2025 World Championships Men’s Top 10 Formcharts

Jacory Patterson will aim to become the first U.S. Worlds 400 winner since Michael Norman in ’22 and just the third American gold medalist in the last 20 years. (TAKESHI NISHIMOTO)

WE HAVE LISTED our Top 10 in each event. Any Team USA members who don’t make the Top 10 are listed in alphabetical order at the end of the event. Alternate entries are not listed.

All charts are based on the best information available as of September 09 (meaning that final entry lists were known, but not actual start lists), so the presence of an athlete’s name doesn’t guarantee they’ll contest the event.

Given the lack of information on which personnel will be used, the mixed-sex 4×4 is not included.

The editorial staff thanks correspondents Jonathan Berenbom, Tom Casacky, Sean Hartnett, Richard Hymans, Dave Johnson, Stuart Mazdon, Becca Peter, Michael J. Roth, Kevin Saylors, Steve Underwood & Howard Willman for their invaluable assistance in compiling these picks.

The combined thinking of our panel predicts 17 medals for the U.S. men: 5 gold, 7 silver, 5 bronze. Overall, the U.S. total is 34 (17 men, 16 women, 1 mixed).

The picks will NOT be updated as the meet progresses.

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100 200 400 800 1500 Steeple 5000 10K
110H 400H Mar 20W 4×1 4×4 Mixed 4×4 20W 35W
HJ PV LJ TJ SP DT HT JT Dec
100 METERS
1. Kishane Thompson (Jamaica)
2. Noah Lyles (USA)
3. Oblique Seville (Jamaica)
4. Kenny Bednarek (USA)
5. Abdul-Rasheed Saminu (Ghana)
6. Akani Simbine (South Africa)
7. Ackeem Blake (Jamaica)
8. Zharnel Hughes (Great Britain)
9. Courtney Lindsey (USA)
10. T’Mars McCallum (USA)
200 METERS
1. Noah Lyles (USA)
2. Kenny Bednarek (USA)
3. Letsile Tebogo (Botswana)
4. Alexander Ogando (Dominican Republic)
5. Robert Gregory (USA)
6. Courtney Lindsey (USA)
7. Makanakaishe Charamba (Zimbabwe)
8. Bryan Levell (Jamaica)
9. Carlie Makarawu (Zimbabwe)
10. Zharnel Hughes (Great Britain)
400 METERS
1. Jacory Patterson (USA)
2. Matthew Hudson-Smith (Great Britain)
3. Khaleb McRae (USA)
4. Charlie Dobson (Great Britain)
5. Bayapo Ndori (Botswana)
6. Muzala Samukonga (Zambia)
7. Chris Bailey (USA)
8. Jereem Richards (Trinidad)
9. Zakithi Nene (South Africa)
10. Vernon Norwood (USA)
800 METERS
1. Emmanuel Wanyonyi (Kenya)
2. Marco Arop (Canada)
3. Djamel Sedjati (Algeria)
4. Max Burgin (Great Britain)
5. Donavan Brazier (USA)
6. Mohamed Attaoui (Spain)
7. Bryce Hoppel (USA)
8. Peter Bol (Australia)
9. Cooper Lutkenhaus (USA)
10. Gabriel Tual (France)
1500 METERS
1. Niels Laros (Netherlands)
2. Phanuel Koech (Kenya)
3. Cole Hocker (USA)
4. Josh Kerr (Great Britain)
5. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway)
6. Narve Gilje Nordås (Norway)
7. Azeddine Habz (France)
8. Reynold Kipkorir (Kenya)
9. Timothy Cheruiyot (Kenya)
10. Isaac Nader (Portugal)
(other Team USA: Jonah Koech, Ethan Strand)
STEEPLE
1. Soufiane El Bakkali (Morocco)
2. Frederik Ruppert (Germany)
3. Lamecha Girma (Ethiopia)
4. Edmund Serem (Kenya)
5. Ryuji Miura (Japan)
6. Samuel Firewu (Ethiopia)
7. Salaheddine Ben Yazide (Morocco)
8. Getnet Wale (Ethiopia)
9. Simon Koech (Kenya)
10. Abraham Kibiwott (Kenya)
(Team USA: Daniel Michalski, Kenneth Rooks, Isaac Updike)
5000 METERS
1. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway)
2. Niels Laros (Netherlands)
3. Grant Fisher (USA)
4. Biniam Mehary (Ethiopia)
5. Cole Hocker (USA)
6. Andreas Almgren (Sweden)
7. Nico Young (USA)
8. Kuma Girma (Ethiopia)
9. Jimmy Gressier (France)
10. George Mills (Great Britain)
Grant Holloway — the winner of 4 global champs 110H golds since ’19, yet 0-5 in 110H finals this year — faces a formidable challenger in Cordell Tinch. (VICTOR SAILER/PHOTO RUN)
10,000 METERS
1. Yomif Kejelcha (Ethiopia)
2. Berihu Aregawi (Ethiopia)
3. Nico Young (USA)
4. Selemon Barega (Ethiopia)
5. Grant Fisher (USA)
6. Ishmael Kipkurui (Kenya)
7. Andreas Almgren (Sweden)
8. Graham Blanks (USA)
9. Edwin Kurgat (Kenya)
10. Dominic Lobalu (Switzerland)
110 HURDLES
1. Cordell Tinch (USA)
2. Grant Holloway (USA)
3. Jason Joseph (Switzerland)
4. Rachid Muratake (Japan)
5. Ja’kobe Tharp (USA)
6. Dylan Beard (USA)
7. Just Kwaou-Mathey (France)
8. Enrique Llopis (Spain)
9. Lorenzo Ndele Simonelli (Italy)
10. Orlando Bennett (Jamaica)
400 HURDLES
1. Karsten Warholm (Norway)
2. Rai Benjamin (USA)
3. Alison dos Santos (Brazil)
4. Abderrahmane Samba (Qatar)
5. Nathaniel Ezekiel (Nigeria)
6. Christopher Robinson (USA)
7. Owe Fischer-Breiholz (Germany)
8. Roshawn Clarke (Jamaica)
9. Caleb Dean (USA)
10. Ismail Doudai Abakar (Qatar)
MARATHON
1. Deresa Geleta (Ethiopia)
2. Tadese Takele (Ethiopia)
3. Vincent Ngetich (Kenya)
4. Clayton Young (USA)
5. Erick Sang (Kenya)
6. Alphonce Felix (Tanzania)
7. Oqbe Kibrom (Eritrea)
8. Elroy Gelant (South Africa)
9. Emile Cairess (Great Britain)
10. Yuya Yoshida (Japan)
(also Team USA: CJ Albertson, Reed Fischer)
20K WALK
1. Caio Bonfim (Brazil)
2. Toshikazu Yamanishi (Japan)
3. Zhaozhao Wang (China)
4. Paul McGrath (Spain)
5. Francesco Fortunato (Italy)
6. Satoshi Maruo (Japan)
7. Evan Dunfee (Canada)
8. Ricardo Ortiz (Mexico)
9. Gabriel Bordier (France)
10. Perseus Karlström (Sweden)
35K WALK
1. Evan Dunfee (Canada)
2. Miguel Ángel López (Spain)
3. Hayato Katsuki (Japan)
4. Masatora Kawano (Japan)
5. Christopher Linke (Germany)
6. José Luis Doctor (Mexico)
7. Qin Wang (China)
8. Daniel Hurtado (Ecuador)
9. Dominik Černý (Slovakia)
10. Rhydian Cowley (Australia)
4 x 100
1. Jamaica
2. United States
(add to relay pool: Ronnie Baker, Trayvon Bromell, Christian Coleman, Maurice Gleaton)
3. South Africa
4. Great Britain
5. Japan
6. Australia
7. Netherlands
8. Canada
9. China
10. France
4 x 400
1. United States
(add to relay pool: Bryce Deadmon, Jenoah Mckiver)
2. Botswana
3. Great Britain
4. South Africa
5. Belgium
6. Jamaica
7. France
8. Japan
9. Kenya
10. Nigeria
HIGH JUMP
1. Hamish Kerr (New Zealand)
2. Sang-hyeok Woo (South Korea)
3. Oleh Doroshchuk (Ukraine)
4. JuVaughn Harrison (USA)
5. Jan Štefela (Czechia)
6. Romaine Beckford (Jamaica)
7. Raymond Richards (Jamaica)
8. Mutaz Barshim (Qatar)
9. Gianmarco Tamberi (Italy)
10. Yuto Seko (Japan)
(also Team USA: Shelby McEwen)
POLE VAULT
1. Mondo Duplantis (Sweden)
2. Manolo Karalís (Greece)
3. Sam Kendricks (USA)
4. Kurtis Marschall (Australia)
5. Menno Vloon (Netherlands)
6. Ersu Şaşma (Türkiye)
7. Austin Miller (USA)
8. Thibaut Collet (France)
9. Renaud Lavillenie (France)
10. Ben Broeders (Belgium)
(also Team USA: Matt Ludwig)
LONG JUMP
1. Miltiádis Tentóglou (Greece)
2. Mattia Furlani (Italy)
3. Simon Ehammer (Switzerland)
4. Liam Adcock (Australia)
5. Carey McLeod (Jamaica)
6. Heng Shu (China)
7. Bozhidar Saraboyukov (Bulgaria)
8. Tajay Gayle (Jamaica)
9. Avar Anvarov (Bulgaria)
10. Thobias Montler (Sweden)
(Team USA: Jeremiah Davis, Isaac Grimes, Will Williams)
“That was a tough one,” said Ryan Crouser after his ’23 shot defense with a 77-1¾ (23.51) WC Record. Tokyo, the injured star’s first meet of ’25 if he is able to start, could be even tougher. (JEFF COHEN)
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Andy Díaz Hernández (Italy)
2. Ruiting Wu (China)
3. Jordan Scott (Jamaica)
4. Pedro Pichardo (Portugal)
5. Melvin Raffin (France)
6. Yaming Zhu (China)
7. Kaiwan Culmer (Bahamas)
8. Hugues Fabrice Zango (Burundi)
9. Jordan Alejandro Díaz (Spain)
10. Max Heß (Germany)
(Team USA: Will Claye, Salif Mane, Russell Robinson)
SHOT
1. Ryan Crouser (USA)
2. Payton Otterdahl (USA)
3. Leonardo Fabbri (Italy)
4. Tom Walsh (New Zealand)
5. Tripp Piperi (USA)
6. Josh Awotunde (USA)
7. Chuk Enekwechi (Nigeria)
8. Zane Weir (Italy)
9. Konrad Bukowiecki (Poland)
10. Wiktor Petersson (Sweden)
DISCUS
1. Mykolas Alekna (Lithuania)
2. Kristjan Čeh (Slovenia)
3. Ralford Mullings (Jamaica)
4. Matt Denny (Australia)
5. Daniel Ståhl (Sweden)
6. Henrik Janssen (Germany)
7. Mika Sosna (Germany)
8. Steven Richter (Germany)
9. Lawrence Okoye (Great Britain)
10. Sam Mattis (USA)
(also Team USA: Marcus Gustaveson, Reggie Jagers)
HAMMER
1. Ethan Katzberg (Canada)
2. Bence Halász (Hungary)
3. Mykhaylo Kokhan (Ukraine)
4. Merlin Hummel (Germany)
5. Rudy Winkler (USA)
6. Yann Chaussinand (France)
7. Thomas Mardal (Norway)
8. Paweł Fajdek (Poland)
9. Daniel Haugh (USA)
10. Volodymyr Myslyvčuk (Czechia)
(also Team USA: Trey Knight)
JAVELIN
1. Julian Weber (Germany)
2. Neeraj Chopra (India)
3. Arshad Nadeem (Pakistan)
4. Luiz Da Silva (Brazil)
5. Keshorn Walcott (Trinidad)
6. Anderson Peters (Grenada)
7. Curtis Thompson (USA)
8. Cyprian Mrzyglód (Poland)
9. Yuta Sakiyama (Japan)
10. Rumesh Tharanga (Sri Lanka)
(also Team USA: Marc Minichello)
DECATHLON
1. Sander Aae Skotheim (Norway)
2. Kyle Garland (USA)
3. Leo Neugebauer (Germany)
4. Pierce LePage (Canada)
5. Damian Warner (Canada)
6. Ayden Owens-Delerme (Puerto Rico)
7. Johannes Erm (Estonia)
8. Lindon Victor (Grenada)
9. Niklas Kaul (Germany)
10. Heath Baldwin (USA)
(also Team USA: Harrison Williams)
ADD TO U.S. MIXED 4×4 RELAY POOL
Justin Robinson, Demarius Smith
jump to women’s predictions