Facts, Not Fiction

 
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    #31
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    Simmons continues on good pace; Devon Williams wasn't at his best in the hurdles, but PB'd in the discus to make up for it.

    Projections after 7:

    Simmons 8379
    D.Williams 8286
    H.Williams 8115
    Filip 8058
    Bastien 7954
    Golubovic 7882

    Next up: the pole vault, which has the most potential downside of the remaining events. Matching his 480 from Götzis would put D.Williams in good position to get the qualifier. Simmons's projection is 490, but he's doing well enough he could disappoint a bit here and still get the Q as long as he doesn't no-height.

    The PV could save or ruin H.Williams's hopes to get the standard; the projection for him is only 510, but he has PBs of 525 outdoors and 540 indoors so he has known upside here. He really needs to clear at least 520 here, preferably 530, to have a chance at the Q.
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    #32
    Quote Originally Posted by LopenUupunut View Post
    Next up: the pole vault, which has the most potential downside of the remaining events. Matching his 480 from Götzis would put D.Williams in good position to get the qualifier. Simmons's projection is 490, but he's doing well enough he could disappoint a bit here and still get the Q as long as he doesn't no-height.
    D. Williams just cleared 5.00.
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    #33
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    Pole vault PBs for both Williamses. Harrison's clearance at 530 will give him a decent chance to get the standard.

    Projections with 2 events left:
    Simmons 8378
    D. Williams 8366
    H. Williams 8178

    Simmons and D. Williams are both safe for the standard barring some total disaster, so the interest there is the fight for 1st. Williams leads by 45 and is generally the better 1500 runner, but Simmons is generally the better JTer. One meter in the JT is about 15 points, so Simmons needs to beat Willliams by at least 3 meters in the JT to take the lead with one event to go, and by more than 5 meters to maintain his lead in the projections.

    Harrison Williams needs a 51-meter throw (ideally longer) to be on track for the WC standard. 51 meters is well within his capabilities, but he only has a season best of 49.41, which would leave him with a lot of work to do in the 1500.
    Last edited by LopenUupunut; 07-26-2019 at 10:01 PM.
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    #34
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    Simmons bombs in the JT! Only 51.42, which is way off his usual level and his worst JT result since 2013. (Is he OK?)

    He now needs 4:38.06 or better in the 1500 to get the standard, which would be a PB by 2.4 seconds.
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    #35
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    Third consecutive PB for Devon Williams in the JT. He now needs 4:35.56 in the 1500 to score 8400, and 4:44.13 to improve his PB (8345 in '17). The former is possible (his PB in the 1500 is 4:33.15); the latter seems likely, though he only ran 4:49 in his only previous decathlon this year.

    Simmons, as noted before, needs 4:38.06 to get the Q. That's a big ask, especially in such hot conditions, but not completely impossible.

    Harrison Williams needs 4:27.89 to get the Q. Also a big ask but not impossible; his PB is 4:27.88, and he's run 4:30.16 this year.
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    #36
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    Harrison Williams needs to run exactly his 1500 PB (4:27.88 from NCAAs this year) to get the standard....

    Edit: PB from 2016 NCAAs actually
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    #37
    Devon Williams (8295) and Solomon Simmons (8227) finish 1st and 2nd and both reach the WC qual mark of 8200. Zach Ziemek is the only other American to have achieved the qual and will join Williams and Simmons on the team despite being a dnf here.
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    #38
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    Great save from Simmons. 9 good events and one disastrous event (the javelin) that nearly cost him the Q, but he fought back.
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    #39
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    so if ZZ is hurt and can't make it, Williams close to sneaking in as a field filler?
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    #40
    Quote Originally Posted by gh View Post
    so if ZZ is hurt and can't make it, Williams close to sneaking in as a field filler?
    I think it is extremely likely that 8188 will be enough (only 18 with Q and 8188 is the best q).
    Further on this subject:
    If ZZ has the Q and Williams has a q who gets to go?
    Last edited by olorin; 07-27-2019 at 12:28 AM.
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