Facts, Not Fiction

 
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    Based on this performance....Can Naser challenge SMU in the 200m as well? You don’t run 48.1 on all strength. That’s elite speed.

    All indications would lead you to believe that to run 48.14, she’s gotta be WELL under 22, NO?

    She’s gotta be in DAS territory at the minimum. I’m intrigued!
    Last edited by _Jay; 10-03-2019 at 11:44 PM.
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    Quote Originally Posted by berkeley View Post
    As big a Naser fan as I am, I didn't predict this. It has to compete with Muhammad's 52.20 for POY. She's still only 21! And we haven't seen the 400h final yet
    After tomorrow evening, that 52.20 may not be the POY in the 400hurdles.
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    Approximate splits for all 3 rounds. Round progression from left to right, 100m split progression from top to bottom.

    Salwa Eid Naser
    12.0 (12.0) - 12.0 (12.0) - 12.0 (12.0)
    23.3 (11.3) - 23.3 (11.3) - 23.1 (11.1)
    36.0 (12.7) - 35.8 (12.5) - 35.0 (11.9)
    50.7 (14.7) - 49.7 (13.9) - 48.1 (13.1)

    Shaunae Miller-Uibo
    12.0 (12.0) - 12.0 (12.0) - 11.7 (11.7)
    23.9 (11.9) - 23.7 (11.7) - 23.6 (11.5)
    37.6 (13.7) - 35.9 (12.2) - 35.6 (12.0)
    51.3 (13.7) - 49.6 (13.7) - 48.3 (12.7)

    Naser ran a very smart tactical race along with a simply astounding display of sprint endurance. Who would have ever thought Naser would lead SMU by 0.5 at 200m, and 0.6 at 300m. Naser’s Backstretch was simply out of this world!

    SMU needed to be at about 23.2-23.3 then 35.0-35.2 to have a chance at running her optimal performance (little did she know, her optimal performance is what it would have taken to win or even seriously challenge Naser’s run). It would have been a different race had SMU been inside Naser or even lane 5 or 6 instead of 3 lanes outside. But, as much as I believe SMU could have run 48.0 and won this race, she needs to learn from this and not sleep on Naser ever again. Naser absolutely deserves this for being brave, smart, tactical and unbelievably fit. True world record!
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    Quote Originally Posted by joshie66 View Post
    SMU needed to be at about 23.2-23.3 then 35.0-35.2 to have a chance at running her optimal performance (little did she know, her optimal performance is what it would have taken to win or even seriously challenge Naser’s run). It would have been a different race had SMU been inside Naser or even lane 5 or 6 instead of 3 lanes outside. But, as much as I believe SMU could have run 48.0 and won this race, she needs to learn from this and not sleep on Naser ever again. Naser absolutely deserves this for being brave, smart, tactical and unbelievably fit. True world record!
    Did SMU sleep on Naser though? I thought Naser would run fast and that her and SMU would get new pb's but I don't think anyone was predicting Naser would go 48.14. SMU's time was wonderful she smashed her personal best, she'll know from now on that she has to do more to win but its not like she underperformed, she ran amazing, Naser was just better and had the lane advantage which was an added boost for her strategy.
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    Quote Originally Posted by _Jay View Post
    Based on this performance....Can Naser challenge SMU in the 200m as well.

    All indications would lead you to believe that to run 48.14, she’s gotta be WELL under 22, NO?
    Kratochvílová's PBs were 11.09 (+1.7)/21.97 (+1.9)/47.99/1:53.28. Not sure how much untapped 200 potential she had beyond 21.97, if any; but if she could run sub-22, it does seem reasonable to think Naser could do it.

    Hard to say, though; numbers do weird things occasionally.
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Flying Pigdog View Post
    Gotta hand it to Naser though, she ran so fast over the first 200m and certainly didn't run out of gas in the homestretch, a special talent.
    At 300m, I was convinced that a bear was about to jump on Naser's back, but it never happened. I'll bet Miller is thinking "How the hell did she not blow up?"
    Last edited by jazzcyclist; 10-03-2019 at 10:36 PM.
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    Quote Originally Posted by _Jay View Post
    After tomorrow evening, that 52.20 may not be the POY in the 400hurdles.
    If Muhammad or McLaughlin (or both) go low-51, that might be enough to change the game.
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    Quote Originally Posted by LopenUupunut View Post
    Kratochvílová's PBs were 11.09 (+1.7)/21.97 (+1.9)/47.99/1:53.28. Not sure how much untapped 200 potential she had beyond 21.97, if any; but if she could run sub-22, it does seem reasonable to think Naser could do it.

    Hard to say, though; numbers do weird things occasionally.
    Also MJP topped out at 21.99 and even 22.0x during her magical 96 season. Nasser has amazing speed endurance rather than flat out foot speed, at least to me. Felix is a 21.7 runner but go nowhere close to sub 49. Numbers are indeed weird, you cant just make blanket comparisons imo.
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    Quote Originally Posted by LopenUupunut View Post
    Kratochvílová's PBs were 11.09 (+1.7)/21.97 (+1.9)/47.99/1:53.28. Not sure how much untapped 200 potential she had beyond 21.97, if any; but if she could run sub-22, it does seem reasonable to think Naser could do it.

    Hard to say, though; numbers do weird things occasionally.
    The year Kratochvílová ran 47.99 (23.1 en route), she could only muster 22.40 in the open 200.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Juicy News View Post
    Meh I don't think SMU can win regardless of the lane draw.
    Seriously. There’s no reason to believe she had another quarter-second in the tank today.
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