Facts, Not Fiction

 
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    #41
    Quote Originally Posted by Powell View Post
    That's two legs of 45 and two of 51. Seems way to slow. Even if the US runs four SPers, there are teams like the UK, who are clearly able to run faster than that and have no good reason to save their top runners, since they no individual medal contenders. I'll go with 3:09.
    I will split the difference with you and go with a winning time of 3:10.5. This is a tough event to predict because we don't know who is competing.
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    #42
    I can't imagine any serious contender for the 400m title or medal would sacrifice that for the mixed relay. I think the race will be pretty slow.
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    #43
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    I'd guess Powell is counting on the Polish team to run 3:10-3:11, and figures the winning time won't be slower than that
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    #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by LopenUupunut View Post
    I'd guess Powell is counting on the Polish team to run 3:10-3:11, and figures the winning time won't be slower than that
    Naah, I'm afraid 3:10 is beyond the Polish team, and even 3:11 is a bit of a stretch, unless they peak better than I'm expecting.
    Było smaszno, a jaszmije smukwijne...
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    #45
    Mixed 4x4, 3:16
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    #46
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    Mixed 4x4 IDGAF
    why don't people pronounce vowels anymore
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    #47
    Quote Originally Posted by LopenUupunut View Post
    Predicting that the women's 20K walk will be 4 minutes faster than the WR and 3 minutes faster than the men's race sounds optimistic enough to me
    lol. 1:20, 1:30, what's 10 minutes in a 20k?
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    #48
    Here's a table of predictions so far:

    Men
    Event CR Atticus OneWay steveu Fortius19 Dave reggaeirie1234 ATK TWalsh
    100 9.58 9.80 9.77 9.83 9.90 9.78 9.88 9.83
    200 19.19 19.60 19.48 19.48 19.57 19.35 19.50 19.29
    400 43.18 43.60 43.30 43.27 44.10 44.0 43.50 43.80
    800 1:43.06 1:42.2 1:42.2 1:43.3 1:44.2 1:43.5 1:43.50 1:42.50
    1500 3:27.65 3:30.0 3:30.8 3:37.5 3:32.2 3:30.0 3:35 3:34.00
    St 8:00.43 8:04 8:04 8:05 8:08 8:04 8:06 8:05
    5K 12:52.79 13:00 13:00 13:11 13:33 12:55 13:10 13:30
    10K 26:46.31 27:00 26:58 27:16 27:45 27:15 27:20 27:10
    110H 12.91 13.00 12.96 13.17 13.07 13.00 13.05 13.05
    400H 47.18 47.00 46.75 46.80 47.20 47.50 46.90 46.60
    Mar 2:06:54 2:11:30 2:08 2:09 2:10
    20W 1:17:21 1:23 1:19 1:19:45
    50W 3:33:12 3:38 3:40 3:38
    4x100 37.04 37.00 37.11 37.35 37.60 37.00 37.45 37.50
    4x400 2:54.29 2:56.0 2:55.5 2:54.5 2:58.8 2:56.0 2:56.5 2:54.30
    HJ 2.41 2.35 2.35 2.33 2.33 2.30 2.35m 2.30
    PV 6.05 6.10 6.10 6.05 6.01 6.07 6.00m 6.05
    LJ 8.95 8.50 8.42 8.35 8.55 8.50 8.60m 8.50
    TJ 18.29 18.00 18.10 18.15 17.95 18.00 17.90m 18.25
    SP 22.23 22.50 22.50 23.10 22.40 23.00 22.90m 22.60
    DT 70.17 69.00 69.70 71.50 67.00 69.00 70m 70.00
    HT 83.63 79.00 79.00 81.00 78.00 79.00 81m 79.00
    JT 92.80 89.00 89.00 91.00 88.00 89.00 92m 88.00
    DEC 9045 9000 8970 9050 8750 8875 8,900 9000
    Women
    100 10.70 10.75 10.75 10.82 10.88 10.68 10.73
    200 21.63 21.70 21.82 21.65 22.12 21.95 21.83
    400 47.99 48.80 48.35 49.25 49.30 49.20 48.50
    800 1:54.68 1:57.0 1:56.5 1:57.8 2:00.8 1:59.5 1:58.50
    1500 3:58.52 3:56.0 3:57.5 3:58.5 4:02 4:05 4:01
    St 9:02.58 8:50 8:50 8:52.5 8:58 9:05 8:56
    5K 14:26.83 14:20 14:35 14:29.0 14:50 14:40 14:30
    10K 30:04.18 30:00 <30: 30:35.0 32:20 30:20 30:30
    100H 12.28 12.30 12.25 12.33 12.48 12.28 12.40
    400H 52.42 52.10 52.25 52.18 52.80 52.50 52.50
    Mar 2:20:57 2:26:30 2:28 2:25
    20W 1:25:41 1:20 1:27 1:28
    50W 4:05:56 4:08 4:05 4:08
    4x100 41.07 41.60 41.45 41.85 42.02 41.50 41.30
    4x400 3:16.71 3:18 3:18 3:21.5 3:22 3:22.0 3:17.9
    HJ 2.09 2.05 2.05 2.08 2.01 2.05m 2.03
    PV 5.01 4.90 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.90m 4.90
    LJ 7.36 7.20 7.12 7.10 7.07 7.00m 7.10
    TJ 15.50 15.00 15.25 15.20 15.22 15.20m 15.51
    SP 21.24 19.80 19.55 19.95 19.60 20.2m 20.10
    DT 71.62 69.00 69.00 67.50 68.00 68.5m 69.50
    HT 80.85 76.00 76.00 78.50 76.00 77.0m 76.00
    JT 71.70 67.00 67.00 66.00 65.00 68.0m 66.00
    HEP 7128 7000 7100 6950 6955 6,900 6900
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    #49
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    Glanced at that and thought "this poster CR has some optimistic predictions!" It was the 18.29 TJ that made me come to my senses (it was about 6:20 AM).
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    #50
    Men
    100m 9.78
    110mH 13.05
    200m 19.45
    400m 43.35
    400mH 46.70
    800m 1:43.50
    1500m 3:38
    3000mS 8:10
    5000m 13:15
    10000m 27:00
    4*100m 37.35
    4*400m 2:58.0
    Marathon 2:15
    20kmW 1:21
    50kmW 3:50
    LJ 8.60m
    TJ 18.10m
    SP 22.50m
    DT 69m
    HM 81m
    JV 88m
    HJ 2.33m
    PV 6.10m
    Decathlon 8,900 points

    Women
    100m 10.72
    100mH 12.28
    200m 21.85
    400m 48.60
    400mH 52.30
    800m 1:57.5
    1500m 4:03
    3000m 8:55
    5000m 14:40
    10000m 30:20
    4*100m 41.22
    4*400m 3:20.0
    Marathon 2:28
    20kmW 1:29
    50kmW 4:15
    LJ 7.10m
    TJ 15.15m
    SP 20.45m
    DT 68.0m
    HM 77.0m
    JV 65.0m
    HJ 2.04m
    PV 4.90m
    Heptathlon 6,900 points

    4*400mx 3.10
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