Facts, Not Fiction

 
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    #21
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    I'm still amazed that people accept this tactic after Centro's 3:50 Gold...yes he got beat this time, but it was a close thing and maybe just a matter of him being boxed up for a few
    You there, on the motorbike! Sell me one of your melons!
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    #22
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    And yet this is the conundrum runners face in Championship races. The one tactic most guaranteed to keep you from winning is to take the early lead (a fast Bayi and a slow Centro being notable exceptions). We all want someone, especially someone who doesn't have a realistic chance at medalling, to take the pace out and keep it fast. But even that someone has factored that he has a better chance with a slow pace than with a fast one. This is why we have rabbits in the DL meets. If not, I think most DL races would be won in the high 3:30s or 3:40s.
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    #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by bobguild76 View Post
    And yet this is the conundrum runners face in Championship races. The one tactic most guaranteed to keep you from winning is to take the early lead (a fast Bayi and a slow Centro being notable exceptions). We all want someone, especially someone who doesn't have a realistic chance at medalling, to take the pace out and keep it fast. But even that someone has factored that he has a better chance with a slow pace than with a fast one. This is why we have rabbits in the DL meets. If not, I think most DL races would be won in the high 3:30s or 3:40s.
    The Engels is the modified Centro - stay close and then take the lead early enough so there aren't any real challengers. Hold everyone off on the first turn of the last lap and you have a step on all the other racers as to who can run the faster 300.
    Last edited by booond; 07-30-2019 at 04:16 PM.
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    #24
    Taking the lead early worked pretty well for Manangoi and Cheruiyot two years ago. Of course a key difference is the two could work together.
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    #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by TN1965 View Post
    Taking the lead early worked pretty well for Manangoi and Cheruiyot two years ago. Of course a key difference is the two could work together.
    That is a huge point, TN. Working in concert with a teammate can make such a difference.
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    #26
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    Two years ago Manangoi and Cheruiyot had more wheels than anybody else. I'm not convinced the same tactic would work as well now; the final will likely have several non-Kenyans who're closer to them timewise than anybody was in 2017.
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    #27
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