2026 NCAA Men’s Formchart #1 — Ultratight Forecast

THE WAY THE YEAR’S FIRST reading of the crystal ball turns out, Arkansas will wrap up the meet by eking out 3 points in the climactic 4×4. Not much, but it’s enough to overcome Auburn’s 2-point lead going in, but Auburn isn’t projected to score at all in the relay, so the Razorbacks will win by 1. It probably won’t turn out that way, but it’s our best guess as indoors gives way to out.

It won’t take much faltering by the pair of SEC powerhouses for Oregon and Georgia to pick up the few points they need to jump right into contention.

Overall, a healthy 8 of last year’s event winners are favored to repeat: Samuel Ogazi (400), James Corrigan (steeple), Ja’Kobe Tharp (110H), Auburn (4×1), Arvesta Troupe (HJ), Aleksandr Kolovev (PV), Ralford Mullins (DT), Peyton Bair (Dec).

The 10-deep predictions for each event (’ = athlete not eligible for U.S. international teams):

TOP 10 TEAMS
1. Arkansas	41
2. Auburn	40
3. Oregon	37
4. Georgia	36
5. Texas A&M	32
=6. Minnesota	31
=6. Ole Miss	31
=8. Tennessee	30
=8. Texas	30
10. Alabama	29
(complete team scores below event picks.)

100 METERS
1.	Kayinsola Ajayi’	Auburn	Jr
2.	Jelani Watkins	Arkansas	So
3.	Louie Hinchliffe’	Houston	Jr
4.	T’Mars McCallum	Tennessee	Sr
5.	Maurice Gleaton	Georgia	Fr
6.	Israel Okon’	Auburn	So
7.	Ajani Dwyer	Penn State	So
8.	Davonte Howell’	Tennessee	Jr
9.	Jaiden Reid’	LSU	Jr
10.	Eddie Nketia’	USC	Jr

200 METERS
1.	Garrett Kaalund	USC	Sr
2.	Tarsis Orogot’	Alabama	Sr
3.	T’Mars McCallum	Tennessee	Sr
4.	Wanya McCoy’	Florida	Sr
5.	Jelani Watkins	Arkansas	So
6.	Jaleel Croal	South Florida	Sr
7.	Aaron Charles	Minnesota	Sr
8.	Jaiden Reid’	LSU	Jr
9.	Ajani Dwyer	Penn State	So
10.	Jamarion Stubbs	Arkansas	Sr

400 METERS
1.	Samuel Ogazi’	Alabama	Jr
2.	Jonathan Simms	Georgia	Fr
3.	William Jones	USC	Sr
4.	Justin Braun	Florida	Jr
5.	Micahi Danzy	Florida State	So
6.	Jordan Pierre	Arkansas	Jr
7.	DeSean Boyce’	Texas Tech	Sr
8.	Josiah Wrice	South Carolina	So
9.	Jayden Davis	Arizona State	Jr
10.	Kwamina Taylor’	Florida	So

800 METERS
1.	Handal Roban’	Penn State	Sr
2.	Sam Rodman	Virginia	Sr
3.	Rivaldo Marshall’	Arkansas	25
4.	Tyrice Taylor’	Arkansas	Sr
5.	Aidan McCarthy	Cal Poly SLO	Sr
6.	Dayton Carlson	Arizona State	Sr
7.	Tinoda Matsatsa	Georgetown	Jr
8.	Allon Clay’	Penn State	Sr
9.	Camden Law	Michigan	Sr
10.	Camden Marshall	Indiana	Sr

1500 METERS
1.	Colin Sahlman	Northern Arizona	Sr
2.	Gary Martin	Virginia	Sr
3.	Elliott Cook	Oregon	Sr
4.	Ferenc Kovács’	Harvard	Jr
5.	Carter Cutting	BYU	Jr
6.	George Couttie’	Virginia Tech	So
7.	Trent McFarland	Michigan	Jr
8.	Leo Young	Stanford	Jr
9.	Brendan Herger	Michigan	So
10.	Matan Ivri’	Wisconsin	So

STEEPLE
1.	James Corrigan	BYU	Sr
2.	Geoffrey Kirwa’	Louisville	So
3.	Nate Mountain	Virginia	Sr
4.	Joash Ruto’	Iowa State	So
5.	Collins Kipngok’	Kentucky	So
6.	Benjamin Balazs	Oregon	Jr
7.	Silas Kiptanui’	Tulane	So
8.	Ezekiel Pitireng’	Alabama	So
9.	Kole Mathison	Colorado	Jr
10.	Bismack Kipchirchir’	Alabama	So

5000 METERS
1.	Marco Langon	Villanova	Jr
2.	Brian Musau’	Oklahoma State	Jr
3.	Habtom Samuel’	New Mexico	Jr
4.	Simeon Birnbaum	Oregon	Jr
5.	Rocky Hansen	Wake Forest	Jr
6.	Ernest Cheruiyot’	Arkansas	Jr
7.	Evans Kiplagat’	New Mexico	Jr
8.	Nick Busienei	Arkansas	Fr
9.	Ben Shearer	Arkansas	Sr
10.	Justine Kipkoech’	Colorado	So

10,000 METERS
1.	Habtom Samuel’	New Mexico	Jr
2.	Solomon Kipchoge’	Washington State	So
3.	Ernest Cheruiyot’	Arkansas	Jr
4.	Rodgers Kiplimo’	Iowa State	Jr
5.	Denis Kipngetich’	Oklahoma State	Jr
6.	Evans Kurui’	Washington State	So
7.	Dismus Lokira’	Alabama	So
8.	Sanele Masondo’	Iowa State	Sr
9.	Robin Bera’	Iowa State	So
10.	Lex Young	Stanford	Jr

110 HURDLES
1.	Ja’Kobe Tharp	Auburn	Jr
2.	Malachi Snow	Texas Tech	Jr
3.	Kendrick Smallwood	Texas	Sr
4.	Le’Ezra Brown	Georgia	Fr
5.	Ja’Qualon Scott	Texas A&M	Sr
6.	Bradley Franklin	Samford	So
7.	Demario Prince’	Baylor	Jr
8.	Zach Extine	Arizona	Sr
9.	Kai Graves-Blanks	Oregon	Jr
10.	Jahiem Stern’	LSU	Sr

400 HURDLES
1.	Ja’Qualon Scott	Texas A&M	Sr
2.	Kody Blackwood	Texas	Sr
3.	Saad Hinti’	Tennessee	So
4.	Njabulo Mbatha’	Auburn	Fr
5.	Ryan Matulonis	Penn	Jr
6.	Mohamed Adoini	Georgia	So
7.	Josiah Johnson	Northern Arizona	So
8.	Jayden Douglas	TCU	Jr
9.	Marc Anthony Ibrahim’	Tennessee	Jr
10.	Nikola Kostić’	Tennessee	Fr

4 x 100
1.	Auburn	Auburn
2.	Minnesota	Minnesota
3.	Texas Tech	Texas Tech
4.	Florida	Florida
5.	Houston	Houston
6.	LSU	LSU
7.	South Florida	South Florida
8.	Ole Miss	Ole Miss
9.	Cal State Fullerton	Cal State Fullerton
10.	Grand Canyon	Grand Canyon

4 x 400
1.	South Carolina	South Carolina
2.	LSU	LSU
3.	Texas A&M	Texas A&M
4.	Alabama	Alabama
5.	Tennessee	Tennessee
6.	Arkansas	Arkansas
7.	Florida	Florida
8.	Georgia	Georgia
9.	USC	USC
10.	Texas Tech	Texas Tech

HIGH JUMP
1.	Arvesta Troupe	Ole Miss	Sr
2.	Aiden Hayes	Texas State	Sr
3.	Yonath Kapitolnik’	Illinois	Fr
4.	Tito Alofe	Harvard	Jr
5.	Kimani Jack’	Georgia	Jr
6.	Devin Loudermilk	Kansas State	Sr
7.	Scottie Vines	Arkansas	So
8.	Alan Hanna	Kansas State	Fr
9.	Kyren Washington	Oklahoma	Jr
10.	Etoro Bassey	Texas A&M	Fr

POLE VAULT
1.	Aleksandr Solovev’	Texas A&M	Sr
2.	Anthony Meacham	Kansas	Sr
3.	Jimmy Rhoads	Washington	Sr
4.	Dyson Wicker	Nebraska	So
5.	Cade Gray	Tennessee	Sr
6.	Ricardo Montes’	High Point	So
7.	Ismaila Sawaneh’	Tennessee	Jr
8.	Maddox Hamm	Virginia Tech	Jr
9.	Brian O’Sullivan	Rutgers	Jr
10.	Bryce Barkdull	Kansas	So

LONG JUMP
1.	Charles Godfred’	Minnesota	Jr
2.	Jordan Turner’	LSU	Sr
3.	De’Aundre Ward	Southern Miss	Sr
4.	Kennedy Stringfellow	Oklahoma	Jr
5.	Kelsey Daniel’	Texas	Sr
6.	Greg Foster	Princeton	Jr
7.	DJ Fillmore	Ohio State	Jr
8.	Tyler Nichols	Southern Miss	Jr
9.	Tafadzwa Chikomba’	Kansas State	Jr
10.	Temoso Masikane’	Florida	Fr

TRIPLE JUMP
1.	Jonathan Seremes’	Texas Tech	So
2.	Selva Prabhu’	Kansas State	So
3.	Kelsey Daniel’	Texas	Sr
4.	Brandon Green	Oklahoma	Sr
5.	Hakeem Ford	Minnesota	Jr
6.	Malith Yasiru’	Arizona State	Fr
7.	Kevin Kemboif	Oklahoma State	Fr
8.	Trevon Hamer’	Kansas State	Jr
9.	Kyvon Tatham	Florida State	Sr
10.	Floyd Whitaker	Oklahoma	Sr

SHOT
1.	Tarik O’Hagan	Ole Miss	Sr
2.	Kobe Lawrence’	Oregon	So
3.	Cade Moran	Nebraska	Jr
4.	Ben Smith	Oregon	Fr
5.	Texas Tanner	Air Force	Sr
6.	Joe Licata	Princeton	Sr
7.	Jarno Van Daalen’	Florida	Fr
8.	JL Van Rensburg’	Tennessee	So
9.	Dillon Morlock	Michigan State	So
10.	Michael Pinones	Texas	Jr

DISCUS
1.	Ralford Mullings’	Oklahoma	Sr
2.	Shamar Reid’	Florida State	Jr
3.	Uladzislau Puchko’	Virginia Tech	Jr
4.	Racquil Broderick’	USC	Jr
5.	Texas Tanner	Air Force	Sr
6.	Trevor Gunzell	Alabama	Sr
7.	Seth Allen	Auburn	Jr
8.	Jarno Van Daalen’	Florida	Fr
9.	Chris Crawford	Alabama	Sr
10.	Casey Helm	Princeton	Sr

HAMMER
1.	Tarik O’Hagan	Ole Miss	Sr
2.	Ryan Johnson	Iowa	Jr
3.	Travis Martin	Cal Poly SLO	Sr
4.	Jeremiah Nubbe’	Virginia	Jr
5.	Anthony Barmes’	Minnesota	Sr
6.	Ángelos Mantzouránis’	Minnesota	Jr
7.	Texas Tanner	Air Force	Sr
8.	Igor Olaru’	Tennessee	So
9.	Niko Polychroniou’	Virginia	Sr
10.	Sam Innes	Missouri	Sr

JAVELIN
1.	Jordan Davis	Georgia	Sr
2.	Leikel Cabrera’	Florida	Jr
3.	Keyshawn Strachan’	Nebraska	Jr
4.	Tom Tersek’	USC	Fr
5.	Ben Shughart	Liberty	Sr
6.	Jack Larriviere	LSU	Sr
7.	Chinecherem Nnamdi	Texas A&M	Sr
8.	Nick Reynolds	Georgia	So
9.	Dash Sirmon	Nebraska	Jr
10.	Sam Hankins	Texas A&M	Sr

DECATHLON
1.	Peyton Bair	Oregon	Sr
2.	Till Steinforth’	Nebraska	Sr
3.	Jonathan Hertwig-Ødegaard’	Texas	Fr
4.	Ryan Gregory	Long Beach State	Sr
5.	Kenneth Byrd	Louisville	So
6.	Carter Morton	Northern Iowa	Sr
7.	Ben Barton	BYU	Sr
8.	Max Forte	Duke	Sr
9.	Easton Hammond	Texas State	Jr
10.	Emil Uhlin’	Kansas State	Sr

COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1.	Arkansas	41
2.	Auburn	40
3.	Oregon	37
4.	Georgia	36
5.	Texas A&M	32
=6.	Minnesota	31
=6.	Ole Miss	31
=8.	Tennessee	30
=8.	Texas	30
10.	Alabama	29
11.	Florida	28
12.	Virginia	27
=13.	Texas Tech	26
=13.	USC	26
15.	Nebraska	25
16.	LSU	23
17.	Oklahoma	20
18.	New Mexico	18
19.	BYU	16
20.	Oklahoma State	14
=21.	Kansas State	13
=21.	Penn State	13
=23.	Florida State	12
=23.	Louisville	12
=23.	Northern Arizona	12
=26.	Iowa State	11
=26.	South Carolina	11
=26.	Washington State	11
=29.	Air Force	10
=29.	Harvard	10
=29.	Houston	10
=29.	Cal Poly SLO	10
=29.	Virginia Tech	10
=29.	Villanova	10
=35.	Iowa	8
=35.	Kansas	8
=35.	Texas State	8
38.	Southern Miss	7
=39.	Arizona State	6
=39.	Illinois	6
=39.	Princeton	6
=39.	Washington	6
=43.	Long Beach State	5
=43.	South Florida	5
=45.	Kentucky	4
=45.	Liberty	4
=45.	Penn	4
=45.	Wake Forest	4
=49.	High Point	3
=49.	Northern Iowa	3
=49.	Samford	3
=52.	Baylor	2
=52.	Georgetown	2
=52.	Michigan	2
=52.	Ohio State	2
=52.	Tulane	2
=57.	Arizona	1
=57.	Duke	1
=57.	Stanford	1
=57.	TCU	1