If the meet goes as predicted (and you know likely that is!), when we get to the climactic 4×4, Lance Harter’s Razorbacks will have an insurmountable 14-point lead, with the scores for the top 5 looking like this: 1. Arkansas 63; 2. Georgia 49; 3. USC 48; 4. Kentucky 45; 5. LSU 42.
Neither Arkansas nor Georgia is projected to have a team in that race, so their scores won’t change. The predicted USC win would put the Trojans into 2nd, just 5 points behind Arkansas, followed by Kentucky, Georgia & LSU.
Arkansas is plotted to score in 7 events (100, 1500, 100H, 4×4, PV–3, LJ & Hept–2), USC in 8 (100–2, 200, 400, 100H–2, 400H, 4×1, 4×4, SP), Kentucky in 7 (200, 400, 100H, 4×4, 4×4, PV, TJ), Georgia in 6 (200, 5000, HJ, LJ–3, TJ, Hept) and LSU in 5 (100–3, 100H, 400H, 4×4, 4×4).
The top 2 teams will go head-to-head in only 3 events: 100, 100H and 4×1. The big key for Arkansas is the vault, where its 3 scorers are predicted to rack up 16 points.
The 100 could be a pivotal event early on the final day, with Arkansas, USC and LSU owning 6 of the 8 scorers. The order in which they finish could be crucial.
Even if the 4×4 isn’t needed to decide the team title, it’s still likely to finish the meet on the highest of notes, where we should see Kendall Ellis of USC and Sydney McLaughlin of Kentucky on the anchors. Low-49 splits anyone?
The 10-deep predictions for each event:
TOP 10 TEAMS
1. Arkansas
63
2. USC
58
3. Kentucky
54
4. Georgia
49
5. LSU
44
6. Florida
42
7. Stanford
35
8. Oregon
32
9. Texas A&M
29
10. Arizona State
26
(complete team scores below)
100 METERS
1. Mikiah Brisco
LSU
Sr
2. Aleia Hobbs
LSU
Sr
3. Ashley Henderson
San Diego State
Sr
4. Deanna Hill
USC
Sr
5. Ariana Washington
Oregon
Jr
6. Twanisha Terry
USC
Fr
7. Kortnei Johnson
LSU
Jr
8. Jada Baylark
Arkansas
So
9. Teahna Daniels
Texas
Jr
10. Nataliyah Whyte’
Auburn
Fr
200 METERS
1. Gabby Thomas
Harvard
Jr
2. Lynna Irby
Georgia
Fr
3. Deanna Hill
USC
Sr
4. Ashley Henderson
San Diego State
Sr
5. Ka’Tia Seymour
Florida State
Fr
6. Kayelle Clarke’
Kentucky
Sr
7. Brittany Brown
Iowa
Sr
8. Danyel White
Texas A&M
So
9. Ariana Washington
Oregon
Jr
10. Ky Westbrook
USC
Jr
400 METERS
1. Sydney McLaughlin
Kentucky
Fr
2. Kendall Ellis
USC
Jr
3. Sharrika Barnett
Florida
Jr
4. Brionna Thomas
Purdue
Sr
5. Brianna Guillory
Iowa
Jr
6. Taylor Manson
Florida
Fr
7. Jaevin Reed
Texas A&M
So
8. Makenzie Dunmore
Oregon
So
9. Morgan Burks Magee
Arkansas
Fr
10. Kiana Horton
Baylor
Jr
800 METERS
1. Sabrina Southerland
Oregon
Sr
2. Síofra Cléirigh Büttner’
Villanova
Sr
3. Sammy Watson
Texas A&M
Fr
4. Ashley Taylor’
Northern Arizona
Sr
5. Sadi Henderson
Boise
Jr
6. Jazmine Fray’
Texas A&M
Jr
7. Rachel Pocratsky
Virginia Tech
Jr
8. Kayla Johnson
Miami
Fr
9. Olivia Baker
Stanford
Sr
10. Alethia Marrero’
Arizona State
Sr
1500 METERS
1. Nikki Hiltz
Arkansas
Sr
2. Dani Jones
Colorado
Jr
3. Rhianwedd Price-Weimer’
Mississippi State
Sr
4. Elise Cranny
Stanford
Sr
5. Jaimie Phelan’
Michigan
Sr
6. Jessica Harris
Notre Dame
Jr
7. Christina Aragon
Stanford
So
8. Danae Rivers
Penn State
So
9. Amy-Eloise Neale’
Washington
Sr
10. Dillon McClintock
Michigan State
So
STEEPLE
1. Allie Ostrander
Boise
So
2. Elinor Purrier
New Hampshire
Sr
3. Marie Bouchard’
USF
Sr
4. Grayson Murphy
Utah
Sr
5. Bri Ilarda’
Providence
Sr
6. Claire Borchers
Michigan
Sr
7. Sarah Edwards
Virginia Tech
So
8. Taylor Austin
Indiana State
Sr
9. Charlotte Prouse’
New Mexico
Jr
10. Sage Hurta
Colorado
So
5000 METERS
1. Karissa Schweizer
Missouri
Sr
2. Ednah Kurgat’
New Mexico
Jr
3. Lilli Burdon’
Oregon
Jr
4. Allie Ostrander
Boise
So
5. Katherine Receveur
Indiana
Jr
6. Jessica Drop
Georgia
So
7. Vanessa Fraser
Stanford
Sr
8. Jessica Hull
Oregon
Jr
9. Elly Henes
NC State
So
10. Sarah Disanza
Wisconsin
Sr
10,000 METERS
1. Ednah Kurgat’
New Mexico
Jr
2. Karissa Schweizer
Missouri
Sr
3. Alice Wright’
New Mexico
Jr
4. Erin Finn
Michigan
Sr
5. Sharon Lokedi’
Kansas
Sr
6. Paige Stoner
Syracuse
Jr
7. Samantha Nadel
Oregon
Sr
8. Erin Clark
Colorado
Sr
9. Regan Rome
William & Mary
Sr
10. Shannon Malone
Syracuse
Sr
100 HURDLES
1. Jasmine Camacho-Quinn’
Kentucky
Jr
2. Payton Chadwick
Arkansas
Jr
3. Anna Cockrell
USC
So
4. Rushelle Burton’
Texas
Fr
5. Tonea Marshall
LSU
So
6. Devynne Charlton’
Purdue
Sr
7. Pedrya Seymour’
Texas
Sr
8. Dior Hall
USC
Sr
9. Janeek Brown’
Arkansas
Fr
10. Tara Davis
Georgia
Fr
400 HURDLES
1. Anna Cockrell
USC
So
2. Kymber Payne
LSU
Sr
3. Symone Black
Purdue
Sr
4. Shae Anderson
Oregon
Fr
5. Jasmine Barge
Nebraska
Jr
6. Mariam Abdul-Rashid
Texas
Jr
7. Ariel Jones
Texas
Sr
8. Deonca Bookman
Prairie View
Sr
9. Brandee’ Johnson
Florida
So
10. Kiana Hawn
Baylor
Sr
4 x 100
1. LSU
LSU
2. Kentucky
Kentucky
3. USC
USC
4. Texas A&M
Texas A&M
5. Arkansas
Arkansas
6. Florida
Florida
7. Auburn
Auburn
8. Florida State
Florida State
9. Miami
Miami
10. Oregon
Oregon
4 x 400
1. USC
USC
2. Kentucky
Kentucky
3. Florida
Florida
4. Purdue
Purdue
5. Texas A&M
Texas A&M
6. Oregon
Oregon
7. LSU
LSU
8. Ohio State
Ohio State
9. Baylor
Baylor
10. Arkansas
Arkansas
HIGH JUMP
1. Nicole Greene
North Carolina
Jr
2. Tatiana Gusin’
Georgia
Jr
3. Logan Boss
Mississippi State
Sr
4. Loretta Blaut
Cincinnati
Sr
5. Clarissa Cutliff
Florida International
Jr
6. Shelley Spires
Air Force
Sr
7. Zarriea Willis
Texas Tech
Jr
8. Stacey Destin
Alabama
So
9. Mady Fagan
Georgia
Sr
10. Abigail O’Donoghue
LSU
Fr
POLE VAULT
1. Olivia Gruver
Kentucky
Jr
2. Lexi Jacobus
Arkansas
Jr
3. Lisa Gunnarsson’
Virginia Tech
Fr
4. Tori Hoggard
Arkansas
Jr
5. Lucy Bryan’
Akron
Jr
6. Desiree Freier
Arkansas
Jr
7. Madison Heath
Duke
Sr
8. Bonnie Draxler
San Diego State
Sr
9. Laura Taylor
Kansas
Sr
10. Rachel Baxter
Virginia Tech
Fr
LONG JUMP
1. Kate Hall
Georgia
So
2. Taliyah Brooks
Arkansas
Sr
3. Jhoanmy Luque’
Iowa State
Sr
4. Yanis David’
Florida
Jr
5. Keturah Orji
Georgia
Sr
6. Rougui Sow’
South Carolina
Jr
7. Tara Davis
Georgia
Fr
8. Savannah Carson
Purdue
Sr
9. Jahisha Thomas’
Iowa
Sr
10. Wurrie Njadoe
Kansas State
So
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Keturah Orji
Georgia
Jr
2. Yanis David’
Florida
So
3. Jhoanmy Luque’
Iowa State
Sr
4. Marie-Josée Ebwea-Bile’
Kentucky
Jr
5. Jessie Maduka’
UCLA
Sr
6. Sabina Allen’
Campbell
Sr
7. Lajarvia Brown
Texas A&M
So
8. Tiffany Flynn
Mississippi State
Sr
9. Chaquinn Cook
Oregon
Jr
10. Paetyn Revell
Texas Tech
Sr
SHOT
1. Maggie Ewen
Arizona State
Sr
2. Jessica Woodard
Oklahoma
Sr
3. Lena Giger
Stanford
Sr
4. Lloydricia Cameron
Florida
Sr
5. Janeah Stewart
Mississippi
Sr
6. Breana Jemison
USC
Sr
7. Ashlie Blake
UCLA
Jr
8. Kiley Sabin
Minnesota
Jr
9. Gleneve Grange’
Florida State
Sr
10. Alyssa Wilson
UCLA
Fr
DISCUS
1. Valarie Allman
Stanford
Sr
2. Shadae Lawrence’
Kansas State
Jr
3. Maggie Ewen
Arizona State
Sr
4. Tarasue Barnett’
Grand Canyon
Sr
5. Katelyn Daniels
Michigan State
Sr
6. Serena Brown
Texas A&M
So
7. Laulauga Tausaga
Iowa
So
8. Gleneve Grange’
Florida State
Sr
9. Kayla Hopkins
Fresno State
Sr
10. Gabi Jacobs
Missouri
Jr
HAMMER
1. Maggie Ewen
Arizona State
Sr
2. Brooke Andersen
Northern Arizona
Sr
3. Stamatia Scarvelis’
Tennessee
Jr
4. Janeah Stewart
Mississippi
Sr
5. Veronika Kanuchová’
Florida State
So
6. Janee’ Kassanavoid
Kansas State
Sr
7. Ashley Bryant
Oklahoma
Sr
8. Emma Thor’
Virginia Tech
So
9. Camryn Rogers’
Cal
Fr
10. Temi Ogunrinde
Minnesota
Jr
JAVELIN
1. Mackenzie Little’
Stanford
Jr
2. Alyssa Olin
North Dakota State
Jr
3. Avione Allgood
Florida
Sr
4. Maura Fiamoncini
Bucknell
Fr
5. Ashley Pryke’
Memphis
So
6. Nicolle Murphy’
Minnesota
Sr
7. Laura Paredes’
Florida State
Fr
8. Katelyn Gochenour
Duke
So
9. Sophia Rivera
Wisconsin
Fr
10. Callie Jones
Sn Mississippi
Fr
HEPTATHLON
1. Taliyah Brooks
Arkansas
Sr
2. Nina Schultz’
Kansas State
So
3. Payton Chadwick
Arkansas
Sr
4. Georgia Ellenwood’
Wisconsin
Sr
5. Louisa Grauvogel’
Georgia
So
6. Tyra Gittens’
Texas A&M
Fr
7. Jaclyn Siefring
Akron
Sr
8. Alissa Brooks-Johnson
Washington State
Sr
9. Kendall Gustafson
UCLA
Sr
10. Amanda Frøynes’
Florida
Fr
COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1. Arkansas
63
2. USC
58
3. Kentucky
54
4. Georgia
49
5. LSU
44
6. Florida
42
7. Stanford
35
8. Oregon
32
9. Texas A&M
29
10. Arizona State
26
11. New Mexico
24
12. Purdue
20
=13. Boise
19
=13. Kansas State
19
15. Missouri
18
=16. Mississippi State
13
=16. Northern Arizona
13
=18. Florida State
12
=18. Iowa State
12
=18. Michigan
12
=18. San Diego State
12
=18. Texas
12
23. Virginia Tech
11
=24. Harvard
10
=24. North Carolina
10
=24. Oklahoma
10
=27. Colorado
9
=27. Mississippi
9
=29. Iowa
8
=29. North Dakota State
8
=29. New Hampshire
8
=29. Villanova
8
=33. Akron
6
=33. Tennessee
6
=33. UCLA
6
=33. USF
6
=37. Bucknell
5
=37. Cincinnati
5
=37. Grand Canyon
5
=37. Utah
5
=37. Wisconsin
5
=42. Florida International
4
=42. Indiana
4
=42. Kansas
4
=42. Memphis
4
=42. Michigan State
4
=42. Minnesota
4
=42. Nebraska
4
=42. Providence
4
=50. Air Force
3
=50. Campbell
3
=50. Duke
3
=50. Notre Dame
3
=50. South Carolina
3
=50. Syracuse
3
=56. Auburn
2
=56. Texas Tech
2
=58. Alabama
1
=58. Indiana State
1
=58. Miami
1
=58. Ohio State
1
=58. Penn State
1
=58. Prairie View
1
=58. Washington State
1
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On only a handful of occasions (most recently in ’14) have three women’s teams scored 50 points or more at the NCAA Championships. This year is looking like another, with the possibility for even more.