The Nationals timetable won’t permit a 400/800 double for Athing Mu, but whichever she chooses she’ll be the favorite. (KIRBY LEE/IMAGE OF SPORT)
FEARLESS FORECASTING by Jack Pfeifer — as of April 20
With the exception of the 10,000, 20K Walk & multis, which will have their own separate selection meets earlier in the year, Team USA for July’s World Championships will be chosen at the USATF Championships (Eugene, June 23–26).
With 11 days from the end of the NCAA to the start of the Trials collegians will have more time for recovery than they had last year.
From the tenuous vantage point of 9 weeks out, here’s our Top 10 charting for each event. The listing of an athlete in a discipline doesn’t guarantee she’ll contest that event (or events).
Note that athletes who won individual golds at the ’19 WC and those who won Diamond League titles in ’21 have earned Wild Cards for this summer and need put in only a token appearance (event doesn’t matter) at the Nationals. The 6 Wild Card holders: Quanera Hayes (400), Nia Ali (100H), Dalilah Muhammad (400H), Maggie Ewen (SP), Valarie Allman (DT), DeAnna Price (HT). Heptathlete Kendell Williams also has a free pass for winning last year’s Combined Events Challenge.
The Top 10s (the number in the right-hand column represents the athlete’s placing in last year’s U.S. Rankings):
100 METERS
1.
Teahna Daniels
(Nike)
3
2.
Tee Tee Terry
(Nike)
10
3.
Abby Steiner
(Kentucky)
nr
4.
Aleia Hobbs
(adidas)
7
5.
Javianne Oliver
(Nike)
2
6.
Sha’Carri Richardson
(Nike)
1
7.
Tamara Clark
(adidas)
nr
8.
Mikiah Brisco
(unattached)
nr
9.
Brittany Brown
(adidas)
nr
10.
Morolake Akinosun
(adidas)
nr
200 METERS
1.
Gabby Thomas
(New Balance)
1
2.
Abby Steiner
(Kentucky)
nr
3.
Brittany Brown
(Nike)
nr
4.
Jenna Prandini
(Puma)
2
5.
Anavia Battle
(Ohio State)
3
6.
Tamara Clark
(adidas)
4
7.
Dezerea Bryant
(unattached)
6
8.
Cambrea Sturgis
(adidas)
9
9.
Lynna Irby
(adidas)
8
10.
Kayla White
(Nike)
nr
400 METERS
1.
Athing Mu
(Nike)
5
2.
Quanera Hayes
(Life Speed)
2
3.
Wadeline Jonathas
(adidas)
6
4.
Allyson Felix
(Athleta)
1
5.
Dalilah Muhammad
(Nike)
nr
6.
Jaide Stepter Baynes
(Sheffield)
nr
7.
Kendall Ellis
(New Balance)
4
8.
Lynna Irby
(adidas)
8
9.
Jessica Beard
(Tracksmith)
9
10.
Kaylin Whitney
(Nike)
7
800 METERS
1.
Athing Mu
(Nike)
1
2.
Ajee’ Wilson
(adidas)
4
3.
Raevyn Rogers
(Nike)
3
4.
Michaela Meyer
(Nike)
5
5.
Allie Wilson
(Atlanta TC)
7
6.
Kate Grace
(Nike)
2
7.
Hanna Green
(Nike Oregon TC)
8
8.
Olivia Baker
(Atlanta TC)
nr
9.
Brooke Feldmeier
(adidas)
nr
10.
Emily Richards
(unattached)
nr
1500 METERS
1.
Josette Norris
(Reebok)
1
2.
Elle Purrier St. Pierre
(New Balance/Boston)
3
3.
Heather MacLean
(New Balance)
5
4.
Shannon Osika
(Nike)
6
5.
Cory McGee
(New Balance)
4
6.
Dani Jones
(New Balance)
10
7.
Helen Schlachtenhaufen
(Saucony)
2
8.
Grace Barnett
(Mammoth TC)
9
9.
Sinclaire Johnson
(Nike Bowerman TC)
nr
10.
Sage Hurta
(On AC)
nr
STEEPLE
1.
Emma Coburn
(New Balance)
2
2.
Courtney Frerichs
(Nike Bowerman TC)
1
3.
Val Constien
(Tracksmith)
3
4.
Courtney Wayment
(BYU)
4
5.
Leah Falland
(On AC)
6
6.
Marisa Howard
(RUJA)
5
7.
Grayson Murphy
(Saucony)
7
8.
Katie Rainsberger
(Team Boss)
10
9.
Hannah Steelman
(NC State)
nr
10.
Mel Lawrence
(Oiselle)
8
5000 METERS
1.
Alicia Monson
(On AC)
4
2.
Rachel Schneider
(Hoka)
3
3.
Karissa Schweizer
(Nike Bowerman TC)
1
4.
Elise Cranny
(Nike Bowerman TC)
2
5.
Abbey Cooper
(New Balance)
5
6.
Elly Henes
(adidas)
10
7.
Allie Buchalski
(Brooks Beasts)
7
8.
Molly Grabill
(unattached)
nr
9.
Taylor Werner
(Puma)
nr
10.
Annie Rodenfels
(unattached)
nr
10,000 METERS
1.
Elise Cranny
(Nike Bowerman TC)
4
2.
Emily Sisson
(New Balance)
1
3.
Alicia Monson
(On AC)
3
4.
Karissa Schweizer
(Nike Bowerman TC)
2
5.
Courtney Frerichs
(Nike Bowerman TC)
nr
6.
Weini Kelati
(Under Armour)
nr
7.
Emily Infeld
(Nike Bowerman TC)
8
8.
Rachel Schneider
(Hoka)
5
9.
Natosha Rogers
(Hanson)
7
10.
Millie Paladino
(New Balance)
nr
100 HURDLES
1.
Keni Harrison
(adidas)
1
2.
Grace Stark
(Florida)
nr
3.
Tonea Marshall
(Nike)
5
4.
Alia Armstrong
(LSU)
nr
5.
Nia Ali
(TWTC)
nr
6.
Gabbi Cunningham
(Nike)
3
7.
Chanel Brissett
(unattached)
nr
8.
Tia Jones
(adidas)
nr
9.
Christina Clemons
(adidas)
2
10.
Sydney McLaughlin
(New Balance)
1
400 HURDLES
1.
Sydney McLaughlin
(New Balance)
1
2.
Shamier Little
(adidas)
3
3.
Britton Wilson
(Arkansas)
nr
4.
Anna Cockrell
(Nike)
5
5.
Ashley Spencer
(Nike)
6
6.
Cassandra Tate
(unattached)
7
7.
Kiah Seymour
(Tracksmith)
nr
8.
Nnenya Hailey
(unattached)
4
9.
Anna Hall
(Florida)
nr
10.
Masai Russell
(Kentucky)
nr
20K WALK
1.
Maria Michta-Coffey
(Oiselle/WalkUSA)
2
2.
Miranda Melville
(unattached)
3
3.
Stephanie Casey
(Tracksmith)
4
4.
Celina Lepe
(unattached)
5
5.
Katie Burnett
(unattached)
nr
6.
Anali Cisneros
(Elgin Sharks TC)
8
7.
Katherine Miale
(New England Walkers)
nr
8.
Janelle Branch
(Tracksmith)
nr
(only 8 contestants expected)
(walk chart by Steve Vaitones)
HIGH JUMP
1.
Vashti Cunningham
(Nike)
1
2.
Jelena Rowe
(Asics)
3
3.
Inika McPherson
(Puma)
5
4.
Rachel Glenn
(South Carolina)
4
5.
Nicole Greene
(unattached)
6
6.
Rachel McCoy
(unattached)
2
7.
Liz Evans
(unattached)
7
8.
Amina Smith
(Shore AC)
nr
9.
Jenna Rogers
(Nebraska)
nr
10.
Zarriea Willis
(unattached)
nr
POLE VAULT
1.
Katie Nageotte
(Nike/New York AC)
1
2.
Sandi Morris
(Puma)
2
3.
Bridget Williams
(unattached)
6
4.
Morgann LeLeux
(New Heights)
3
5.
Olivia Gruver
(Nike)
4
6.
Jenn Suhr
(adidas)
5
7.
Rachel Baxter
(Virginia Tech)
nr
8.
Emily Grove
(Team ESSX)
nr
9.
Amanda Moll
(Washington HS)
nr
10.
Sydney Horn
(High Point)
nr
LONG JUMP
1.
Tara Davis
(Champion)
2
2.
Quanesha Burks
(adidas)
5
3.
Tiffany Flynn
(The Winners Circle)
7
4.
Monae’ Nichols
(Texas Tech)
nr
5.
Sha’keela Saunders
(adidas)
4
6.
Jasmine Moore
(Florida)
9
7.
Kendell Williams
(Nike)
3
8.
Keturah Orji
(Mizuno)
8
9.
Malaina Payton
(Oiselle)
6
10.
Claire Bryant
(Florida)
nr
TRIPLE JUMP
1.
Jasmine Moore
(Florida)
3
2.
Keturah Orji
(Mizuno)
1
3.
Tori Franklin
(Nike/New York AC)
2
4.
Imani Oliver
(unattached)
4
5.
Crystal Manning
(unattached)
5
6.
Michelle Fokam
(unattached)
6
7.
Bria Matthews
(unattached)
9
8.
Arianna Fisher
(Missouri)
nr
9.
Titiana Marsh
(Georgia)
7
10.
Lynnika Pitts
(unattached)
8
SHOT
1.
Chase Ealey
(Nike)
4
2.
Maggie Ewen
(Nike)
2
3.
Raven Saunders
(Nike)
1
4.
Jessica Ramsey
(adidas)
3
5.
Adelaide Aquilla
(Ohio State)
5
6.
Jessica Woodard
(Desert High Performance)
6
7.
Rachel Fatherly
(Garden State TC)
9
8.
Samantha Noennig
(Arizona)
nr
9.
Latavia Maines
(Tennessee)
nr
10.
Josie Schaefer
(Wisconsin)
nr
DISCUS
1.
Valarie Allman
(Asics)
1
2.
Rachel Dincoff
(Tracksmith/Iron Wood)
2
3.
Lagi Tausaga
(Chula Vista Elite)
5
4.
Kelsey Card
(unattached)
3
5.
Seasons Usual
(Texas Tech)
9
6.
Whitney Ashley
(unattached)
6
7.
Micaela Hazlewood
(unattached)
4
8.
Gia Lewis-Smallwood
(New York AC)
7
9.
Alex Collatz
(American Big Guys)
8
10.
Alyssa Wilson
(Texas State)
10
HAMMER
1.
DeAnna Price
(Nike/New York AC)
1
2.
Brooke Andersen
(Nike)
2
3.
Janee’ Kassanavoid
(unattached)
4
4.
Lara Boman
(Velaasa)
8
5.
Autavia Fluker
(unattached)
nr
6.
Alyssa Wilson
(Texas State)
6
7.
Gwen Berry
(unattached)
3
8.
Shey Taiwo
(Ole Miss)
nr
9.
Janeah Stewart
(New York AC)
nr
10.
Erin Reese
(Velaasa)
7
JAVELIN
1.
Maggie Malone
(unattached)
1
2.
Kara Winger
(New York AC)
2
3.
Ariana Ince
(Velaasa)
3
4.
Avione Allgood-Whetstone
(US Army)
4
5.
Madison Wiltrout
(North Carolina)
nr
6.
Kylee Carter
(unattached)
5
7.
Riley Cooks
(Oiselle)
nr
8.
Virginia Miller
(Stanford)
7
9.
Ashton Riner
(BYU)
nr
10.
Seri Geisler
(Stephen F. Austin)
nr
HEPTATHLON
1.
Annie Kunz
(unattached)
2
2.
Kendell Williams
(Nike)
1
3.
Erica Bougard
(Nike/New York AC)
3
4.
Anna Hall
(Florida)
8
5.
Ashtin Mahler
(Tracksmith)
5
6.
Chari Hawkins
(On Running)
6
7.
Taliyah Brooks
(Asics)
9
8.
Michelle Atherley
(unattached)
4
9.
Riley Cooks
(Oiselle)
10
10.
Juanita Webster-Freeman
(Santa Barbara TC)
7
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