Facts, Not Fiction

 
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    All events wide open for Worlds !
    #1
    i cant think of a single event that i can say that a certain athlete is big favorite to win in daegu. some might say bolt in the 200 meters, but he is below his best and with the new false start rule you never know. even vlassic and thorkildsen have had their problems and isibayeva has not even competed yet. shapes up like a very competitive meet.
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
    #2
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    David Rudisha in the 800m at least seems like a fair enough bet to make.
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
    #3
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    Bolt is a shoo in for both dashes. Rudisha is solid. Harting looks hard to beat. Vlasic will be back to 2.04 territory by then. I can't see Thorkildsen losing. Saladino looks ready for 8.60+. Heidler looks unbeatable now. And Adams seems to have Ostapchuk's number. There will be upsets but there are clear favorites too.
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
    #4
    rudisha has not even made the kenyan team yet and has never competed in the worlds so you never know. didnt we see kipketer lose before when he was dominant in this event ?
    as far as the others it is projecting to say that they would be at a certain point by next month, maybe they will, maybe they wont. i was just speaking as of this moment.
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
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    Heidler in HT
    US in men's 4x400
    Kaniskina in women's 20k walk
    Było smaszno, a jaszmije smukwijne...
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
    #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by tm71
    rudisha has not even made the kenyan team yet and has never competed in the worlds....
    He was run out in the semis at 2009 WC...
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
    #7
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    Agree about Heidler... though Zhang has an excellent major meet history.

    Presumably those conspiracy theorists consider Semenya an even bigger lock
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
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    Quote Originally Posted by tm71
    rudisha has not even made the kenyan team yet and has never competed in the worlds so you never know. didnt we see kipketer lose before when he was dominant in this event ?
    No, we didn't. Kipketer won on the 3 occasions when he was the favorite (95, 97, 99), although Hezekiel Sepeng ran him close in the last of those. In later seasons, he was no longer the dominant force, so his losses were not a surprise.

    Coming back to Rudisha, though, it's hard to tell how dominant he really is at the moment, with him and Kaki not racing each other. Both are winning their races easily, so I couldn't really tell which of them is the favorite.
    Było smaszno, a jaszmije smukwijne...
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
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    Quote Originally Posted by Powell
    Coming back to Rudisha, though, it's hard to tell how dominant he really is at the moment, with him and Kaki not racing each other. Both are winning their races easily, so I couldn't really tell which of them is the favorite.
    The interesting thing about the Rudisha vs. Kaki thing to me at least is the rounds. The safest way for them to make the final is by pretending Tangui is in there and going out at 1:43 pace... but that would make them more vulnerable in that final. (This strategy has already netted Kaki two indoor golds, so he at least has some experience with it.) On the other hand, if they try to conserve energy for the final there are entirely different risks involved.

    Also, let's not forget Kaki's history in major outdoor meets...

    WC '07 - out in heats. He wasn't famous yet then but should still have easily made the semis at least. (He went 1:43.90 in November of that year, the 4th best time of 2007.)

    Oly '08 - finished last in semi as a leading favourite, complained about climate or air quality or something such. (How different will that something be in Daegu?)

    WC '09 - DNF in semi after falling as a leading favourite

    WC '11 - ???
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    Re: All events wide open for Worlds !
    #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Powell
    Heidler in HT
    US in men's 4x400
    Kaniskina in women's 20k walk
    here's a couple more to the list
    Thorkildsen Mjav, the way he is throwing right now will anybody touch him?
    Lavilliene mPV only the weather seems to be able to defeat him.
    Harting Mdisc, I don't believe he has lost.
    Felix w200, if she only runs the 200.
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