Three-time Olympic medalist Will Claye would look to stand the best chance of making a fourth team. (KIRBY LEE/IMAGE OF SPORT)
PEERLESS PROGNOSTICATIONS by Dave Johnson
as of May 29
Team USA for August’s Olympic Games in Paris will be chosen at the USATF Championships (Eugene, June 21–30).
With just 13 days from the end of the NCAA to the start of the selection meet, collegians will have an extra week for recovery compared to the ’21 OT.
From the tenuous vantage point of 3+ weeks out, here’s our Top 10 charting for each men’s event. The listing of an athlete in a discipline doesn’t guarantee he’ll contest that event (or events).
Note that unlike the World Championships, there are no Wild Cards for the Olympics. Assuming that either the relevant standard is met or the athlete has a high enough position in WA’s world rankings, a nation can enter up to 3 athletes in an event. The U.S. should come close to earning a full quota.
Athletes with a chance to make a fourth team (individual events only): Matthew Centrowitz 1500, Will Claye TJ. Potential 3-timers: Trayvon Bromell 100, Clayton Murphy 800, Hillary Bor steeple, Paul Chelimo 5000, Sam Kendricks PV, Marquis Dendy LJ, Christian Taylor TJ, Ryan Crouser & Joe Kovacs SP, Rudy Winkler HT, Zach Ziemek decathlon.
Here’s our Top 10s. The number in the right-hand column represents the athlete’s placing in last year’s T&FN U.S. Rankings . Athletes who are asterisked have made the Olympic standard.
100 METERS
1.
*Noah Lyles
(adidas)
1
2.
*Christian Coleman
(Nike)
2
3.
*Fred Kerley
(Asics)
3
4.
Kenny Bednarek
(Nike)
9
5.
Courtney Lindsey
(Nike)
10
6.
Kyree King
(Nike)
nr
7.
*Kendal Williams
(adidas)
nr
8.
Ronnie Baker
(adidas)
nr
9.
*Brandon Hicklin
(adidas)
nr
10.
Trayvon Bromell
(New Balance)
8
(also * — Marvin Bracy-Williams, Cravont Charleston, Christian Miller)
200 METERS
1.
*Noah Lyles
(adidas)
1
2.
*Kenny Bednarek
(Nike)
3
3.
*Erriyon Knighton
(adidas)
2
4.
*Courtney Lindsey
(Nike)
4
5.
*Fred Kerley
(Asics)
5
6.
Michael Norman
(Nike)
nr
7.
*Kyree King
(Nike)
7
8.
*Cameron Miller
(Purdue)
9
9.
*Christian Coleman
(Nike)
8
10.
Jamarion Stubbs
(Alabama State)
nr
(also * — Brandon Carnes, Robert Gregory, Lance Lang, Kennedy Lightner)
400 METERS
1.
*Michael Norman
(Nike)
nr
2.
*Vernon Norwood
(New Balance)
2
3.
*Bryce Deadmon
(Nike)
3
4.
*Rai Benjamin
(Nike)
4
5.
*Quincy Hall
(adidas)
1
6.
*Judson Lincoln
(Virginia Tech)
nr
7.
*Matthew Boling
(unattached)
9
8.
*Khaleb McRae
(Alabama)
nr
9.
*Ryan Willie
(adidas)
5
10.
*Johnnie Blockbrger
(USC)
nr
(also * — James Benson, Auhmad Robinson, Justin Robinson)
800 METERS
1.
*Bryce Hoppel
(adidas)
1
2.
Clayton Murphy
(Nike)
2
3.
*Isaiah Jewett
(Nike)
4
4.
*Brandon Miller
(Brooks Beasts)
nr
5.
*Isaiah Harris
(Brooks Beasts)
3
6.
*Sam Whitmarsh
(Texas A&M)
nr
7.
Hobbs Kessler
(adidas)
6
8.
Colin Sahlman
(Northern Arizona)
nr
9.
Will Sumner
(adidas)
5
10.
Abe Alvarado
(Under Armour Dark Sky)
9
1500 METERS
1.
*Yared Nuguse
(On AC)
1
2.
*Cole Hocker
(Nike)
2
3.
*Hobbs Kessler
(adidas)
7
4.
Colin Sahlman
(Northern Arizona)
nr
5.
Joe Waskom
(Washington)
3
6.
Nathan Green
(Washington)
8
7.
*Cooper Teare
(Nike)
4
8.
Matthew Centrowitz
(Nike)
nr
9.
Henry Wynne
(Brooks Beasts)
6
10.
Eric Holt
(Empire Elite)
10
STEEPLECHASE
1.
Kenneth Rooks
(Nike)
1
2.
*Hillary Bor
(HOKA)
2
3.
Matt Wilkinson
(District TC)
8
4.
Isaac Updike
(Under Armour/Dark Sky)
3
5.
Mason Ferlic
(adidas)
4
6.
*Anthony Rotich
(Nike/US Army)
5
7.
Brian Barraza
(Roots Racing Program)
nr
8.
Benard Keter
(US Army)
6
9.
Alec Basten
(Under Armour/Mission Run Baltimore)
9
10.
Duncan Hamilton
(Bowerman TC)
7
5000 METERS
1.
Woody Kincaid
(Nike)
1
2.
*Grant Fisher
(Nike)
4
3.
*Cooper Teare
(Nike)
7
4.
*Nico Young
(Northern Arizona)
nr
5.
Paul Chelimo
(Kiprun)
3
6.
*Abdihamid Nur
(Nike)
2
7.
*Sean McGorty
(Nike Bowerman TC)
5
8.
*Cole Hocker
(Nike)
9
9.
*Yared Nuguse
(On AC)
nr
10
Drew Hunter
(adidas)
nr
(also * — Morgan Beadlescomb, Graham Blanks)
10,000 METERS
1.
*Grant Fisher
(Nike)
6
2.
*Nico Young
(Northern Arizona)
nr
3.
*Woody Kincaid
(Nike)
1
4.
Paul Chelimo
(Kiprun)
4
5.
Anthony Rotich
(US Army)
5
6.
Abdihamid Nur
(Nike)
2
7.
Drew Hunter
(adidas)
nr
8.
Casey Clinger
(unattached)
7
9.
Sean McGorty
(Nike Bowerman TC)
3
10
Emmanuel Bor
(unattached)
nr
110 HURDLES
1.
*Grant Holloway
(adidas)
1
2.
*Daniel Roberts
(Nike)
2
3.
*Freddie Crittenden
(Tracksmith/Phoenix TC)
3
4.
*Trey Cunningham
(adidas)
8
5.
Robert Dunning
(adidas)
9
6.
Ja’Kobe Tharp
(Auburn)
nr
7.
*Darius Luff
(Nebraska)
nr
8.
*Jamal Britt
(Hurdle M)
5
9.
*Cordell Tinch
(Nike)
4
10.
Louis Rollins
(unattached)
nr
(also * — Eric Edwards, De’Vion Wilson)
400 HURDLES
1.
*Rai Benjamin
(Nike)
1
2.
*CJ Allen
(Asics)
2
3.
*Trevor Bassitt
(unattached)
3
4.
*Caleb Dean
(Texas Tech)
nr
5.
*Chris Robinson
(Alabama)
5
6.
David Kendziera
(Bell Lap)
7
7.
Khallifah Rosser
(Nike)
4
8.
Aldrich Bailey
(US Army)
nr
9.
James Smith
(Arizona F)
10
10.
Taylor McLaughlin
(unattached)
6
20K WALK (by Michael J. Roth)
1.
Nick Christie
(New York AC)
1
2.
Emmanuel Corvera
(New York AC)
2
3.
Jordan Crawford
(Raleigh Walkers)
4
4.
Jason Cherng
(New England Walkers)
5
5.
John Cody Risch
(Q Elite)
nr
6.
Sam Allen
(Shore AC)
3
7.
Bricyn Healey
(Raleigh Walkers)
7
8.
Dan Nehnevaj
(Raleigh Walkers)
6
9.
Juan Montanez
(unattached)
8
10.
AJ Gruttadauro
(Shore AC)
9
HIGH JUMP
1.
*JuVaughn Harrison
(Puma)
1
2.
*Shelby McEwen
(Nike)
2
3.
Vernon Turner
(adidas)
3
4.
Kyle Rollins
(Garden State TC)
nr
5.
Tyus Wilson
(Nebraska)
nr
6.
Caleb Snowden
(Arkansas–Pine Bluff)
nr
7.
Devin Loudermilk
(Kansas)
nr
8.
Jaivon Harrison
(Grand Valley State)
nr
9.
Eli Kosiba
(Grand Valley State)
5
10.
Darryl Sullivan
(unattached)
6
POLE VAULT
1.
*Chris Nilsen
(Nike/New York AC)
1
2.
*KC Lightfoot
(Puma)
3
3.
*Sam Kendricks
(Nike)
2
4.
*Zach Bradford
(Team Essex)
5
5.
*Jacob Wooten
(unattached)
6
6.
*Austin Miller
(Vaulthouse)
9
7.
Matt Ludwig
(unattached)
7
8.
*Clayton Fritsch
(unattached)
nr
9.
Cole Walsh
(Risen Performance)
nr
10.
Keaton Daniel
(Kentucky)
nr
(also * — Hunter Garretson, Zach McWhorter, Tray Oates)
LONG JUMP
1.
Marquis Dendy
(Puma)
1
2.
Jarrion Lawson
(unattached)
3
3.
JuVaughn Harrison
(Puma)
5
4.
Johnny Brackins
(USC)
nr
5.
Steffin McCarter
(Nike)
4
6.
Jeremiah Davis
(Florida State)
9
7.
Malcolm Clemons
(Florida)
7
8.
Trumaine Jefferson
(unattached)
nr
9.
Kemonie Briggs
(unattached)
nr
10.
Kenson Tate
(Lamar)
nr
TRIPLE JUMP
1.
Will Claye
(New York AC)
1
2.
*Donald Scott
(adidas)
2
3.
Chris Benard
(Chula Vista Elite)
3
4.
Omar Craddock
(unattached)
4
5.
Chris Carter
(Air Houston)
nr
6.
Brandon Green
(Oklahoma)
nr
7.
Russell Robinson
(Miami)
5
8.
Jeremiah Davis
(Florida State)
9
9.
Salif Mane
(Fairleigh Dickinson)
6
10.
Christian Taylor
(Nike)
8
SHOT
1.
*Ryan Crouser
(Nike)
1
2.
*Joe Kovacs
(Nike)
2
3.
*Payton Otterdahl
(Iron Wood TC)
3
4.
*Josh Awotunde
(Shore AC)
5
5.
*Tripp Piperi
(unattached)
4
6.
*Roger Steen
(Velaasa)
7
7.
*Jordan Geist
(Iron Wood TC)
6
8.
Darrell Hill
(unattached)
8
9.
Nik Curtiss
(unattached)
nr
10.
Tarik Robinson-O’Hagan
(Mississippi)
nr
DISCUS
1.
Sam Mattis
(New York AC)
1
2.
Joe Brown
(unattached)
4
3.
*Andrew Evans
(unattached)
8
4.
Turner Washington
(unattached)
2
5.
Brian Williams
(unattached)
3
6.
*Reggie Jagers
(Nike/US Army)
nr
7.
Jeff Williams
(unattached)
10
8.
Dallin Shurts
(BYU)
5
9.
Jordan Roach
(unattached)
9
10.
Robbie Otal
(unattached)
nr
HAMMER
1.
*Daniel Haugh
(New York AC/Throw 1 Deep)
2
2.
*Rudy Winkler
(New York AC)
1
3.
Trey Knight
(Cal State Northridge)
nr
4.
Brock Eager
(Iron Wood TC)
5
5.
Jordan Geist
(Iron Wood TC)
6
6.
Tyler Williams
(unattached)
8
7.
Alex Young
(unattached)
4
8.
Israel Oloyede
(Grand Canyon)
nr
9.
Johnnie Jackson
(unattached)
nr
10.
Morgan Shigo
(Velaasa)
nr
JAVELIN
1.
Curtis Thompson
(Tracksmith/Track Barn)
1
2.
Capers Williamson
(unattached)
2
3.
Jordan Davis
(Southern Connecticut State)
nr
4.
Marc Minichello
(Georgia)
3
5.
Donavon Banks
(unattached)
8
6.
Brett Thompson
(USA Javelin)
nr
7.
Ethan Shalaway
(unattached)
4
8.
Ethan Dabbs
(unattached)
7
9.
Chandler Ault
(Washington)
nr
10.
Mike Stein
(Iowa)
nr
DECATHLON
1.
*Harrison Williams
(unattached)
1
2.
*Zach Ziemek
(unattached)
2
3.
*Kyle Garland
(Nike)
3
4.
*Heath Baldwin
(Michigan State)
6
5.
Devon Williams
(unattached)
5
6.
Austin West
(Iowa)
4
7.
Steven Bastien
(Tracksmith)
nr
8.
Hakim McMorris
(unattached)
nr
9.
Joe Delgado
(Jacksonville AC)
7
10.
Hunter Jones
(Pittsburg State)
nr
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