2018 NCAA Men’s Formchart No. 5 — Houston Closer Yet To Florida

Narrowing of the projected margin continues, but Mike Holloway’s Gators remain favored to defend their team title. (FLORIDA SPORTS COMMUNICATIONS)

Florida’s men were solid across the board in comfortably winning the SEC title, but nonetheless the latest peek into the crystal ball finds that the projected Gator margin of victory at the NCAA has gotten perilously small.

Mike Holloway’s Gainesville gang have been tabbed as No. 1 in all 5 of our charts so far this year, with Houston always No. 2 (=No. 2 in Chart 2, to be precise). The gap was 16 points on April 3, 17 on April 18 and 15 on April 25 before shrinking all the way to 4 on May 2. And now? A mere 2 points as Super-Conference weekend found the faves dropping 3 points and the Cougars 1. More than ever, they look like the only two schools with a shot at the team title.

Interestingly enough, the two teams—at least as currently plotted—don’t figure to go head-to-head in any disciplines other than the two relays. That means the opening and closing events on the final day are the key to it all.

At this juncture, Houston is favored to win the 4×1 (with Florida 4th) and take 5th in the 4×4 (with the Gators 2nd). That would set up a scenario, using this chart’s numbers, whereby Houston would have 52 points coming into the climactic event, with Florida at 50.

One barnburner, coming up!

Only 2 events have new leaders since Chart #4: Tahar Triki (Texas A&M) takes over from KeAndre Bates (Florida) in the triple jump; Anderson Peters (Mississippi State) supplants Ioánnis Kyriazís (Texas A&M) in the javelin.

The 10-deep predictions for each event:

TOP 10 TEAMS
Team Points Previous Chart
1. Florida 58 1
2. Houston 56 2
3. Texas A&M 46 3
4. Georgia 36 =5
5. Alabama 34 4
6. USC 33 =5
7. Texas Tech 29 7
8. Stanford 22 =8
=9. Northern Arizona 20 =9
=9. Oregon 20 =9
(complete team scores below)
100 METERS
1. Cameron Burrell Houston Sr
2. Elijah Hall Houston Sr
3. Kendal Williams Georgia Jr
4. Jaylen Bacon Arkansas State Sr
5. Andre Ewers Florida State Jr
6. Divine Oduduru’ Texas Tech So
7. Cravon Gillespie Oregon Jr
8. Raheem Chambers’ Auburn So
9. Micah Larkins Northwestern Louisiana Jr
10. Keitavious Walter Alabama Jr
200 METERS
1. Elijah Hall Houston Sr
2. Divine Oduduru’ Texas Tech So
3. Andre Ewers Florida State Jr
4. Jaylen Bacon Arkansas State Sr
5. Ncincilili Titi’ South Carolina Sr
6. Kendal Williams Georgia Jr
7. Mustaqeem Williams Tennessee Jr
8. Cravon Gillespie Oregon Jr
9. Keitavious Walter Alabama Jr
10. Jaron Flournoy LSU Jr
400 METERS
1. Michael Norman USC So
2. Nathon Allen’ Auburn So
3. Nathan Strother Tennessee Sr
4. Wil London Baylor Jr
5. Kahmari Montgomery Houston Jr
6. Akeem Bloomfield’ Auburn So
7. Mar’yea Harris Iowa Jr
8. Alejandro Zapata’ Liberty Jr
9. Dwight St. Hillaire’ Kentucky Fr
10. Derrick Mokaleng’ TCU So
800 METERS
1. Michael Saruni’ UTEP So
2. Isaiah Harris Penn State Jr
3. Devin Dixon Texas A&M So
4. Robert Heppenstall’ Wake Forest Jr
5. Daniel Kuhn Indiana Jr
6. Cooper Williams Indiana So
7. Vincent Crisp Texas Tech Jr
8. Clay Lambourne Utah State Sr
9. Marco Arop’ Mississippi State Fr
10. Robert Ford USC Sr
1500 METERS
1. Josh Kerr’ New Mexico Jr
2. Robert Domanic Mississippi Sr
3. Sam Prakel Oregon Sr
4. Vincent Ciattei Virginia Tech Sr
5. Oliver Hoare’ Wisconsin So
6. James West’ Oregon Jr
7. Mick Stanovsek Oregon So
8. Ben Saarel Colorado Sr
9. Waleed Suliman Mississippi Fr
10. Reed Brown Oregon Fr
STEEPLE
1. Brian Barraza Houston Sr
2. Yusuki Uchikoshi’ Boise Sr
3. Simon Grannetia’ Portland Jr
4. Jamaine Coleman’ Eastern Kentucky Sr
5. Matt Owens BYU Fr
6. Daniel Carney BYU Jr
7. Emmanuel Rotich’ Tulane Jr
8. Noah Schutte’ Portland Jr
9. Obsa Ali Minnesota Jr
10. Noah Affolder Syracuse Fr
5000 METERS
1. Grant Fisher Stanford Jr
2. Justyn Knight’ Syracuse Sr
3. Andy Trouard Northern Arizona Sr
4. Amon Kemboi’ Campbell So
5. Sean McGorty Stanford Sr
6. Zach Perrin Colorado Sr
7. Jack Bruce’ Arkansas Sr
8. Vincent Kiprop’ Alabama Jr
9. Dillon Maggard Utah State Sr
10. Cole Rockhold Colorado State Jr
10,000 METERS
1. Vincent Kiprop’ Alabama Jr
2. Tyler Day Northern Arizona Jr
3. Matt Baxter’ Northern Arizona Sr
4. Connor McMillan BYU Jr
5. Gilbert Kigen’ Alabama Jr
6. Clayton Young BYU Jr
7. Jonathan Green Georgetown Sr
8. Rory Linkletter BYU Jr
9. Arsene Guillorel’ Samford Sr
10. Lawrence Kipkoech’ Campbell Jr
110 HURDLES
1. Grant Holloway Florida So
2. Ruebin Walters’ Alabama Sr
3. Daniel Roberts Kentucky So
4. David Kendziera Illinois Sr
5. Antoine Lloyd Nebraska Sr
6. Damion Thomas’ LSU Fr
7. Trey Cunningham Florida State Fr
8. Michael Dickson North Carolina A&T Jr
9. John Burt Texas Jr
10. Ashtyn Davis Cal Sr
400 HURDLES
1. Rai Benjamin’ USC Jr
2. Kenny Selmon North Carolina Sr
3. Kemar Mowatt’ Arkansas Jr
4. David Kendziera Illinois Sr
5. Infinite Tucker Texas A&M So
6. Ilolo Izu Texas A&M Jr
7. Norman Grimes Texas Tech Fr
8. Taylor McLaughlin Michigan Jr
9. Cory Poole Florida Fr
10. Jaelen Williams Hampton So
4 x 100
1. Houston Houston
2. LSU LSU
3. Arkansas Arkansas
4. Florida Florida
5. North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T
6. USC USC
7. Southern Mississippi Sn Mississippi
8. Ohio State Ohio State
9. Oregon Oregon
10. Texas Tech Texas Tech
4 x 400
1. USC USC
2. Florida Florida
3. Texas A&M Texas A&M
4. LSU LSU
5. Houston Houston
6. Auburn Auburn
7. Baylor Baylor
8. Arkansas Arkansas
9. Texas Tech Texas Tech
10. North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T
HIGH JUMP
1. Trey Culver Texas Tech Sr
2. Vernon Turner Oklahoma Fr
3. Tejaswin Shankar’ Kansas State Fr
4. Shelby McEwen Alabama Jr
5. Clayton Brown’ Florida So
6. Keenon Laine Georgia Jr
7. Damar Robinson Louisville Sr
8. Jonathan Wells Illinois Jr
9. JuVaughn Blake LSU Fr
10. Samuel Shoultz Maryland Jr
POLE VAULT
1. Chris Nilsen South Dakota So
2. Matt Ludwig Akron Jr
3. Devin King Southeastern Louisiana Sr
4. Nate Richartz Notre Dame Sr
5. Hussain Al Hizam’ Kansas Jr
6. Deakin Volz Virginia Tech Jr
7. Torben Laidig’ Virginia Tech Sr
8. Audie Wyatt Texas A&M Sr
9. Tray Oates Samford Sr
10. Ethan Bray South Dakota So
LONG JUMP
1. Grant Holloway Florida So
2. Will Williams Texas A&M Sr
3. Damarcus Simpson Oregon Sr
4. KeAndre Bates Florida Sr
5. Terrell McClain Akron Sr
6. Odaine Lewis’ Texas Tech Jr
7. Zack Bazile Ohio State Sr
8. Charles Brown Texas Tech Jr
9. Jared Kerr Houston So
10. Tahar Triki Texas A&M So
TRIPLE JUMP
1. Tahar Triki’ Texas A&M So
2. KeAndre Bates Florida Sr
3. O’Brien Wasome’ Texas So
4. Barden Adams Kansas Sr
5. Scotty Newton TCU Sr
6. Clayton Brown’ Florida So
7. Kaiwan Culmer’ Nebraska Sr
8. John Warren Sn Mississippi Jr
9. Chengetayi Mapaya’ TCU Fr
10. Tuomas Kaukolahti’ Cal So
SHOT
1. Mostafa Hassan’ Colorado State Sr
2. Denzel Comenentia’ Georgia Jr
3. Josh Awotunde South Carolina Sr
4. Payton Otterdahl North Dakota State Jr
5. Jordan Geist Arizona Fr
6. Nick Demaline Ohio State Sr
7. Willie Morrison Indiana Jr
8. Austin Droogsma Florida State Sr
9. Adrian Piperi Texas Fr
10. McKay Johnson Cal So
DISCUS
1. Nicholas Percy’ Nebraska Sr
2. Brian Williams Mississippi Sr
3. Reno Tuufuli Iowa Jr
4. Greg Thompson’ Maryland Jr
5. Luke Vaughn Memphis Sr
6. David Lucas Penn State Jr
7. Kord Ferguson Alabama Jr
8. John Kolb Louisville So
9. Payton Otterdahl North Dakota State Jr
10. Jeremiah Evans Michigan State Fr
HAMMER
1. Gleb Dudarev’ Kansas So
2. Denzel Comenentia’ Georgia Jr
3. Rudy Winkler Rutgers Sr
4. Anders Eriksson’ Florida Jr
5. Daniel Haugh Alabama Jr
6. Adam Kelly Princeton Jr
7. Jake Norris’ LSU Fr
8. Joseph Ellis Michigan Jr
9. Hilmar Jónsson’ Virginia Jr
10. Thomas Mardal’ Florida Fr
JAVELIN
1. Anderson Peters’ Mississippi State Fr
2. Ioánnis Kyriazís’ Texas A&M Sr
3. Sindri Gudmundsson’ Utah State So
4. Nicolas Quijera’ Mississippi State Sr
5. Fabian Dohmann’ Texas Sr
6. Michael Biddle Penn State So
7. Simon Litzell’ UCLA So
8. Jonno Engelking’ Southeast Missouri So
9. Aaron True Wichita State Jr
10. Taran Taylor Wichita State Fr
DECATHLON
1. Tim Duckworth’ Kentucky Sr
2. Harrison Williams Stanford Sr
3. Hunter Veith Wichita State Sr
4. Karl Saluri’ Georgia Sr
5. Tim Ehrhardt Michigan State Sr
6. Johannes Erm’ Georgia Fr
7. Scott Filip Rice Sr
8. Gabe Moore Arkansas Jr
9. TJ Lawson Kent State So
10. Nathaniel Mechler Houston So
COMPLETE TEAM SCORES
1. Florida 58
2. Houston 56
3. Texas A&M 46
4. Georgia 36
5. Alabama 34
6. USC 33
7. Texas Tech 29
8. Stanford 22
=9. Northern Arizona 20
=9. Oregon 20
11. Kansas 19
12. LSU 18
=13. Arkansas 16
=13. BYU 16
=13. Kentucky 16
=13. Mississippi 16
=13. Nebraska 16
=18. Auburn 15
=18. Mississippi State 15
20. Penn State 14
21. Florida State 13
22. Akron 12
23. Illinois 11
=24. Arkansas State 10
=24. Colorado State 10
=24. New Mexico 10
=24. South Carolina 10
=24. South Dakota 10
=24. Texas 10
=24. UTEP 10
=24. Virginia Tech 10
32. Indiana 9
=33. Boise 8
=33. Iowa 8
=33. North Carolina 8
=33. Oklahoma 8
=33. Syracuse 8
=33. Tennessee 8
=39. Baylor 7
=39. Portland 7
=39. Utah State 7
=42. Kansas State 6
=42. Ohio State 6
=42. Rutgers 6
=42. Southeastern Louisiana 6
=42. Wichita State 6
=47. Campbell 5
=47. Eastern Kentucky 5
=47. Maryland 5
=47. North Carolina A&T 5
=47. Notre Dame 5
=47. North Dakota State 5
=47. Wake Forest 5
=54. Arizona 4
=54. Colorado 4
=54. Memphis 4
=54. Michigan State 4
=54. TCU 4
=54. Wisconsin 4
=60. Louisville 3
=60. Princeton 3
=60. Sn Mississippi 3
=63. Georgetown 2
=63. Michigan 2
=63. Rice 2
=63. Tulane 2
=63. UCLA 2
=68. Liberty 1
=68. Southeast Missouri 1