2024 U.S. Olympic Trials Men’s Formchart #1

PEERLESS PROGNOSTICATIONS by Dave Johnson
as of April 16

Team USA for August’s Olympic Games in Paris will be chosen at the USATF Championships (Eugene, June 21–30).

With just 13 days from the end of the NCAA to the start of the selection meet, collegians will have an extra week for recovery compared to the ’21 OT.

From the tenuous vantage point of 13 weeks out, here’s our Top 10 charting for each men’s event. The listing of an athlete in a discipline doesn’t guarantee he’ll contest that event (or events).

Note that unlike the World Championships, there are no Wild Cards for the Olympics. Assuming that either the relevant standard is met or the athlete has a high enough position in WA’s world rankings, a nation can enter up to 3 athletes in an event. The U.S. should come close to earning a full quota.

Athletes with a chance to make a fourth team (individual events only): Matthew Centrowitz 1500, Will Claye TJ. Potential 3-timers: Trayvon Bromell 100, Clayton Murphy 800, Hillary Bor steeple, Paul Chelimo 5000, Devon Allen 110H, Sam Kendricks PV, Marquis Dendy LJ, Christian Taylor TJ, Ryan Crouser & Joe Kovacs SP, Rudy Winkler HT, Zach Ziemek decathlon.

Here’s our Top 10s (the number in the right-hand column represents the athlete’s placing in last year’s T&FN U.S. Rankings):

100 METERS
1.	Noah Lyles	(adidas)	1
2.	Christian Coleman	(Nike)	2
3.	Fred Kerley	(Asics)	3
4.	Kenny Bednarek	(Nike)	9
5.	Cravont Charleston	(Tracksmith)	4
6.	Marvin Bracy-Williams	(Nike)	5
7.	Brandon Carnes	(Asics)	6
8.	Kyree King	(Nike)	nr
9.	Courtney Lindsey	(Texas Tech)	10
10.	J.T. Smith	(unattached)	7

200 METERS
1.	Noah Lyles	(adidas)	1
2.	Erriyon Knighton	(adidas)	2
3.	Kenny Bednarek	(Nike)	3
4.	Courtney Lindsey	(Texas Tech)	4
5.	Fred Kerley	(Nike)	5
6.	Michael Norman	(Nike)	nr
7.	Robert Gregory	(Florida)	6
8.	Christian Coleman	(Nike)	8
9.	Kyree King	(Nike)	7
10.	Cameron Miller	(Louisville)	9

400 METERS
1.	Quincy Hall	(adidas)	1
2.	Michael Norman	(Nike)	nr
3.	Vernon Norwood	(New Balance)	2
4.	Bryce Deadmon	(Nike)	3
5.	Rai Benjamin	(Nike)	4
6.	Matthew Boling	(unattached)	9
7.	Chris Bailey	(unattached)	8
8.	Auhmad Robinson	(Texas A&M)	nr
9.	Champion Allison	(Puma)	nr
10.	Ryan Willie	(adidas)	5

800 METERS
1.	Bryce Hoppel	(adidas)	1
2.	Clayton Murphy	(Nike)	2
3.	Isaiah Harris	(Brooks Beasts)	3
4.	Isaiah Jewett	(Nike)	4
5.	Will Sumner	(Georgia)	5
6.	Sam Whitmarsh	(Texas A&M)	nr
7.	Josh Hoey	(adidas)	nr
8.	Hobbs Kessler	(adidas)	6
9.	Devin Dixon	(Brooks Beasts)	7
10.	Wes Ferguson	(Nebraska–Kearney)	nr

1500 METERS
1.	Yared Nuguse	(On AC)	1
2.	Cole Hocker	(Nike)	2
3.	Hobbs Kessler	(adidas)	7
4.	Nathan Green	(Washington)	8
5.	Colin Sahlman	(Northern Arizona)	nr
6.	Joe Waskom	(Washington)	3
7.	Henry Wynne	(Brooks Beasts)	6
8.	Cooper Teare	(Nike)	4
9.	Craig Engels	(Nike)	nr
10.	Vince Ciattei	(Under Armour/Dark Sky)	nr

STEEPLECHASE
1.	Kenneth Rooks	(BYU)	1
2.	Hillary Bor	(HOKA)	2
3.	Isaac Updike	(Under Armour/Dark Sky)	3
4.	Mason Ferlic	(adidas)	4
5.	Anthony Rotich	(Nike/US Army)	5
6.	Benard Keter	(Nike/US Army)	6
7.	Duncan Hamilton	(Nike Bowerman TC)	7
8.	Matt Wilkinson	(Under Armour/Dark Sky)	8
9.	Brian Barraza	(Roots Racing Program)	nr
10.	Alec Basten	(Under Armour/Dark Sky)	9

5000 METERS
1.	Woody Kincaid	(Nike)	1
2.	Paul Chelimo	(American Distance Project)	3
3.	Grant Fisher	(Nike Bowerman TC)	4
4.	Nico Young	(Northern Arizona)	nr
5.	Abdihamid Nur	(Nike)	2
6.	Sean McGorty	(Nike Bowerman TC)	5
7.	Joe Klecker	(On AC)	6
8.	Cooper Teare	(Nike)	7
9.	Cole Hocker	(Nike)	9
10.	Yared Nuguse	(On AC)	nr

10,000 METERS
1.	Grant Fisher	(Nike Bowerman TC)	6
2.	Nico Young	(Northern Arizona)	nr
3.	Woody Kincaid	(Nike)	1
4.	Joe Klecker	(On AC)	2
5.	Anthony Rotich	(Nike/US Army)	5
6.	Sean McGorty	(Nike Bowerman TC)	3
7.	Abdihamid Nur	(Nike)	2
8.	Paul Chelimo	(American Distance Project)	4
9.	Conner Mantz	(Nike)	5
10.	Graham Blanks	(Harvard)	nr

110 HURDLES
1.	Grant Holloway	(adidas)	1
2.	Trey Cunningham	(adidas)	8
3.	Cameron Murray	(unattached)	nr
4.	Daniel Roberts	(Nike)	2
5.	Louis Rollins	(unattached)	nr
6.	Eric Edwards	(unattached)	7
7.	Michael Dickson	(More Sports MG)	10
8.	Cordell Tinch	(Nike)	4
9.	Dylan Beard	(unattached)	nr
10.	Jamal Britt	(unattached)	5

400 HURDLES
1.	Rai Benjamin	(Nike)	1
2.	CJ Allen	(Asics)	2
3.	Trevor Bassitt	(unattached)	3
4.	Khallifah Rosser	(Nike)	4
5.	Chris Robinson	(Alabama)	5
6.	Sean Burrell	(LSU)	nr
7.	David Kendziera	(unattached)	7
8.	Taylor McLaughlin	(unattached)	6
9.	Aldrich Bailey	(US Army)	nr
10.	Corde Long	(Alabama)	8

20K WALK
1.	Nick Christie	(New York AC)	1
2.	Emmanuel Corvera	(New York AC)	2
3.	Jordan Crawford	(Raleigh Walkers)	4
4.	Jason Cherng	(New England Walkers)	5
5.	John Cody Risch	(Q Elite)	nr
6.	Sam Allen	(Shore AC)	3
7.	Bricyn Healey	(Raleigh Walkers)	7
8.	Dan Nehnevaj	(Raleigh Walkers)	6
9.	Juan Montanez	(unattached)	8
10.	AJ Gruttadauro	(Shore AC)	9

HIGH JUMP
1.	JuVaughn Harrison	(Puma)	1
2.	Shelby McEwen	(Nike)	2
3.	Vernon Turner	(adidas)	3
4.	Kyle Rollins	(unattached)	nr
5.	Caleb Snowden	(Arkansas–Pine Bluff)	nr
6.	Devin Loudermilk	(Kansas)	nr
7.	Carter Bajoit	(Texas A&M)	nr
8.	Cordell Tinch	(Nike)	4
9.	Darryl Sullivan	(unattached)	6
10.	Jaivon Harrison	(Grand Valley State)	nr

POLE VAULT
1.	Sam Kendricks	(Nike)	2
2.	Chris Nilsen	(Nike/New York AC)	1
3.	KC Lightfoot	(Puma)	3
4.	Zach Bradford	(unattached)	5
5.	Austin Miller	(Vaulthouse)	9
6.	Jacob Wooten	(unattached)	6
7.	Matt Ludwig	(unattached)	7
8.	Keaton Daniel	(Kentucky)	nr
9.	Tray Oates	(unattached)	nr
10.	Nate Richartz	(Tracksmith)	nr

LONG JUMP
1.	Marquis Dendy	(Puma)	1
2.	Jarrion Lawson	(unattached)	3
3.	JuVaughn Harrison	(Puma)	5
4.	Jeremiah Davis	(Florida State)	9
5.	Johnny Brackins	(USC)	nr
6.	Cameron Crump	(unattached)	8
7.	Malcolm Clemons	(Florida)	7
8.	Will Williams	(unattached)	2
9.	Steffin McCarter	(Nike)	4
10.	Isaac Grimes	(unattached)	nr

TRIPLE JUMP
1.	Will Claye	(New York AC)	1
2.	Donald Scott	(adidas)	2
3.	Chris Benard	(Chula Vista Elite)	3
4.	Omar Craddock	(Asics)	4
5.	Russell Robinson	(Miami)	5
6.	Jeremiah Davis	(Florida State)	9
7.	Salif Mane	(Fairleigh Dickinson)	6
8.	Christian Taylor	(Nike)	8
9.	Sean Dixon-Bodie	(Florida)	7
10.	Stacy Brown	(Texas)	nr

SHOT
1.	Ryan Crouser	(Nike)	1
2.	Joe Kovacs	(Nike)	2
3.	Payton Otterdahl	(Iron Wood TC)	3
4.	Josh Awotunde	(Shore AC)	5
5.	Roger Steen	(Velaasa)	7
6.	Jordan Geist	(Iron Wood TC)	6
7.	Tripp Piperi	(unattached)	4
8.	Darrell Hill	(unattached)	8
9.	Dylan Targgart	(South Carolina)	nr
10.	Tarik Robinson-O’Hagan	(Mississippi)	nr

DISCUS
1.	Sam Mattis	(New York AC)	1
2.	Andrew Evans	(unattached)	8
3.	Turner Washington	(unattached)	2
4.	Dallin Shurts	(BYU)	5
5.	Brian Williams	(unattached)	3
6.	Joe Brown	(unattached)	4
7.	Jordan Roach	(unattached)	9
8.	Reggie Jagers	(Nike/US Army)	nr
9.	Robbie Otal	(unattached)	nr
10.	Reno Tuufuli	(unattached)	7

HAMMER
1.	Rudy Winkler	(Tracksmith/New York AC)	1
2.	Daniel Haugh	(New York AC)	2
3.	Sean Donnelly	(adidas)	3
4.	Tyler Williams	(unattached)	8
5.	Trey Knight	(Cal State Northridge)	nr
6.	Alex Young	(unattached)	4
7.	Brock Eager	(Iron Wood TC)	5
8.	Isaiah Rogers	(Throw 1 Deep)	nr
9.	Justin Stafford	(unattached)	9
10.	Tyler Merkley	(unattached)	nr

JAVELIN
1.	Curtis Thompson	(unattached)	1
2.	Jordan Davis	(Southern Connecticut State)	nr
3.	Capers Williamson	(unattached)	2
4.	Marc Minichello	(Georgia)	3
5.	Tim Glover	(unattached)	5
6.	Brett Thompson	(unattached)	nr
7.	Ethan Shalaway	(unattached)	4
8.	Michael Shuey	(unattached)	nr
9.	Tzuriel Pedigo	(LSU)	6
10.	Ethan Dabbs	(Virginia)	7

DECATHLON
1.	Harrison Williams	(unattached)	1
2.	Zach Ziemek	(unattached)	2
3.	Kyle Garland	(Nike)	3
4.	Austin West	(Iowa)	4
5.	Devon Williams	(unattached)	5
6.	Heath Baldwin	(Michigan State)	6
7.	Steven Bastien	(Tracksmith)	nr
8.	Hakim McMorris	(unattached)	nr
9.	Joe Delgado	(Jacksonville AC)	7
10.	Samuel Black	(Garage Strength)	8