the host Ducks look to pick up a huge chunk of points is in the distances, with a 2nd in the 1500, 5th in the steeple, 2nd-6th-7th in the 5000 and 1st-5th-6th in the 10,000.
The 10-deep predictions for each event (with brief preview assessments):
| TOP 10 TEAMS | ||
| Team | Points | Place On Last Chart |
| 1. Oregon | 78 | (1) |
| 2. Florida | 72 | (2) |
| 3. Texas A&M | 58 | (3) |
| 4. Arkansas | 35 | (4) |
| =5. Arizona | 30 | (=5) |
| =5. LSU | 30 | (=5) |
| =7. Oklahoma State | 24 | (=7) |
| =7. Texas Tech | 24 | (=7) |
| =7. USC | 24 | (=7) |
| =10. Georgia | 23 | (=10) |
| =10. Texas | 23 | (=10) |
| (complete team scores below) | ||
| 100 METERS | ||
| 1. Dentarius Locke | Florida State | Sr |
| 2. Aaron Brown’ | USC | Sr |
| 3. Trayvon Bromell | Baylor | Fr |
| 4. Aaron Ernest | LSU | Jr |
| 5. Senoj-Jay Givans’ | Texas | Fr |
| 6. Raheem Mostert | Purdue | Jr |
| 7. John Teeters | Oklahoma State | So |
| 8. Clayton Vaughn | UT Arlington | Jr |
| 9. Shavez Hart’ | Texas A&M | Jr |
| 10. Darrell Wesh | Virginia Tech | Sr |
| Indoor sprint winner Locke will make up for being .02 sec back last year and could challenge the 9.89 NCAA record. Frosh Bromell could make it tight if he’s over leg woes that made him coast in his conference 200. | ||
| 200 METERS | ||
| 1. Dedrick Dukes | Florida | Jr |
| 2. Aaron Brown’ | USC | Sr |
| 3. Aaron Ernest | LSU | Jr |
| 4. Prezel Hardy | Texas A&M | Sr |
| 5. Shavez Hart’ | Texas A&M | Jr |
| 6. Carvin Nkanata’ | Pitt | Sr |
| 7. Brendon Rodney’ | LIU Brooklyn | Jr |
| 8. Raheem Mostert | Purdue | Jr |
| 9. Arthur Delaney | Oregon | Jr |
| 10.Nethaneel Mitchell-Blake’ (LSU) | So | |
| Dukes is tops from his early 19.97 and several low 20’s. Canadian record holder Brown shows consistency that chasers Ernest, Hardy & Hart have lacked. A big team matchup for the Aggies and Gators. | ||
| 400 METERS | ||
| 1. Deon Lendore’ | Texas A&M | Jr |
| 2. Gino Hall | Florida | So |
| 3. Michael Berry | Oregon | Sr |
| 4. Bralon Taplin’ | Texas A&M | Jr |
| 5. Brycen Spratling | Pitt | Sr |
| 6. James Harris | Florida State | Sr |
| 7. Vernon Norwood | LSU | Jr |
| 8. Hugh Graham | Florida | Jr |
| 9. Michael Cherry | Florida State | Fr |
| 10. Najee Glass | Florida | So |
| Indoor champ Lendore needs to win here for TAM title chances. 3 Gators must score well. Same for Duck Berry. Hall doubled indoors but no 200 here perhaps due to cramps at conference. Dark horse Seminole Harris has forsaken the HJ to seek 400 glory. | ||
| 800 METERS | ||
| 1. Brandon McBride’ | Mississippi State | So |
| 2. Eliud Rutto’ | Middle Tennessee | So |
| 3. Edward Kemboi’ | Iowa State | Jr |
| 4. Patrick Rono | Arkansas | Jr |
| 5. Sean Obinwa | Florida | Sr |
| 6. Sam Ellison | Villanova | Sr |
| 7. Keffri Neal’ | Kentucky | Jr |
| 8. Ryan Schnulle | Florida | So |
| 9. Chris Low | Long Beach State | Jr |
| 10. Andres Arroyo | Florida | Fr |
| Canadian soph McBride has blossomed after nondescript frosh year and should add outdoor title title to his indoor honors. Gators have 3 entries & need a big score from the group for their team title chase. | ||
| 1500 METERS | ||
| 1. Lawi Lalang’ | Arizona | Sr |
| 2. Mac Fleet | Oregon | Sr |
| 3. Brannon Kidder | Penn State | So |
| 4. Peter Callahan | New Mexico | Jr |
| 5. Jordan Williamsz’ | Villanova | So |
| 6. Ben Saarel | Colorado | Fr |
| 7. Rorey Hunter’ | Indiana | Jr |
| 8. John Simons | Minnesota | Sr |
| 9. Rich Peters | Boston U | Jr |
| 10. Grant Pollock | Virginia Tech | Sr |
| Defending titleist Fleet beat Lalang in a slow April race. Expect Lalang to push the pace as he did at conference when he edged Cheserek in 3:36.34. Sydney Maree’s 3:35.30 collegiate record could fall. | ||
| STEEPLE | ||
| 1. Anthony Rotich’ | UTEP | Jr |
| 2. Stanley Kebenei’ | Arkansas | Jr |
| 3. Mason Ferlic | Michigan | So |
| 4. Ole Hesselbjerg’ | Eastern Kentucky | Jr |
| 5. Tanguy Pepiot’ | Oregon | Jr |
| 6. Kyle King | Virginia | So |
| 7. John Prizzi | New Hampshire | Jr |
| 8. Jared Berman | Virginia Tech | Sr |
| 9. Caleb Hoover | Northern Arizona | Jr |
| 10. Andrew Gonzales | Washington State | Sr |
| Indoor mile winner Rotich is a probable lock to make it 2 in a row in the Steeple. Ducks need a high placing from Pepiot to sustain their role as team favorites. | ||
| 5000 METERS | ||
| 1. Lawi Lalang’ | Arizona | Sr |
| 2. Edward Cheserek’ | Oregon | Fr |
| 3. Kennedy Kithuka’ | Texas Tech | Sr |
| 4. Kirubel Erassa | Oklahoma State | Jr |
| 5. Joe Rosa | Stanford | Jr |
| 6. Eric Jenkins | Oregon | Jr |
| 7. Trevor Dunbar | Oregon | Sr |
| 8. Shadrack Kipchirchir’ | Oklahoma State | Sr |
| 9. Stanley Kebenei’ | Arkansas | Jr |
| 10. Patrick Tiernan’ | Villanova | Fr |
| Lalang should be fresher than his indoor nemesis Cheserek who may have a tough 10K on Wednesday. Ducks bring 4 to the this event which has a rich Oregon history. | ||
| 10,000 METERS | ||
| 1. Edward Cheserek’ | Oregon | Fr |
| 2. Kennedy Kithuka’ | Texas Tech | Sr |
| 3. Shadrack Kipchirchir’ | Oklahoma State | Sr |
| 4. Mo Ahmed’ | Wisconsin | Sr |
| 5. Parker Stinson | Oregon | Sr |
| 6. Trevor Dunbar | Oregon | Sr |
| 7. Luke Caldwell’ | New Mexico | Sr |
| 8. Jim Rosa | Stanford | Jr |
| 9. Joe Bosshard | Colorado | Sr |
| 10. Chris Enriquez | Long Beach State | So |
| Kithuka seeks revenge for the licking Cheserek gave him in X-Country. Questions remain his pacing skills after fading at NCAA X-Country and Jordan Meet. Kipchirchir showed at the Jordan that he can sustain a very fast pace. | ||
| 110 HURDLES | ||
| 1. Wayne Davis’ | Texas A&M | Sr |
| 2. Aleec Harris | USC | Sr |
| 3. Eddie Lovett | Florida | Sr |
| 4. Devon Allen | Oregon | Fr |
| 5. Omar McLeod’ | Arkansas | Fr |
| 6. Greggmar Swift’ | Indiana State | Sr |
| 7. Johnathan Cabral | Oregon | Jr |
| 8. Vincent Wyatt | Radford | Jr |
| 9. Trevor Brown | Colorado State | Sr |
| 10. Milan Ristic’ | Cal | Sr |
| Aggies, Ducks and Gators all expect big points here. Perhaps the tightest finish of the meet between defending champ Davis and the ascending Trojan Harris. Few frosh have shown the rapid improvement of the Ducks’ Allen. Aries Merritt’s 13.21 meet record may fall. | ||
| 400 HURDLES | ||
| 1. Michael Stigler | Kansas | Jr |
| 2. Keyunta Hayes | UT San Antonio | Jr |
| 3. Miles Ukoama | Nebraska | Sr |
| 4. Gregory Coleman | Texas A&M | Jr |
| 5. Tim Holmes | Baylor | Fr |
| 6. Rilwan Alowonle | North Carolina | So |
| 7. Josh Taylor | SF Austin | Jr |
| 8. Tibor Koroknai’ | Nebraska | Sr |
| 9. Trevor Brown | Colorado State | Sr |
| 10. Quincy Downing | LSU | Jr |
| Six sub-50 hurdlers make for a quality race. Stigler was 2013 runnerup and may be ready for sub-49. Aggies need a high placing from Coleman to challenge for team title. | ||
| 4 x 100 | ||
| 1. Florida | Florida | |
| 2. Texas A&M | Texas A&M | |
| 3. LSU | LSU | |
| 6. Florida State | Florida State | |
| 5. Arizona State | Arizona State | |
| 6. South Carolina | South Carolina | |
| 7. Baylor | Baylor | |
| 8. Nebraska | Nebraska | |
| 9. Purdue | Purdue | |
| 10. Arkansas | Arkansas | |
| 2013 winner Florida always surprises here even with a lack of pure 100m guys. Little to separate the top three teams here as each is capable of dipping into low 38’s. | ||
| 4 x 400 | ||
| 1. Texas A&M | Texas A&M | |
| 2. Florida | Florida | |
| 3. LSU | LSU | |
| 4. Pitt | Pitt | |
| 5. Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | |
| 6. Nebraska | Nebraska | |
| 7. Oregon | Oregon | |
| 8. Ohio State | Ohio State | |
| 9. Florida State | Florida State | |
| 10. Arkansas | Arkansas | |
| Team title could be on line in this concluding event. All 4 Aggies made the 400 field. 3 Gators made it and 4th is 200 favorite Dukes. Could result in two teams under 3:00. Hometown Ducks might need to make the final to win the meet. LSU’s meet & Collegiate best of 2:59.59 is in jeopardy. | ||
| HIGH JUMP | ||
| 1. Nick Ross | Arizona | Sr |
| 2. Bryan McBride | Arizona State | Jr |
| 3. Jacorian Duffield | Texas Tech | Jr |
| 4. Maalik Reynolds | Penn | Sr |
| 5. Bradley Adkins | Texas Tech | So |
| 6. Montez Blair | Cornell | Sr |
| 7. Wally Ellenson | Minnesota | So |
| 8. Kyle Landon | Southern Illinois | Fr |
| 9. Justin Fondren | Alabama | So |
| 10. Avion Jones | East Carolina | So |
| Ross jumps best when pushed. Ricky Robertson’s absence leaves few to push him. Pick ‘em for the rest of the places. | ||
| POLE VAULT | ||
| 1. Sam Kendricks | Mississippi | Jr |
| 2. Shawn Barber’ | Akron | So |
| 3. Jake Blankenship | Tennessee | So |
| 4. Andrew Irwin | Arkansas | Jr |
| 5. Jax Thoirs’ | Washington | So |
| 6. Colton Ross | SF Austin | Sr |
| 7. Pauls Pujats’ | Memphis | Jr |
| 8. Chase Wolfle | Texas A&M | So |
| 9. Zach Siegmeier | Minnesota | Sr |
| 10. Peter Geraghty | Eastern Illinois | Sr |
| Kendricks is another solid defending champ. Nine of the ten predicted placers have have topped 18’ this year. | ||
| LONG JUMP | ||
| 1. Corey Crawford | Rutgers | Jr |
| 2. Raymond Higgs’ | Arkansas | Sr |
| 3. Marquis Dendy | Florida | Jr |
| 4. Laderrick Ward | Sn Illinois/Edwardsville | Jr |
| 5. Roelf Pienaar’ | Arkansas State | Fr |
| 6. Jarvis Gotch | Louisiana Tech | Jr |
| 7. Willie Alexander | Long Beach State | So |
| 8. Devin Field | Kansas State | So |
| 9. Ted Hooper | UC Riverside | Sr |
| 10. Hammed Suleman | Cal | Sr |
| Crawford’s consistency makes him the favorite. Which Dendy will show up? The 24 or the 27 footer? Gators need points from him which were nonexistent last year. Indoor winner Lawson didn’t make it out of Regionals. | ||
| TRIPLE JUMP | ||
| 1. Marquis Dendy | Florida | Jr |
| 2. Devin Field | Kansas State | So |
| 3. Matthew Oneal | South Florida | So |
| 4. Cordairo Golden | Middle Tennessee | Sr |
| 5. Steve Waithe | Penn State | Jr |
| 6. Donald Scott | Eastern Michigan | Jr |
| 7. Jonathan Gardner | Georgia Tech | Sr |
| 8. Damon McLean’ | Princeton | Sr |
| 9. Raymond Higgs’ | Arkansas | Sr |
| 10. Phillip Young | Mississippi | Jr |
| Dendy found his TJ form in his last two meets. He wins if he maintains. Former Texas prep star Field came out of nowhere to post 53’8 at West Regionals. Little separates the rest of the field. | ||
| SHOT | ||
| 1. Ryan Crouser | Texas | Jr |
| 2. Stipe Zunic’ | Florida | Jr |
| 3. Stephen Mozia’ | Cornell | Jr |
| 4. Stephen Saenz’ | Auburn | Sr |
| 5. Darrell Hill | Penn State | Jr |
| 6. Jonathan Jones | Buffalo | Jr |
| 7. Nick Vena | Georgia | Jr |
| 8. Albert Fournette | Louisiana-Lafayette | Sr |
| 9. Curtis Jensen | Illinois State | Sr |
| 10. Nicholas Scarvelis | UCLA | So |
| Don’t bet against Crouser in his return to his native state. Zunic keeps getting better after abandoning the jav due to shoulder woes. His PR is up by over 9 feet in this past year. Quality & depth highlights the shot field this year. It may take 65’ to score. | ||
| DISCUS | ||
| 1. Julian Wruck’ | UCLA | Sr |
| 2. Chad Wright’ | Nebraska | Sr |
| 3. Andrew Evans | Kentucky | Sr |
| 4. Rodney Brown | LSU | Jr |
| 5. Ryan Crouser | Texas | Jr |
| 6. Stephen Mozia’ | Cornell | Jr |
| 7. Mason Finley | Wyoming | Sr |
| 8. Sam Mattis | Penn | So |
| 9. Hayden Reed | Alabama | Fr |
| 10. Tavis Bailey | Tennessee | Jr |
| Discus marks have exploded. All our predicted placers are over 203’ this year. Wruck no longer seems invulnerable. Wright almost caught him in 2013. Others are very close. | ||
| HAMMER | ||
| 1. Nick Miller’ | Oklahoma State | Jr |
| 2. Matthias Tayala | Kent State | Jr |
| 3. Tomas Kruzliak’ | Virginia Tech | So |
| 4. Greg Skipper | Oregon | So |
| 5. Michael Lihrman | Wisconsin | Jr |
| 6. Alex Poursanidis’ | Georgia | Fr |
| 7. Elias Hakansson’ | Alabama | So |
| 8. Chuk Enekwechi | Purdue | So |
| 9. Jordan Young’ | Arizona | Fr |
| 10. Kyle Strawn | Florida | Jr |
| Miller seeks to overcome his NCAA jitters of the past two years. He’s helped by Conatser’s absence due to appendicitis. Defending champ Kruzliak hasn’t matched prior year’s marks. Ducks need good placing from Skipper for the team battle. | ||
| JAVELIN | ||
| 1. Sam Crouser | Oregon | Jr |
| 2. Raymond Dykstra’ | Kentucky | Jr |
| 3. Tomas Guerra’ | Western Kentucky | So |
| 4. Chris Carper | Robert Morris | Sr |
| 5. Jay Stell | Navy | So |
| 6. McLean Lipschutz | Monmouth | So |
| 7. Fabian Dohmann’ | Texas | Fr |
| 8. Justin Carter | Auburn | Fr |
| 9. Garrett Snow | Oklahoma | So |
| 10. Devin Bogert | Texas A&M | Jr |
| Crouser’s season best is 20’ off his PR probably due to knee woes but Hayward’s friendly venue should ease his pain. Jav marks unlike other throws are off this year. | ||
| DECATHLON | ||
| 1. Maicel Uibo’ | Georgia | So |
| 2. Garrett Scantling | Georgia | Jr |
| 3. Dakotah Keys | Oregon | Jr |
| 4. Kevin Lazas | Arkansas | Sr |
| 5. Zach Ziemek | Wisconsin | Sr |
| 6. Johannes Hock’ | Texas | So |
| 7. Devin Dick | Kansas State | Sr |
| 8. Chase Dalton | BYU | Sr |
| 9. Mike Morgan | Buffalo | So |
| 10. Alex McCune | Akron | Jr |
| A Bulldog battle for first with Duck Keys chasing. Defending champ Hock is hampered by Tommy John elbow woes in the jav. | ||
| COMPLETE TEAM SCORES | ||
| 1. Oregon | 78 | |
| 2. Florida | 72 | |
| 3. Texas A&M | 58 | |
| 4. Arkansas | 35 | |
| =5. Arizona | 30 | |
| =5. LSU | 30 | |
| =7. Oklahoma State | 24 | |
| =7. Texas Tech | 24 | |
| =7. USC | 24 | |
| =10. Georgia | 23 | |
| =10. Texas | 23 | |
| 12. Nebraska | 19 | |
| =13. Florida State | 16 | |
| =13. Kentucky | 16 | |
| 15. Penn State | 14 | |
| =16. Middle Tennessee | 13 | |
| =16. Wisconsin | 13 | |
| =18. Arizona State | 12 | |
| =18. Baylor | 12 | |
| =18. Cornell | 12 | |
| =18. Pitt | 12 | |
| 22. Kansas State | 11 | |
| =23. Kansas | 10 | |
| =23. Mississippi | 10 | |
| =23. Mississippi State | 10 | |
| =23. Rutgers | 10 | |
| =23. UCLA | 10 | |
| =23. UTEP | 10 | |
| =23. Western Kentucky | 10 | |
| =30. Akron | 8 | |
| =30. Kent State | 8 | |
| =30. UT San Antonio | 8 | |
| =33. New Mexico | 7 | |
| =33. Virginia Tech | 7 | |
| =33. Villanova | 7 | |
| =36. Auburn | 6 | |
| =36. Iowa State | 6 | |
| =36. Michigan | 6 | |
| =36. Penn | 6 | |
| =36. South Florida | 6 | |
| =36. Tennessee | 6 | |
| =42. Eastern Kentucky | 5 | |
| =42. Purdue | 5 | |
| =42. Robert Morris | 5 | |
| =42. SF Austin | 5 | |
| =42. Sn Illinois/Edwardsville | 5 | |
| =42. Stanford | 5 | |
| =48. Arkansas State | 4 | |
| =48. Navy | 4 | |
| =48. Washington | 4 | |
| =51. Buffalo | 3 | |
| =51. Colorado | 3 | |
| =51. Eastern Michigan | 3 | |
| =51. Indiana State | 3 | |
| =51. Louisiana Tech | 3 | |
| =51. Minnesota | 3 | |
| =51. Monmouth | 3 | |
| =51. North Carolina | 3 | |
| =51. South Carolina | 3 | |
| =51. Virginia | 3 | |
| =61. Alabama | 2 | |
| =61. Georgia Tech | 2 | |
| =61. Indiana | 2 | |
| =61. Long Beach State | 2 | |
| =61. LIU Brooklyn | 2 | |
| =61. Memphis | 2 | |
| =61. New Hampshire | 2 | |
| =61. Wyoming | 2 | |
| =69. BYU | 1 | |
| =69. Louisiana-Lafayette | 1 | |
| =69. Ohio State | 1 | |
| =69. Princeton | 1 | |
| =69. Radford | 1 | |
| =69. Southern Illinois | 1 | |
| =69. UT Arlington | 1 | |