Facts, Not Fiction

 
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    #51
    I've updated the table with Sasuke's picks.

    Unfortunately, it is too big so I uploaded as an .html file that should open in your browser.

    If it just gives you all the code, save the file to a local drive and then it should open.

    http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php...51081475259989
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    #52
    Quote Originally Posted by El Toro View Post
    I've updated the table with Sasuke's picks.

    Unfortunately, it is too big so I uploaded as an .html file that should open in your browser.

    If it just gives you all the code, save the file to a local drive and then it should open.

    http://s000.tinyupload.com/index.php...51081475259989
    Interesting everyone thinks the mens pole vault will be 6 meters plus but no one is predicting the WR. If someone wins with a jump over 6 meters they are going to try the WR!

    My prediction go big or go home! Mpv: 6.17!
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    #53
    I wish the women's TJ was before the men's. I think Rojas has a better chance of breaking the WR than Taylor, and seeing her do it may have fired him up.
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    #54
    Quote Originally Posted by Sasuke View Post
    Men
    Marathon 2:15

    Women
    Marathon 2:28
    I believe these are the slowest of the marathon predictions here yet, but wonder if even they may be optimistic. Was looking at exercise physiologist and coach Tom Schwartz's Heat Index and Running Performance chart online, and if anywhere close to reality, it suggests times could be much slower. See:

    https://www.ncacoach.org/uploads/HazenCC5.pdf

    For example, at a heat index of 110F/43.3C (within a degree F of the currently predicted race-time conditions of 89.5F/32C and 81F/27C dew point), a 2:05 marathon effort for the men would in theory convert to 2:22. On the women's side, a 2:19 effort would equate to 2:38.

    Again, that's in theory, and of course if there are no on-course facilities present like frequent water-spray corridors and such. Otherwise, really concerned about the prospects for an ugly survival-shuffle Waterloo out there.
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    #55
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Location
    The Bahamas
    Posts
    1,087
    Men
    100m 9.82
    110mH 13.02
    200m 19.43
    400m 43.55
    400mH 46.74
    800m 1:44.22
    1500m 3:39
    3000mS 8:12
    5000m 13:17
    10000m 27:10
    4*100m 37.52
    4*400m 2:59.05
    Marathon 2:16
    20kmW 1:23
    50kmW 3:52
    LJ 8.75m
    TJ 18.05m
    SP 22.20m
    DT 68m
    HM 80m
    JV 90m
    HJ 2.35m
    PV 6.05m
    Decathlon 9,060 points

    Women
    100m 10.68
    100mH 12.35
    200m 21.87
    400m 48.45
    400mH 52.35
    800m 1:58.30
    1500m 4:04
    3000m 8:58
    5000m 14:35
    10000m 30:15
    4*100m 41.52
    4*400m 3:20.50
    Marathon 2:29
    20kmW 1:30
    50kmW 4:16
    LJ 7.07m
    TJ 15.32m
    SP 20.6m
    DT 68.2m
    HM 75m
    JV 63m
    HJ 2.07m
    PV 4.95m
    Heptathlon 7,000 points

    4*400mx 3.12
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    #56
    Regarding my guesses: both the marathons (and the race walks) will be run in harsh to extreme conditions. Sincerely, I don't think we are going to see "good" times at all and, I fear, tons of athletes will retire because of the severe heat. I think it's going to be a survival race rather than a normal competition.
    As of the mPV, I think Mondo will bring his A+ game (he has never jumped the way he jumped at EC last year, each bar passed with ton of height to spare, including 6.05m, when he called it a day; if he is in this kind of shape, I don't think Kendricks or Lisek will have any chances), but I don't think he is capable of beating Lavillenie's mark... YET. My expectations are a competition with three men jumping at 6m, with only Mondo and Kendricks clearing it. Then only Mondo will go higher. To compare with last year I think Kendricks will be Berlin's Timur Morgunov.
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    #57
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2005
    Location
    Madison, WI
    Posts
    23,450
    Quote Originally Posted by Atticus View Post
    The in-stadium distance races will be climate-controlled. The ones outside . . . good freakin' luck!
    It will be affected by the infrastructure, but they cannot dial it up and down and the dew point to anything that they want. I saw one thing that indicated that they can get it 10C below ambient but that is still pretty warm. If it is ~80F/27C that is fine for many events but it is pretty warm for the distance races. It certainly is not going to be below 20C which would be good temps for those races. Given area dew points about 80/27, what the dew point is in the stadium is particularly relevant (27C for temp but 24 for Dew Point will be quite hard).
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    #58
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Location
    on task
    Posts
    11,959
    AC is, first and foremost, a de-humidifier.
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    #59
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    May 2019
    Location
    England
    Posts
    171
    Ok, I'll have a go ...

    Men
    100 9.86
    200 19.48
    400 43.69
    800 1:43.6
    1500 3:33.9
    St 8:06
    5K 13:08
    10K 27:12
    110H 13.10
    400H 47.00
    Mar 2:09
    20W 1:22:30
    50W 3:39
    4x100 37.69
    4x400 2:56.4
    HJ 2.32
    PV 6.06
    LJ 8.60
    TJ 17.83
    SP 22.52
    DT 68.50
    HT 79.50
    JT 89.50
    Dec 8860

    Women
    100 10.83
    200 21.97
    400 49.18
    800 1:57.9
    1500 4:03.4
    St 8:56
    5K 14:31
    10K 30:50
    100H 12.41
    400H 52.63
    Mar 2:29
    20W 1:29:30
    50W 4:11
    4x100 41.86
    4x400 3:20.5
    HJ 2.02
    PV 4.85
    LJ 7.13
    TJ 15.18
    SP 19.92
    DT 67.40
    HT 77.30
    JT 66.50
    Hep 6890

    Mixed 4x400 3:12.7
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    #60
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Sleeping in Finland
    Posts
    4,349
    Men
    100 9.83
    200 19.47
    400 43.46
    800 1:43.72
    1500 3:35.61
    St 8:07.33
    5K 13:14.69
    10K 27:02.28
    110H 13.05
    400H 46.79
    Mar 2:12:35
    20W 1:21:47
    50W 3:47:14
    4x100 37.46
    4x400 2:55.33
    HJ 2.34
    PV 6.07
    LJ 8.49
    TJ 17.97
    SP 22.61
    DT 69.19
    HT 79.86
    JT 90.04
    Dec 9019

    Women
    100 10.70
    200 21.77
    400 48.56
    800 1:57.97
    1500 4:05.26
    St 9:02.83
    5K 14:37.50
    10K 31:04.86
    100H 12.38
    400H 52.47
    Mar 2:29:55
    20W 1:28:59
    50W 4:14:05
    4x100 41.43
    4x400 3:19.93
    HJ 2.02
    PV 4.85
    LJ 7.11
    TJ 15.29
    SP 20.03
    DT 67.76
    HT 76.48
    JT 68.39
    Hep 6920

    Mixed 4x4 3:10.66
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