Olympic Trials Men’s Formchart #1

Fan fave Noah Lyles is our only predicted double winner at the Trials, so figures to get lots more selfie time. (JIRO MOCHIZUKI/IMAGE OF SPORT)

FEARLESS FORECASTING by Dave Johnson — as of April 15.

The USATF Championships in Eugene (June 18–27) will also be the selection meet for the Olympic Games. With 10-odd weeks to go before that climactic competition, here are our Top 10 picks in each men’s event.

The presence or absence of an athlete in any given event should not be taken as definitively indicating in which event(s) the athletes will compete.

The numbers in the right-hand column? With no U.S. Rankings having been possible for the pandemic year of ’20, those figures reflect the athlete’s position in T&FN’s ’19 U.S. Rankings. If he wasn’t ranked in ’19, then the ’18 rating is given in parentheses. An “nr” means he didn’t rank in either ’17 or ’18, but may have in an earlier year.

100 METERS
1. Noah Lyles (adidas) 2
2. Justin Gatlin (Nike) 3
3. Trayvon Bromell (New Balance) nr
4. Ronnie Baker (Nike) (2)
5. Kyree King (Nike) nr
6. Micah Williams (Oregon) nr
7. Mike Rodgers (Nike) 4
8. Isiah Young (Nike) 7
9. Marvin Bracy (unattached) nr
10. Matthew Boling (Georgia) 8
200 METERS
1. Noah Lyles (adidas) 1
2. Michael Norman (Nike) 2
3. Kenny Bednarek (Nike) 5
4. Terrance Laird (LSU) nr
5. Matthew Boling (Georgia) 9
6. Joe Fahnbulleh (Florida) nr
7. Micaiah Harris (Texas) 7
8. Ameer Webb (Nike) 6
9. Isiah Young (Nike) (3)
10. Cravon Gillespie (Nike) 4
400 METERS
1. Michael Norman (Nike) 2
2. Fred Kerley (Nike) 1
3. Bryce Deadmon (Texas A&M) nr
4. Noah Williams (LSU) nr
5. Kahmari Montgomery (Nike) 3
6. Jacory Patterson (Virginia Tech) nr
7. Randolph Ross (North Carolina A&T) nr
8. Justin Robinson (unattached) nr
9. Michael Cherry (Nike) 6
10. Wil London (Nike) 8
800 METERS
1. Donavan Brazier (Nike) 1
2. Clayton Murphy (Nike) 2
3. Bryce Hoppel (adidas) 3
4. Devin Dixon (Texas A&M) 4
5. Isaiah Harris (Nike) 5
6. Erik Sowinski (unattached) 9
7. Brannon Kidder (Brooks Beasts) 6
8. Isaiah Jewett (USC) 8
9. Kameron Jones (Clemson) nr
10. Sam Ellison (Boston AA) nr
1500 METERS
1. Matthew Centrowitz (Nike Bowerman TC) 2
2. Craig Engels (Nike) 1
3. Ben Blankenship (Oregon TC) 4
4. Johnny Gregorek (Asics) 7
5. Josh Thompson (Nike Bowerman TC) 3
6. Sam Prakel (adidas) 5
7. Cole Hocker (Oregon) nr
8. Cooper Teare (Oregon) nr
9. Eric Avila (adidas) 6
10. Izaic Yorks (Brooks Beasts) 8
STEEPLE
1. Evan Jager (Nike Bowerman TC) (1)
2. Hillary Bor (Hoka One One) 1
3. Stanley Kebenei (Nike) 2
4. Andy Bayer (Nike) 3
5. Benard Keter (US Army) 4
6. Mason Ferlic (unattached) 5
7. Obsa Ali (Asics) 6
8. Travis Mahoney (Hoka NJ*NY) 7
9. Jordan Mann (Ocean State AC) 8
10. Franklin Tonui (US Army) 9
5000 METERS
1. Paul Chelimo (Nike) 1
2. Emmanuel Bor (US Army) 10
3. Lopez Lomong (Nike BowermanTC) 2
4. Hassan Mead (Oregon TC) 3
5. Woody Kincaid (Nike Bowerman TC) 4
6. Ben True (unattached) 5
7. Drew Hunter (adidas/Tinman Elite) 6
8. Grant Fisher (Nike Bowerman TC) (9)
9. Eric Jenkins (Nike) (8)
10. Sean McGorty (Nike Bowerman TC) (10)
10,000 METERS
1. Lopez Lomong (Nike Bowerman TC) 1
2. Shadrack Kipchirchir (Nike) 2
3. Paul Chelimo (Nike) 4
4. Grant Fisher (Nike Bowerman TC) nr
5. Kirubel Erassa (Hoka One One) 5
6. Eric Jenkins (Nike) nr
7. Woody Kincaid (Nike Bowerman TC) nr
8. Leonard Korir (US Army) 3
9. Ben True (unattached) 6
10. Diego Estrada (unattached) 7
110 HURDLES
1. Grant Holloway (adidas) 1
2. Daniel Roberts (Nike) 2
3. Freddie Crittenden (unattached) 3
4. Devon Allen (Nike) 4
5. Jarret Eaton (unattached) 8
6. Aaron Mallett (unattached) 9
7. Robert Dunning (Alabama) nr
8. Nick Anderson (unattached) nr
9. Trey Cunningham (Florida State) (8)
10. Michael Dickson (unattached) 7
400 HURDLES
1. Rai Benjamin (Nike) 1
2. Kenny Selmon (unattached) (2)
3. TJ Holmes (Nike) 2
4. Trevor Bassitt (Ashland) nr
5. David Kendziera (unattached) 3
6. Amere Lattin (Nike) 4
7. Cameron Samuel (USC) 10
8. CJ Allen (unattached) (7)
9. Charles Brockman (Texas) nr
10. Quincy Hall (unattached) 5
20K WALK
(compiled by Steve Vaitones)
1. Daniel Nehnevaj (Raleigh Walkers) 1
2. Emmanuel Corvera (New York AC) 3
3. Nick Christie (Newfeel–DecathlonUSA) 1
4. John Cody Risch (Q Elite) 2
5. Stephen Smith (WVU Tech) nr
6. Anthony Peters (Raleigh Walkers) 4
7. Jordan Crawford (Missouri Baptist) nr
8. Bricyn Healey (unattached) nr
9. AJ Gruttadauro (Shore AC) (7)
10. Joel Pfahler (Athletes In Action) (9)
HIGH JUMP
1. Erik Kynard (Jordan) (2)
2. Trey Culver (adidas) (3)
3. JuVaughn Harrison (LSU) 3
4. Shelby McEwen (unattached) 2
5. Jeron Robinson (unattached) 1
6. Earnie Sears (USC) 8
7. Darryl Sullivan (Tennessee) nr
8. Ben Milligan (Oregon) nr
9. Vernon Turner (Oklahoma) (8)
10. Jonathan Wells (Illinois) 4
POLE VAULT
1. Sam Kendricks (Nike) 1
2. KC Lightfoot (Baylor) 4
3. Chris Nilsen (Nike) 2
4. Zach McWhorter (BYU) nr
5. Zach Bradford (Kansas) 5
6. Matt Ludwig (unattached) 8
7. Cole Walsh (Nike) 3
8. Andrew Irwin (unattached) 6
9. Scott Houston (unattached) 7
10. Clayton Fritsch (Sam Houston State) 9
LONG JUMP
1. Jeff Henderson (adidas) 1
2. JuVaughn Harrison (LSU) 5
3. Marquis Dendy (unattached) (3)
4. Isaac Grimes (Florida State) nr
5. Will Claye (Puma/New York AC)) 3
6. Steffin McCarter (Texas) 6
7. Marquise Goodwin (unattached) nr
8. Damarcus Simpson (unattached) 8
9. Trumaine Jefferson (unattached) 2
10. Ja’Mari Ward (Missouri) 4
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Christian Taylor (Nike) 1
2. Will Claye (Puma/New York AC) 2
3. Omar Craddock (Asics) 3
4. Donald Scott (adidas) 4
5. Chris Benard (Nike) 5
6. Alphonso Jordan (unattached) nr
7. Christian Edwards (Alabama) nr
8. Sean Dixon-Bodie (LSU) nr
9. KeAndre Bates (unattached) 6
10. Chris Carter (air Houston) 7
SHOT
1. Ryan Crouser (Nike) 1
2. Joe Kovacs (Velaasa/Duluth Trading Co) 2
3. Darrell Hill (Nike) 3
4. Payton Otterdahl (Nike) 4
5. Turner Washington (Arizona State) nr
6. Jonathan Jones (Velaasa) 5
7. Tripp Piperi (Texas) 9
8. Josh Awotunde (unattached) 6
9. Curt Jensen (Velaasa) 7
10. McKay Johnson (USC) nr
DISCUS
1. Mason Finley (Nike) 3
2. Sam Mattis (unattached) 1
3. Reggie Jagers (Iron Wood TC) 2
4. Turner Washington (Arizona State) nr
5. Brian Williams (unattached) 4
6. Nik Arrhenius (unattached) nr
7. Duke Kicinski (unattached) 5
8. Kord Ferguson (unattached) 6
9. Luke Vaughn (unattached) 10
10. Jared Schuurmans (unattached) 9
HAMMER
1. Sean Donnelly (adidas) 1
2. Alex Young (unattached) 5
3. Rudy Winkler (New York AC) 2
4. Conor McCullough (New York AC) 3
5. Daniel Haugh (unattached) 4
6. Morgan Shigo (Velaasa) 7
7. Israel Oloyede (Arizona) nr
8. Erich Sullins (unattached) nr
9. Michael Shanahan (Chula Vista Elite) 6
10. Bobby Colantonio (Alabama) nr
JAVELIN
1. Michael Shuey (New York AC) 1
2. Riley Dolezal (unattached) 2
3. Curtis Thompson (unattached) 3
4. Tim Glover (unattached) 4
5. Cameron Bates (BYU) nr
6. Donavon Banks (McNeese State) nr
7. Mark Porter (Penn State) nr
8. Cade Antonucci (Auburn) nr
9. Ethan Shalaway (unattached) nr
10. Tzuriel Pedigo (LSU) 5
DECATHLON
1. Garrett Scantling (Team Petros Elite TC) nr
2. Zach Ziemek (unattached) 3
3. Solomon Simmons (unattached) 1
4. Harrison Williams (unattached) 2
5. Devon Williams (unattached) 4
6. Steven Bastien (unattached) 6
7. Scott Filip (unattached) 5
8. Kyle Garland (Georgia) nr
9. Jeremy Taiwo (unattached) nr
10. Markus Ballengee (Arkansas) (9)